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Man United v Newcastle
Two teams moving in opposite directions meet in a rerun of last season’s EFL Cup final. It seemed like the occasion got to Newcastle at Wembley in February, but this time around they will be out for revenge, with the cup representing a very real opportunity to end Newcastle’s trophy drought.
The hosts arrive on the back of a chastening 3-0 derby day defeat at the weekend, whilst Newcastle’s last two games have seen them lose to Dortmund in the Champions League, before twice allowing Wolves to equalise in a pulsating 2-2 draw at Molineux.
Man United’s injury list may be starting to shrink, but there seems to be little chance of their backline improving from the Victor Lindelof, Jonny Evans, and Harry Maguire trio that has become familiar in recent weeks. This will be extremely exciting for Newcastle’s forward line, with three of the four players set to start in defence all likely to find themselves back on the bench when the squad returns to full fitness.
Of course, both sides will be looking to rotate players, but young players with a point to prove can often make for exciting games, so this should be a fun watch and a great match for a bet builder.
Read on for our heavily researched tips and some excellent value picks that would make a great addition to any bet builder.
Man United v Newcastle Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
Our famous Cheat Sheets are the place to start, with the Man United v Newcastle sheet giving us plenty of insight into every market available for the game ahead.
From corners to cards, from shots to fouls, we really do have you covered, so dive into the data, and read on to find some stats we think are worthwhile to consider.
Now, for our breakdown and preview with recommended bets…
⛳ Man United stats: United the Premier League corner kings
Man United have had more corners per game than any other Premier League side this season, both at home and overall.
They average 13.2 corners per game between both sides, jumping to 13.8 at home. In their six Premier League home games, they have had at least seven corners in all six, even in their 3-0 drubbing by Man City at the weekend.
Their counter-attacking style, and pacy, direct wingers mean that covering defenders are often forced into tackles that result in corners, so even in games that United are not expected to dominate, corners are always likely.
Over 8.5 corners has landed in all ten Premier League games for the Red Devils this season, whilst over 10.5 has landed in eight. As Newcastle are on the lower end of the spectrum for corners, you may decide to stick to just the United corners, but we think there is value to be found in the overall corners market as well.
Prediction: Over 4.5 Man United corners @ 1.45
Prediction: Over 5.5 Man United corners @ 1.95
Prediction: Over 6.5 Man United corners @ 2.75
Prediction: Over 10.5 match corners @ 1.91
🥅 Newcastle stats: Goals at both ends of the pitch
Newcastle were the joint-best defence in the league last season, conceding 33 goals in total, however, they have become significantly leakier this season, conceding 11 goals already.
They have coupled this with becoming the joint-highest scoring side in the division, notching 26 goals in ten games, level with Aston Villa.
As a result, their last five league games have seen them score two or more goals in each game, including that 8-0 thrashing of Sheffield United at Bramall Lane. With the Red Devils’ defence being generously described as sub-par so far this season, goals in this one are surely a near-certainty.
Newcastle will likely be without Sven Botman, and whilst Man United have been poor this season, they have still only failed to score twice in nine home games in all competitions. Meanwhile, Newcastle have only kept one clean sheet on the road all season in the Premier League, away at struggling Burnley.
Prediction: Both teams to score @ 1.75
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.95
Prediction: Over 0.5 Man United goals @ 1.22
🎯 Man United offensive stats: McTominay a revelation going forward
Steve Clarke’s decision to move Scott McTominay further forward for Scotland is looking more inspired by the week, with the midfielder proving his worth in an attacking sense with an absurd 0.79 goals per 90 in the Premier League this season.
Only a smart stop from Ederson prevented the Scotsman from adding to his tally last weekend, and with United floundering in an attacking sense, his long-range efforts are more needed than ever.
The 26-year-old has been deadly accurate with his attempts this season, 1.84 shots per 90 converting into 1.58 shots on target per game in the Premier League. Newcastle will be a tough nut to crack, especially for a side as devoid of creativity as Erik ten Hag’s men, so McTominay will surely have a licence to shoot.
Prediction: Scott McTominay to have 1+ shots @ 1.22
Prediction: Scott McTominay to have 2+ shots @ 2.30
Prediction: Scott McTominay to have 1+ shots on target @ 2.88
🎯 Newcastle offensive stats: Wilson with a point to prove
As the season has progressed, it is clear that the rotation of Alexander Isak and Callum Wilson has developed from a level playing field to Isak being the starter and Wilson being the rotation option.
With Isak sidelined, Wilson has it all to do to win back his starting role, with attempts to play both last season producing mixed results. Missing a golden chance in the loss against Dortmund will not have helped either.
Therefore, Wilson is likely to approach this tie as a chance to make his mark and remind Eddie Howe of his qualities. Two goals against Wolves at the weekend was a great start, but he did get fortunate with the first, missing another big chance only to have the rebound drop right at his feet.
Against a poor United defence, the English striker will fancy his chances of getting on the scoresheet again in this one. His odds look great value considering he is the top scorer for Newcastle this season, and he will be starting against a centre back pairing that look better suited for starting roles at a testimonial, than at English football’s most successful club.
Prediction: Callum Wilson to score anytime @ 3.60
Prediction: Callum Wilson to have 1+ shot on target @ 1.44
🛑 Man United defensive stats: Onana likely to be busy
Andre Onana has come under increasing pressure as the season has gone on, with a number of questionable performances mixed in with some exceptional reaction saves.
Doubtless, the injury issues amongst the defenders tasked with preventing shots have not helped, but the Cameroonian keeper has not always covered himself in glory when shots do come in.
Despite the struggles, he has managed 3.9 saves per game in his ten Premier League appearances so far, the fourth-highest tally in the division. He has made four or more saves in six of those ten games, with United conceding four or more shots on target in eight of those ten.
Only Crystal Palace and Brentford were unable to rack up enough shots on target for either of our suggested lines to be hit, and both those sides took early leads and decided to sit back and soak up pressure instead of going for more goals. Even if Newcastle do score early, they will still pose a much greater threat on the counter and are unlikely to commit to a deep block.
Their opponents have racked up 5.2 shots on target per game in the league, and this is likely to be matched or even bettered with Newcastle coming to town. The Tyneside outfit have managed 5.8 shots on target per game so far this season.
All in all, if United are to progress, they will surely have Onana to thank.
Prediction: Andre Onana to make 3+ saves @ 1.67
Prediction: Andre Onana to make 4+ saves @ 2.63
🛑 Newcastle defensive stats: Fouls likely to come down the right
With Marcus Rashford expected to be rested in favour of Alejandro Garnacho, the United player who has drawn the most fouls this season, Newcastle’s right-sided defenders may well be in trouble.
The Argentine has drawn 3.57 fouls per game in his league appearances this season, with his directness and pace catching out many a defender.
Jamaal Lascelles looks to be the best option with the Englishman committing 2.14 fouls per game, and being likely to be exposed by Kieran Trippier’s forays upfield. He has committed a foul in seven of his eight appearances this season, even in his 17-minute outing at Brighton.
Lascelles has committed two or more fouls in three of his last four games, with two against West Ham, three against Palace and two again last weekend at Wolves.
Trippier is also a solid option, the 33-year-old averages 1.05 fouls per game just slightly over one per game. He is less likely to have them in volume, he has fouled in 13 of his 15 competitive games this season, but only fouling twice or more on three occasions.
Prediction: Kieran Trippier to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.33
Prediction: Jamaal Lascelles to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.22
Prediction: Jamaal Lascelles to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.10
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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