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Man United v Brighton
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Kick Off: Sunday 19th January at 14:00
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Competition: Premier League
Fabian Hurzeler’s steady Brighton side make the trip to Old Trafford with the Seagulls unbeaten across their last 6 fixtures in all competitions. A 2-0 win against Ipswich midweek got them back to winning ways in the Premier League after a series of respectable draws including decent results against Arsenal and Aston Villa.
Ruben Amorim will be perplexed by his team’s variance in performance over recent fixtures. A 12-minute Amad Diallo hat-trick spared United’s blushes against bottom-of-the-table Southampton last time out but there were still cracks in the performance which may just remind fans to temper their expectations with this current crop of players.
⭐ Man United v Brighton Best Bet
Brighton have proven to be quite a stubborn side to beat this campaign, Fabian Hurzeler has plenty of fluidity in his set up which makes his team adaptable to a range of tactical systems. Ruben Amorim is quite set on his 3-4-3 system but there are weaknesses that Hurzeler and Brighton can exploit.
Brighton have only lost 3 of their 11 away trips in the Premier League this season, 2 of these were against Liverpool and Chelsea where they were still competitive in the fixture and the other was against Fulham where his side were unlucky not to come away with at least a point having generated an xG of 1.47 to Fulham’s 0.65.
Man United’s first-half performance against Southampton was a reminder of the issues that exist in the side. They can be too easy to get at and a better side would have put a few past them in that first half. They improved in the latter stages but their home form suggests this is a common pattern. United have only won 5 of their 11 home fixtures this season and struggled to limit goals – they’ve conceded 5 more goals at home this campaign compared to their away fixtures.
Brighton ran out 2-1 winners in this fixture earlier in the season and have tended to find something for the games against the traditional top 6 sides. History is also on their side, Brighton have won on each of their last 2 visits to Old Trafford across the last few seasons and won’t shy away from getting at them here. United’s performances against Arsenal and Liverpool show they can still turn up on occasion so giving Brighton a slender advantage with the handicap seems a sensible choice here.
🟢 Man United v Brighton #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
#WhatOddsPaddy Tip pending…
👕 Man United v Brighton Predicted XI
🔍 Man United v Brighton Players to Watch
🔵 Joao Pedro
Joao Pedro returned to Brighton’s starting 11 against Ipswich last time out after a brief spell on the sidelines due to injury. He’s registered 10 goal contributions across his 15 Premier League appearances this season (5 goals, 5 assists).
He’s arguably Brighton’s most important attacking player in Fabian Hurzeler’s system and has impressed against some of the better sides in the league this season with goal contributions against Arsenal, Aston Villa, Man City, Chelsea and Man United in the initial meeting between the sides.
He should have some opportunities to add to his tally against a Manchester United side that have conceded 17 goals across their 11 home games this season.
🔴 Amad Diallo
Amad Diallo has been sensational for Manchester United since Ruben Amorim took over at Old Trafford. The winger has registered 10 goal contributions since the new manager’s arrival and has played in a few positions, including Amorim’s liking to play traditional wingers in the wingback role – a role he seems to thrive in.
He scored a hat-trick against Southampton last time out and had 6 shots in total. He’s averaging 2.59 shots per 90 across his 19 Premier League appearances this season and should be able to build on his positive performances against a Brighton side he scored against earlier in the campaign.
🔴 Manuel Ugarte
Ugarte has been an important factor in United’s recent positive performances. He struggled a little at the start to adapt to the increased intensity of the Premier League but now appears to have settled.
Ugarte is very aggressive in winning the ball back, he’s averaging 2.32 fouls committed per 90 and 2.53 successful tackles per 90 across his 15 Premier League appearances this season, underlining how much work he gets throughout of possession.
He’s also collected 5 yellow cards in the Premier League this season, the joint second most in the United squad only behind Lisandro Martinez (7).
📂 Man United v Brighton Cheat Sheet
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💻 Man United v Brighton Form and Tactics
Man United set up in a very recognisable 3-4-3 system. Amorim is still bedding in some of his tactical tweaks which he integrated very well at Sporting. Over recent weeks, this has been clear to see in a few areas, particularly with the back 3 who will now jump out of their shape to attempt to win the ball back in the middle of the pitch.
The wing backs are crucial in this system, they’re more like wingers and can give United extra dominance in the opposition half.
Fabian Hurzeler is quite flexible with his system depending on the opponent he’s coming up against. Expect Brighton to line up in a 4-2-3-1 shape but this won’t be a rigid shape. Often, one of the midfield pivots will push up to form a front 4 behind a number 9.
Expect Brighton to target the midfield 2 of Manchester United, Mainoo and Ugarte have done well in this role but can be caught out if that area of the pitch is overloaded and the advanced no 10s don’t help out when United lose the ball.
United have only managed to win 1 of their last 7 games in 90 minutes across all competitions, they did register more positive performances against Arsenal and Liverpool of late so there are green shoots but they are still away from the consistency required to challenge some of the better sides in the league.
Brighton are undefeated across their last 6 games across all competitions, although 4 of these have been draws so Fabian Hurzeler will be looking for his side to kill off games with more regularity. No side have drawn more fixtures in the Premier League than Brighton this season (10).
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🏁 Man United v Brighton Ref Watch
- Referee: Peter Bankes
- His fouls per game is below the average for Premier League referees this season suggesting he’s an official that likes the game to flow and will set the bar a bit higher for a foul to be given.
| Average Cards (Y / R) | 3.83 / 0.17 |
| Fouls Given | 18.08 |
| Penalties | 0.33 |
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* We recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
