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Gem Bet: Barcelona v Benfica

Gem Bet: Barcelona v Benfica

Tuesday 11 March, 20251 min read
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ABC Editorial Team

The ABC Editorial Team have a combined Sports Journalism experience of 20+ years. They love to crunch the numbers for all betting predictions, meticulously finding value in each selection. Football experts in their own right, they each bring specialists sports and leagues to the table. Whether it be football, horse racing, boxing, darts, or NFL, our team is equipped to bring you the most insightful and valuable betting tips around.

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💎 Nicolas Otamendi to Commit 1+ Fouls @ 1.67 on Paddy Power 🔄️

Fixtures for: Tuesday 11th March

Barcelona v Benfica

Barcelona v Benfica

17:45

Nicolas Otamendi to Commit 1+ Fouls

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Our last nine Gem Bets have landed as we now look to go 10 in a row. If you'd backed each of them with £10 you'd be £102.90 up.

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💎 Gem Bet: Nicolas Otamendi to Commit 1+ Fouls @ 1.67 (v Barcelona)

Fixtures for: Tuesday 11th March

Barcelona v Benfica

Barcelona v Benfica

17:45

Nicolas Otamendi to Commit 1+ Fouls

Nicolas Otamendi is priced at 1.67 with Paddy Power (best on the market) to commit at least one foul, a figure that contrasts sharply with other bookmakers, who offer as low as 1.06, implying a 92.6% probability of a foul being committed. This significant difference presents great value when compared to the market average. Otamendi averages 0.84 fouls per 90 minutes. In European competition, he commits exactly one foul per game. Has committed at least one foul in seven of his last nine European games. In the reverse fixture and their previous league phase, meeting, he committed one foul and two fouls, respectively. Otamendi will be tasked with defending against the threat of Barcelona's attack, notably: Robert Lewandowski (ST): Draws 1.54 fouls per 90. Lamine Yamal (RW/RAM): Draws 2.1 fouls per 90. While Benfica may struggle to break down Barcelona's defence, this can lead to rash and cynical challenges, heightening the likelihood of Otamendi picking up fouls. Should they take an early lead, however, their defensive approach to maintain that control may prompt additional fouls, further strengthening this selection. With his tendency to commit fouls in European fixtures and the attacking danger posed by Barcelona, this bet at 1.67 with Paddy Power offers strong value with the insurance of Super Sub if he goes off for whatever reason.
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