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Arsenal v Brighton Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Arsenal v Brighton Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Tuesday 28 October, 20254 min read
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Ramis Ibrahim

Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.

Arsenal welcome Brighton as the Gunners look to march on to the quarter-finals of the EFL Cup.

Brighton have lost just one of their last five matches across all competitions and reached this round of the cup via back-to-back 6-0 victories over Oxford and Barnsley.

For more betting insight ahead of this EFL Cup clash, check out the Arsenal v Brighton Betting Stats.

These recommended Best Bet Builder Bookmakers are worth a look for Wednesday's action, too.

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Arsenal v Brighton Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Arsenal v Brighton
  • EFL Cup
  • 19:45
4 Selections @ 3.33

Over 1.5 Brighton Cards

Brighton picked up two yellow cards at Old Trafford to take their tally for the season to 24 cautions across their nine matches (2.66 per game) - the most in the Premier League so far this season.

These cup ties can occasionally produce low card counts with rotation and many players not really taking it as seriously as they should. 

However, Brighton’s aggression appears to exist cross competition with the Seagulls picking up three yellow cards in the last round against Barnsley, which was a tie they ended up winning 6-0 - the same scoreline by which they beat Oxford in the previous round of the cup. 

Arsenal have drawn 2+ cards from their opponents in five of their nine Premier League matches so far this season. Brighton have received 2+ cards in seven of their nine Premier League matches this season, including all five of their away fixtures.

Over 4.5 Arsenal Corners

No side has taken more corners in the Premier League so far this season than Arsenal (67 - 7.44 per game). They’ve had to rely on this avenue to goal with their chances from open play severely lacking in the early stages of the campaign. This number drops slightly to 6.60 corners per game when looking at their matches at the Emirates, but it’s still over the line we require here.

Nine of Arsenal’s 16 goals this season have come from set pieces. When you take away the two penalties that Arsenal have scored this season, that leaves just five goals that have come from open play. This is an overreliance on set pieces, but Arsenal are better at them than the majority of teams in the top flight so Arteta can continue to use them as a point of difference.

Brighton have been pretty good at keeping the corner count down in their away matches so far this term, conceding just 2.80 corners per game across their five away matches. However, Arsenal should be able to force a rise in this metric with their incredibly strong record when it comes to winning corners, and their overreliance on set pieces as a route to goal.

Eberechi Eze to have 2+ Shots

Eze netted his first Premier League goal for Arsenal against Crystal Palace last time out which proved to be the winner as the Gunners beat the Eagles 1-0 at the Emirates stadium. Eze has settled in well to his new club with a further two assists in the Premier League so far and his shot volume really stands out in this Arsenal side.

Eze has had 20 shots across his eight Premier League appearances this season (3.29 per 90). This is more than any other Arsenal player so far this term which shows how important Eze is to the Gunners. Arsenal rank in the bottom half of the Premier League when it comes to open play goals, so someone like Eze is really important in games where Arsenal find themselves needing a bit of creativity.

Eze had two shots in Arsenal’s victory over Palace at the Emirates last time out and should be in pole position to match his shot average for the season. Brighton can be quite open and allow the opposition to get shots away with ease, they conceded four goals against Manchester United at Old Trafford last time out.

Jan Paul van Hecke to Commit 1+ Fouls

van Hecke has committed six fouls across his nine Premier League appearances this season (0.67 per 90) with the centre back’s duel with Viktor Gyokeres really standing out in this clash. van Hecke relishes the challenge of going up against a real physical centre back, this was the case in Brighton’s 2-1 win over Manchester City where van Hecke was up against Haaland - he committed a foul and was shown a yellow card on that occasion.

Gyokeres has won 11 fouls across his nine Premier League appearances this season (1.31 per 90). He usually wins fouls by pinning the opposition centre back and trying to hold up the ball, he often focuses too much on the physical contact with the centre back rather than trying to hold the ball up. This results in Gyokeres getting in some real bust ups with the opposition centre backs which is a scenario that could develop here.

van Hecke contested 20 duels against Manchester United last time out, losing more than any other player (9). He was up against Benjamin Sesko on that occasion who managed to draw one foul from the Dutch centre back and I can see a similar battle materialising between Gyokeres and van Hecke here.

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📈 Arsenal v Brighton Form & Tactics

Arsenal look like a really complete side and stretched their winning run to seven games across all competitions with their 1-0 win over Crystal Palace at the weekend.

That performance and result was expected for the Gunners, but the game that really caught my eye was their 4-0 win over Atletico Madrid in the Champions League. I have rarely seen Diego Simeone’s side bullied and out of ideas but Arsenal really took them apart expertly with a performance to suggest they can really challenge on all fronts this term.

The only slight concern I’d have with Arsenal at the moment is their overreliance on set pieces as a path to goal. 

The Gunners rank 14th in the Premier League when it comes to scoring goals from open play and Arteta will just have to be cautious that Arsenal’s strength doesn’t become their only trick, with only five goals from open play in the Premier League this term. 

That being said, the general direction of travel of the Premier League leans towards physicality and set pieces so this could be the perfect environment for Arsenal to thrive. 

Brighton have never won a major trophy, but like many of the mid table sides last season, they would have seen the scenes with Palace and Tottenham as they ended trophy droughts last year and will be eager to add to the silverware cabinet themselves. 

Their squad is suited to a cup run with depth all over the park. It’s unfortunate that they’ve been drawn against the strongest side in the league at the moment, but Brighton can take confidence from their two 6-0 wins in the competition so far. 


📔 Arsenal v Brighton Formation & Team News

Arsenal line up in a 4-3-3 on paper, but this becomes a 3-4-3 when Arsenal are in possession with Arteta now encouraging his wide players to tuck in from the touchline slightly which is proving to be really effective. You can see this for Arsenal’s second goal against Atletico Madrid as Martinelli makes one of these incisive inside runs. He made a similar movement from the opposite side of the pitch against Manchester City.

Arteta had previously instructed his wingers to stay as wide as possible, but this switch to encourage them to make more penetrative runs naturally makes Arsenal are more threatening side in the final third. This has been made possible by the presence of Viktor Gyokeres who is able to occupy centre backs and create channels for the likes of Saka and Martinelli to exploit.

Arsenal have quite a few doubts for this game and I wouldn't be surprised to see them rotate for this encounter. Declan Rice, Ricardo Calafiori, William Saliba and Martin Odegaard are all doubts for this game. Havertz, Jesus and Madueke are longer term absentees that also won’t be available here.

Brighton line up in a 4-2-3-1 with a focus on platforming their wide players in dangerous positions as often as possible. Mitoma is injured at the moment so their biggest threat is likely to be Yankuba Minteh who impressed again against Manchester United last time out. 

Brighton can be quite open at the back, as the four goals they conceded at Old Trafford shows, and will need to temper their approach here to ensure that they aren’t blown away by Arsenal.


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