Nicolas Otamendi is priced at 1.67 with Paddy Power (best on the market) to commit at least one foul, a figure that contrasts sharply with other bookmakers, who offer as low as 1.06, implying a 92.6% probability of a foul being committed.

This significant difference presents great value when compared to the market average.

Otamendi averages 0.84 fouls per 90 minutes.

In European competition, he commits exactly one foul per game.

Has committed at least one foul in seven of his last nine European games.

In the reverse fixture and their previous league phase, meeting, he committed one foul and two fouls, respectively.

Otamendi will be tasked with defending against the threat of Barcelona’s attack, notably:

Robert Lewandowski (ST): Draws 1.54 fouls per 90.
Lamine Yamal (RW/RAM): Draws 2.1 fouls per 90.

While Benfica may struggle to break down Barcelona’s defence, this can lead to rash and cynical challenges, heightening the likelihood of Otamendi picking up fouls. Should they take an early lead, however, their defensive approach to maintain that control may prompt additional fouls, further strengthening this selection.

With his tendency to commit fouls in European fixtures and the attacking danger posed by Barcelona, this bet at 1.67 with Paddy Power offers strong value with the insurance of Super Sub if he goes off for whatever reason.