Bournemouth v Newcastle United Cheat Sheet
Bournemouth v Newcastle United
Saturday evening sees Newcastle make the long journey down south to the Vitality Stadium to face a struggling Bournemouth side with just one point from their first six games following the restart. They looked set to pick up a creditable point at Brighton last time out before an 87th minute Kaoru Mitoma goal gave the Seagulls all three points. After a very strong start, Newcastle have dropped more points recently – winning just one of their last five league games. Last time out they were pegged back by West Ham after they scored within three minutes and ended up drawing 1-1. However, they remain in a very strong position in the league in fourth position, five points behind Manchester City in second.
Bournemouth started their return to the Premier League in fine fashion, only losing three of their first ten. However, since then they have lost nine of their last 11, only beating Everton. They now sit in 19th, two points from safety and are in a dangerous position where they may get cut adrift if results don’t improve soon. Last time out at home they were pegged back late by Sam Surridge as they drew 1-1 with Nottingham Forest and a loss here could see Gary O’Neil fired. They are massively struggling for goals, only managing one against Premier League opposition in seven matches since the World Cup break. They are also contending with many injuries with Lloyd Kelly, Jack Stephens, Junior Stanislas, Ryan Fredericks and David Brooks all out for this one.
Newcastle fans are delighted with their season as they dream of a Champions League place next season along with an EFL Cup win in their first full year with new ownership. They sit in fourth and will face Manchester United later this month in the EFL Cup final. Their shock FA Cup defeat at Sheffield Wednesday is their only defeat since August and it has not disrupted their momentum since winning four of their six matches after that game. Away from home, they have conceded just six goals in ten matches, picking up 17 points from their ten matches and their only defeat was a 2-1 loss at Anfield, where Fabio Carvalho managed a last minute winner. They have not lost to Bournemouth in their last seven meetings and given the two teams are having very contrasting seasons, Eddie Howe will be expecting that run to continue here. They will be without Bruno Guimaraes as he continues to serve his three-match ban for a red card in the EFL Cup whilst Matt Targett, Emil Krafth and Javier Manquillo are all injured here. Aleksander Isak should be available here having missed the draw against West Ham due to concussion protocol.
Callum Wilson returns to Bournemouth to face his old side that he made 171 appearances for, scoring 61 goals, for the first time in the league due to his poor injury record. He is flying for his new side this season, with seven goals and three assists in just 1128 minutes in the league this season – equating to 0.80 goal contributions per game. Despite having another injury riddled season, in the league this year, he has had 41 shots – 3.27 per 90 minutes – with 17 of these on target, at a rate of 1.36 shots on target per match. Across his last four, he has had at least one shot on target in each and has amassed 14 shots in that time. Last time out against West Ham, he found the back of the net and this season in the EFL Cup against Bournemouth, he had four shots (one on target) in their 1-0 victory. The forward is also on penalties for the Magpies, adding even more to his chances of finding the back of the net.
Miguel Almiron is having an incredible season which has seen him score nine times already. He is averaging 34.74 attempted passes per game, with 28.67 of these completed. The Paraguayan has attempted at least 30 in each of his last three matches and in 11 of Newcastle’s 21 fixtures this season. He has attempted at least 25 in 15 of those games. In the return fixture at St James’ Park, the attacker tried 51 passes, with 46 of these successful.
Newcastle average 51.3% of possession so far this season, the seventh most in the Premier League. They have seen at least 56% of the ball in four of their last five and at least 61% in three of those games, including 63% against West Ham last weekend. Bournemouth average 40.0% of the ball, worsened by only Nottingham Forest in the topflight of English football. They have not had more than 50% of possession in their last five and managed just 28% at Brighton last time out. In their two meetings this season, Newcastle have dominated with 63% and 72% of possession meaning Almiron should see plenty of the ball.
Antoine Semenyo was highly sought after in the January transfer window and eventually made the move from Bristol City down south to Bournemouth. He committed 28 fouls in 1249 for the Robins this season – averaging 2.02 per 90. This is the third most of any Bristol City player despite playing significantly less minutes than the two above him – Nahki Wells (686 more minutes) and Alex Scott (1072).
This season, he has committed two or more fouls six times in 11 starts, and last season he had multiple offences 14 times in 24 starts. This is his first match in front of his new home crowd and he will be keen to impress by trying to close down the Newcastle defenders and midfielders. At Brighton last week, he was given the full 90 minutes (committing one foul) and whilst he wasn’t at his most impressive, given Solanke and Tavernier’s injuries, he should play most of the game here.
Bournemouth have defended very deep and narrow this season, averaging 6.76 corners against per game, dropping slightly to 6.40 at home. They have conceded at least five in 81% of their league matches, including in each of their last ten. At the Vitality, they have conceded at least five in seven of their ten games and in four of their last five.
Newcastle average seven corners per game in the league this season and 6.20 away from St James’ Park. They have had 5+ corners in 71% of their games, including in five of their last six and on their travels, they have had five corners in six of their ten games and in four of their last five. The two head to head’s so far this season have seen this selection land twice with six Newcastle corners in the EFL Cup and eight in the Premier League.
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