AC Milan v Tottenham Hotspur Cheat Sheet
AC Milan v Tottenham Hotspur
Tuesday night sees the Champions League knockout stages kick off as Tottenham travel to the San Siro to face AC Milan in what is an intriguing battle. The home side halted a run of seven without a win last time out after scraping past Torino with a 1-0 win here. The visitors arrive here after a shocking performance at Leicester which finished 4-1 at the King Power Stadium, having gone to the game on the back of an impressive victory over Manchester City.
AC Milan started the season strongly and looked likely to finish in the top two of Serie A behind Napoli. However, since the start of the new year, they have looked like a different team – picking up just eight points in their seven league games in that time, losing at home to ten-man Torino in the Coppa Italia and suffering a humiliating 3-0 defeat to bitter rivals Inter Milan in the Super Cup final. They now sit in fifth in the league and if they miss out on the top four and do not make it to the quarter-finals of the Champions League, some Italians have speculated about manager Stefano Pioli’s future. This is their first Champions League knockout tie since 2013/14 and they finished below Chelsea in the groups. They have also been eliminated at this round in five of their last six appearances in the competition – including against Spurs in 2011/12. They will be without first-choice goalkeeper Mike Maignan who remains out with a long-term injury, and Ismael Bennacer remains unavailable. Former Chelsea centre back Fikayo Tomori has recovered and will be able to play here, and although Zlatan Ibrahimovic was on the bench last time out, he probably won’t play a part in this match.
Spurs looked to be finding some sort of form under Antonio Conte after a very mixed start to the season. Three wins on the bounce over Fulham, Preston and Manchester City gave their fans hope but they were brought swiftly back down to earth with a 4-1 loss at Leicester. They are in fifth at the moment and two points off the top four and Newcastle have a game in hand, meaning that they must improve in the league if they hope to get Champions League football next season. They were without Hugo Lloris last time out and his replacement Fraser Forster will be hoping to do better here and not concede four goals as the French keeper remains out with a knee injury. Cristian Romero served a suspension following a red card against Manchester City but he will be available here and will come straight back into the side. However, Spurs’ biggest problem is in the centre of the park. Not only is Hojbjerg suspended, but Yves Bissouma is injured and Rodrio Bentancur sustained a season ending ACL injury on the weekend, meaning they could have the very inexperienced midfield partnership of Pape Sarr and Oliver Skipp for this game.
In the league this season, AC Milan average exactly four corners per game, rising to 4.09 at home. They have had at least three in 68% of their matches and at least four in 55%. In the Champions League this season, they have been awarded at least three corners in five of their six matches – with the exception of Chelsea at the San Siro – where Tomori was sent off within the first twenty minutes. Excluding that game, they averaged 4.4 corners per match in the group stages of the competition.
AC Milan are fairly good for corners but Tottenham’s corner against stats are even better. In the league this season, Spurs away games have seen 10.42 corners per game. They average 4.48 corners per game against and away from home that rises to 5.50. In two thirds of their matches away from home they have conceded at least five corners and in a third of their games they have conceded eight. In their six Champions League games, they conceded 33 corners and in the away fixtures they had 20 corners against – at an average of 6.67 per match. This selection landed in all but one of their home games, including against a Frankfurt team that had a red card. Antonio Conte will be hoping to keep it tight and will likely be defensive heading into a home second leg.
At home in the league this season, AC Milan have drawn 3.27 cards per game and their opponents have had at least two in 82% of matches. Given that this is a Champions League tie and Spurs will be trying to disrupt Milan as much as possible in this leg, there should be a few more here. This selection landed in each of their six matches in the group stages, even when games weren’t tight – like their 3-0 loss at Chelsea and their 4-0 demolition of Zagreb.
Spurs were given 14 cards across their first six matches in the competition this season, receiving at least two on five occasions and at least three in half of their matches and in two of their three away from the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Away from home in the league, they average 1.83 cards per game and have been given at least two in 67% of their matches – including in five of their last six. In 2023, they have played four away league games and this selection has landed in each of them.
The ref for this one is Sandro Sharer. He has given 71 cards in 13 games this season at an average of 5.46 cards per game. Whilst his numbers are not so impressive in the Champions League – 13 cards in four games – he has given two to the away cards in two of those matches and has booked both sides in every single one of them.
Cristian Romero has committed at least one foul in every one of his starts for club and country going back to the start of October. Last time out he was sent off against Manchester City and given a yellow for both of his fouls. Across his last four games he has conceded ten fouls at an average rate of 2.45 per game. He has been booked eight times in nine games since the quarter-finals of the World Cup – with the only exceptions being Argentina’s final victory over France and a 4-0 thumping of Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park.
Fikayo Tomori committed the most fouls of any AC Milan player in the group stage with seven despite only playing five matches and being sent off within 20 minutes of one of those games – an average of 1.67 fouls per 90 minutes. He has committed at least one foul in 15 of his 26 starts and at least one in eight of his last 11 games where he has played more than 25 minutes. He will have his hands full with Spurs’ attack and being a former Chelsea player, playing against the North London side will mean that little bit more – especially in a Champions League knockout match.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
18+ please gamble responsibly.
Haven’t got a Paddy Power account? You’re in luck…
Sign up to Paddy Power and get a full refund if your first bet loses. Grab an account through the offer below and place £30 on the 5/1 AC Milan v Tottenham Hotspur Bet Builder. Here are the two possible outcomes:
✅
You win £187 cash if it wins
🔄
Or you get your £30 stake back as cash
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets *
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing *