Bologna’s performance at home this season suggests they are a strong bet to exceed 3.5 corners here. In Serie A, they have consistently generated high corner numbers, recording six or more in four of their five home matches, a rate that ranks second in the league, behind only Inter.

In their Champions League campaign, Bologna have averaged 3.33 corners per match so far, which is solid given that two of these games were challenging away fixtures against Aston Villa and Liverpool. Returning to their home turf, Bologna’s more assertive attacking approach is expected to increase their corner count, particularly as they aim to control possession and apply pressure on their opponents.

Monaco’s track record in the Champions League and Ligue 1 this season suggests they are likely to reach 2.5 yellow cards in this pivotal fixture. With an average of 2.3 yellow cards per game in the Champions League and 1.9 in domestic Ligue 1 play, Monaco have shown a tendency for assertive play that often leads to cautions. In a high-stakes scenario like this, Monaco’s defensive intensity will likely increase further, making additional bookings probable.

Moreover, Monaco’s yellow card odds align with those of their opponent, Bologna, despite Bologna averaging only 1.3 yellow cards per game in Serie A – a comparatively disciplined record.

Santiago Castro has been a central figure in Bologna’s attack this season, consistently posing a threat in front of goal. He ranks as Bologna’s joint third-highest shot taker, with an impressive domestic average of 1.15 shots on target per 90 minutes. This reliability shows he’s likely to register at least one shot on target when given time on the pitch.

Although Castro has only started one of Bologna’s three Champions League games so far, this limited time has been primarily due to a minor injury that impacted his availability, particularly against Liverpool. However, he made impactful substitute appearances in both matches, managing to register shots in each.

With Castro now fit and expected to play a key role, he’s well-positioned to deliver at least one shot on target in this critical fixture, reinforcing this bet as a solid choice.

Lamine Camara’s assertive and combative style has made him one of Monaco’s most frequently cautioned players. With four yellow cards and one red in Ligue 1 this season, his aggressive approach is evident.

His foul statistics further illustrate his tenacity. Camara averages 2.14 fouls per 90 minutes in Ligue 1, a rate that increases to 2.29 fouls per game in the Champions League. These numbers reflect his proactive, high-pressure play, especially against tougher opponents in Europe.

Camara’s significance to Monaco is clear, having started in all three of their Champions League matches thus far. In a competitive away game, where emotions and stakes are high, it’s likely that his intensity will lead to at least a couple of fouls.

Monaco’s corner statistics this season suggest great value for this bet for them to record above 3.5 corners. In Ligue 1, their home games see an average of 8.33 total corners, while away games average an even higher 9.75 corners, showcasing Monaco’s ability to generate corner opportunities both at home and on the road.

They have surpassed the 3.5 corner mark in 100% of their domestic games. To add to this, In 75% of their away matches, they’ve recorded over 5.5 corners.

Their Champions League corner performance further supports this bet, Monaco have registered over 3.5 corners in all three of their league stage matches so far. In two of these, they reached over 7.5 corners, comfortably exceeding this line.

Away games in the Champions League are always challenging, but Monaco has shown themselves to be solid on the road this year. Domestically, they’ve won three out of four away games in Ligue 1, demonstrating their strength away from home.

In the Champions League, Monaco’s performance has been stellar. They secured an impressive win over Barcelona and dominated Red Star Belgrade with a 5-1 victory. Their resilience was also evident in a late comeback against Dinamo Zagreb, underscoring their momentum across Europe. Currently sitting second in Ligue 1, Monaco’s form is backed by squad depth and quality performances across competitions.

In contrast, Bologna has struggled to gain consistency, currently 11th in Serie A and yet to score in the Champions League.

Both Bologna and Monaco have tended to play in lower-scoring games this season, suggesting a likely outcome of under 3.5 goals in this matchup. In their domestic leagues, Bologna’s games average 2.3 goals, and Monaco’s average is similarly low at 2.2.

This trend reflects each team’s solid defensive organization, with Bologna particularly effective at home, having conceded only three goals all season in Serie A.

Meanwhile, Monaco boasts Ligue 1’s best defence, further underscoring their capacity to keep scores low, while in the Champions League, Bologna’s goal drought continues, as they are yet to score in the league stage. Given the defensive strength of these sides and low-scoring tendencies, under 3.5 goals appears a reliable choice.

Posch averages 2.09 fouls per 90 minutes in Serie A , and this trend carries over to his Champions League games, where he averages 3.33 fouls per match. His average fouls per game across both competitions is 1.92 the highest among players expected to feature in this game.

His assertive, physical approach has also led to three yellow cards this season, reflecting his willingness to challenge opponents aggressively.
Moreover, Posch’s consistent presence in Bologna’s lineup, having played every minute of their Champions League campaign so far, increases his opportunities to pick up fouls.

In a high-stakes match where defensive discipline will be tested, Posch’s track record suggests he’s likely to hit or exceed two fouls.