Sarr has had 25 shots on target across his 36 Premier League appearances this season, 28 of those have been starts taking his average to 0.88 shots on target per 90. His average in the FA Cup rises to 1.18 shots on target per 90 with three goals across his four appearances in the competition for the 27-year-old.

Sarr is a ready-made threat for City, in particular, due to his speed and directness. City have been struggling with quick transitions against them all season and there aren’t many better sides at doing this in the Premier League than Palace with their front three of Jean-Philippe Mateta, Eberechi Eze and Sarr. 

Dias has only had seven shots on target across his 25 Premier League appearances this season (0.30 per 90) and has not scored a goal in any competition. Sarr should naturally get more opportunities in front of goal as a winger than Dias will as a centre back, Dias is likely to be a shot threat from corners but otherwise won’t really be in a position to find the target.

Jefferson Lerma is averaging 1.63 fouls won per 90 in the Premier League this season and has been fouled 3+ times in both head-to-heads v Manchester City this season. This is quite impressive seeing as Pep Guardiola’s side don’t tend to commit many fouls (7.6 per game - lowest in the Premier League). 

We’re pitting him up against Josko Gvardiol who is averaging 0.70 fouls won per 90 in the Premier League this season. Gvardiol was fouled once in each of the games between the sides this season and has recently been playing as a centre back, which sees him involved in fewer 1v1 battles where he is isolated and can be fouled.

Lerma’s strong foul record across the season as a whole and his strong performances when it comes to winning fouls against Manchester City, in particular, set up the Palace midfielder nicely to win more fouls than Gvardiol in the FA Cup final. Palace have forced an increase in City’s average foul count in both head-to-head meetings between the sides this season, with City committing 10 fouls in each game.