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Gem Bet: AC Milan v Lazio

Gem Bet: AC Milan v Lazio

Friday 28 February, 20251 min read
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The ABC Editorial Team have a combined Sports Journalism experience of 20+ years. They love to crunch the numbers for all betting predictions, meticulously finding value in each selection. Football experts in their own right, they each bring specialists sports and leagues to the table. Whether it be football, horse racing, boxing, darts, or NFL, our team is equipped to bring you the most insightful and valuable betting tips around.

💎 Kyle Walker to Commit 1+ Fouls @ 1.91 on Paddy Power

Fixtures for: Sunday 2th March

AC Milan v Lazio

AC Milan v Lazio

19:45

Kyle Walker to Commit 1+ Fouls

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Our last 5 Gem Bets have landed as we now look to go 6 in a row. If you'd backed each of them with £10 you'd be £62.33 up.

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💎 Gem Bet: Kyle Walker to Commit 1+ Fouls @ 1.91 (v Lazio)

Fixtures for: Sunday 2th March

AC Milan v Lazio

AC Milan v Lazio

19:45

Kyle Walker to Commit 1+ Fouls

Kyle Walker to commit 1+ fouls is best price at 1.91 with Paddy Power, implying a 52.4% probability, yet odds as short as 1.3 elsewhere highlight the strong value in this selection. Walker is averaging 0.54 fouls per 90 in Serie A, committing at least 1 foul in 3 of his last 4 full 90-minute appearances. Walker faces a tough challenge against Mattia Zaccagni, 1 of the league’s standout performers this season, with 7 Player of the Match displays. He is also the 2nd-most fouled player in Serie A, drawing an extraordinary 3.16 fouls per 90. Zaccagni has been fouled at least once in 31 of his 32 matches this season. He has drawn 2 fouls in 7 matches, 3 fouls in 6 matches, and 4 or more fouls in an incredible 9 matches. The likelihood of at least 1 foul for Walker seems considerably higher than Paddy Power’s implied 52.4% probability. While uncertainty around his fitness raises some doubt over his inclusion, if he starts, the short odds elsewhere suggest that 1.91 represents excellent value in this market.
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