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Brentford v Brighton Bet Builder Tips, Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Brentford v Brighton Bet Builder Tips, Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Wednesday 3 April, 20242 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

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Brentford v Brighton

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Kick Off: Wednesday 3rd March at 19:30
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: TNT Sports 3

Midweek Premier League action returns as Brentford welcome Brighton to the Gtech Community Stadium on Wednesday night as the Premier League season enters its crunch phase. Here on Andy's Bet Club we provide a selection of Premier League bet builder predictions, such as this one, alongside Premier League acca tips. And it's not just Premier League football either, with a wide range of betting tips & predictions on-site from across the world and in a range of sports, so you can bet smarter no matter what you're into.

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Having finished only two points off the European spots last season, Brentford have certainly struggled to replicate that form. The Bees sit just five points above the relegation zone which will surely see them safe from any relegation talks but the fans will be looking forward to a new chapter.

Brentford salvaged a point against Manchester United in the dying moments of the game over the weekend. The Bees left it late after dominating the attacking stats for the whole match, having a massive 85 touches in the United penalty area. Their difficulty in being clinical nearly punished them heavily once more. 

Brighton did themselves proud in their narrow defeat to new league leaders Liverpool and will be kicking themselves for their two errors that led to goals. However, the European places are still very much within Brighton’s grasp as they sit only two points from seventh spot. Every point counts now.

Brentford v Brighton Cheat Sheet

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You can find Brentford v Brighton match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off. If you're looking for a new bookmaker check out the best bet builder bookmakers.

⚽️ Goals stats: Andddd action...

Many would have considered Brentford’s goal threat to diminish greatly this season considering the lengthy suspension for Ivan Toney but they’ve only blanked against Manchester City in the Premier League this season. Their great inconsistencies in defence have been their punishment, conceding the fourth-most goals in the league (55). With both teams needing a result at opposite ends of the table, this could spark an end-to-end affair. At least three goals have been scored in 12 of the last 15 games at the G-Tech Community Stadium, with 70% of the Bees' league fixtures witnessing the same total so far this season. Four of their last five games have seen 3+ goals and considering Brentford have only kept one clean sheet since gameweek 10, there’s certainly value in the goals markets. Brighton are known in the Premier League for high octane encounters. This is much deserved considering their average of 3.55 goals per game when playing away from home, with 11 of their 15 away games this season witnessing 3 or more goals. The Seagulls are going through a tough phase playing away from the Amex recently, losing six of their last seven away trips. Their defensive issues will certainly be a region of concern against such a prolific Brentford side, especially considering 76% of Brighton’s league matches have seen both teams score - a testament to the likelihood goals at both ends. The last two league meetings between these two have witnessed 3+ goals and both teams on the scoresheet, and we expect some fireworks here once more.

Predictions:

⚽ Both teams to score @ 1.40

⚽ Over 2.5 goals @ 1.45

🎯 Shooting stats: Brentford need to be more clinical

After registering a massive 31 shots against Manchester United, it seems only fitting to target Brentford’s shooting markets. The Bees certainly failed to make their efforts count considering only five hit the target, but they face a Brighton team who concede 12.20 shots per 90 so far this campaign. Brentford are averaging a respectable 14.60 shots per 90 with 5.10 hitting the target to the same measure, and these figures are a great testament to their recent attacking form. Brentford have registered 5+ shots on target in 8 of their last 11 league matches and registered 136 shots during this time. Brighton have conceded 4+ shots on target in all of their last 3 league outings, with the Seagulls conceding an average of 4.07 shots on target per 90 this season. Brentford will know they need to be way more efficient with their efforts last time out, including Ivan Toney who failed to register a shot on target from nine attempts. We expect the Bees to hit a similar tally. One of Brighton’s most consistent goal threats this season surprisingly comes from their centre back, Lewis Dunk. The England international is a key aerial threat from set pieces and has been trusted with direct free kick duties which makes him a great target in the shooting markets. The stats speak for themselves with Dunk registering at least one shot on goal in eight consecutive games for Brighton across all competitions, picking up six shots on target in that period. Dunk averages a very respectable 1.27 shots per 90 this campaign, and considering his recent attacking form with 2 shots on target against Liverpool last time out, there's great value in his price for an effort on goal in this one.

⚽ Brentford to have 4+ shots on target @ 1.22

⚽ Brentford to have 5+ shots on target @ 1.57

⚽ Lewis Dunk to have 1+ shots @ 1.36

🚩 Corners stats: Both teams showing strength in set pieces

Both the Bees and the Seagulls participated in high corner tally matches over the Easter weekend and this looks to be a strong target once again. Brentford managed an impressive 14 corners on their own against Manchester United, smashing the visitors set piece count of 4, while Brighton’s encounter with Liverpool witnessed 12 total corners. Extending beyond the weekend, Brentford home matches are averaging 9.73 corners, closely edged out by Brighton’s away game average of 10.64. Six of the last eight matches for Brentford have had 9 or more corners, which extends out to 10 of their last 14. The same total has occurred in five of Brighton’s last six including some big totals when the Seagulls play away from home - 12 (v Liverpool), 15 (v Sheffield United) and 15 (v Spurs). Brighton’s four corner tally against Liverpool was their lowest corner total in six games, with Brighton registering 6+ corners in five games before that. Three of those came away from home so there’s certainly no concern that they can rack up big set piece tallies on the road.

Predictions:

⚽ Over 8.5 total corners @ 1.45

⚽ Over 9.5 total corners @ 1.80

⚽ Over 4.5 Brighton corners @ 1.73

🛑 Fouls stats: Toney’s ill-discipline to continue

Ivan Toney has established himself as one of Brentford’s serial foulers this season with the England international boasting 1.64 fouls per 90, picking up three bookings since his return in gameweek 21. Toney has committed at least one foul in four consecutive matches, and in five of his last six, which includes a whopping seven fouls against Burnley just before the international break. Toney will be up against two very physically dominant centre halves in this affair which could certainly push Toney to his limits, to get on the wrong side of the ref at least once. Carlos Baleba has been impressive in recent weeks, during his starts and his bench cameos, and he has certainly proved himself a handful for opposition midfielders. Baleba loves to get stuck in, which is very apparent from him 2.52 fouls committed and 1.89 fouls drawn per 90 this season. He arrived in January and has just shy of 900 minutes played for the Seagulls this season but in that time he has picked up five bookings, 0.53 bookings per 90 so far. There is certainly value in him picking up a booking too for those high odds bet builders but the advised angle will be for Baleba to be on the receiving end of those harsh tackles.

Predictions:

⚽ Ivan Toney to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.20

⚽ Carlos Baleba to be fouled 1+ times @ 1.20

⚽ Carlos Baleba to be fouled 2+ times @ 1.91

* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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