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Brighton v Arsenal
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Kick Off: Saturday 4th January at 17:30
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Competition: Premier League
Brighton host Arsenal at the Amex Stadium in what represents a crucial match in the seasons of both sides. The hosts will need to reverse their form as of late if they hope to take anything from this match, meanwhile, Arsenal will be eager to put pressure on league leaders Liverpool.
⭐ Brighton v Arsenal Best Bet
Arsenal enter this match on a 12-game unbeaten run, having bounced back strongly from a rocky spell caused by Ødegaard’s injury absence.
They’ve now secured victories in 9 of their last 11 games and will be eager to set the record straight after the controversial reverse fixture where Declan Rice’s red card for delaying the restart sparked outrage.
Brighton have been poor in recent weeks, failing to win any of their last 7 matches, even against struggling sides like Leicester and Southampton. Their poor form has seen them slide down the table to 10th, a stark contrast to their promising start to the season.
🟢 Brighton v Arsenal #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
Arsenal come into this clash having already won 14 games by a margin of 2 or more goals, including 7 of their last 11 matches. Winless in 7 league games, Brighton have failed to take advantage of an easy run of matches, with both losses over the period being by 2 goals, losing 3-1 to both Fulham and Crystal Palace.
Arsenal’s 120 corners see them rank a respectable 5th in the league for corners taken per game, averaging 6.32, but perhaps more significantly they’ve conceded an average of just 3.16.
The 202 corners which have been taken in games involving Brighton have been fairly evenly split between them and their opposition, with slightly more going against them, averaging 5.16 taken and 5.58 conceded.
👕 Brighton v Arsenal Predicted XI
🔍 Brighton v Arsenal Players to Watch
🔴 Myles Lewis-Skelly
Averaging 2.95 fouls drawn per 90 in the Premier League, Lewis-Skelly offers excellent value in the market and is expected to start in Timber’s absence.
Having demonstrated his quick feet and ability to position his body effectively between the ball and his opponent, Lewis-Skelly excels at drawing fouls in a manner reminiscent of Saka. His impact has been even more pronounced in the Carabao Cup, where he averages 4.86 fouls drawn per 90, while in the Champions League, this figure is 2.17.
The fullback is likely to rotate into a midfield which contains both Ayari (1.85 fouls per 90) and Baleba (1.54 fouls per 90) which should also help.
🔴 Thomas Partey
This season, Partey has committed at least two fouls in 9 of his 14 Premier League starts for Arsenal, as well as in his Champions League clash with Inter. His struggles are particularly evident against quick opponents, with many of his fouls being tactical to prevent them from breaking away.
Brighton’s choice for the attacking midfield role remains uncertain, but recent games have seen Enciso in that position. Enciso fits the profile of a player who could trouble Partey and averages 2.20 fouls drawn per 90 minutes. Partey could also fill in at right-back, which would mean he’d have to deal with the tricky Kaoru Mitoma.
📂 Brighton v Arsenal Cheat Sheet
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💻 Brighton v Arsenal Form and Tactics
Arsenal will set up in a 4-3-3 with Lewis-Skelly inverting to as to rotate into the midfield and create an overload.
This, alongside their controlled high press, helps them dominate possession. Their passes tend to be short and concise, with Odegaard generally delegated the responsibility of finding the final, incisive pass.
Brighton’s 4-2-3-1 will be tasked with keeping it tight at the back and may rely mainly on transitions to breach the Arsenal backline.
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🏁 Brighton v Arsenal Ref Watch
- Referee: Anthony Taylor
- Anthony Taylor boats a conservative career average of just 21.77 fouls and 3.66 yellow cards awarded per game.
- Both of these figures have seen marginal and perhaps negligible increases to 23.00 fouls and 4.08 yellows this season.
- That said, his average of 0.31 penalties per game stands out as an abnormally high figure. In keeping with that, he’s pointed to the spot 0.37 times per 90 this season.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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