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Brighton v Man United
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Kick Off: Saturday 24th August at 12:30
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: TNT Sport
Manchester United have endured some chastening experiences against Brighton in recent seasons and another tough test awaits when they embark on their first away trip of the new campaign to play Albion at the Amex Stadium on Saturday.
Both Brighton and United started the new Premier League season on a positive slant thanks to victories over Everton (3-0) and Fulham (1-0) respectively, though Albion’s triumph at Goodison Park was undoubtedly the more eye-catching result and the Seagulls have been priced as 2.50 favourites to make to two wins from two this weekend
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It doesn’t stop there either, with a selection of both teams to score tips, along with player prop market predictions to fold into bet builders, like our card betting tips, player shots on target tips, and fouls betting predictions as well as our new Premier League anytime goalscorer predictions.
If you enjoy this betting preview, be sure to check out our Brighton v Man United bet builder tips too, featuring our expert’s favourite bet builder selections.
Bruno Fernandes to Have 1+ Shots on Target
Brighton v Man United Best Bets
Manchester United have a habit of starting games slowly under Erik ten Hag and that character trait was on show again against Fulham last week when the Cottagers lodged the first three shots of the game at Old Trafford.
With United’s penchant for sluggish starts offering an angle, backing Brighton to open the scoring on Saturday at 2.0 looks like a good fit. Albion scored the first goal in four of their last five Premier League meetings with Man Utd and keen to make a fast start in Fabian Hürzeler’s first home fixture, they can catch the Red Devils cold again.
Elsewhere, Kaoru Mitoma has excellent credentials in the over 1.5 shots on target market at 4.50. The Japanese winger was in blistering form against Everton last weekend when he aimed three of his four attempts on target, scoring once and lodging a game-high xGF figure of 1.00.
The 27-year-old will face a United defence with some new faces on Saturday and he can capitalise on any uncertainty in that backline in terms of communication and positioning. Mitoma had a shot on target when he last played against United (Sep ’23) and he can improve on that tally here.
📂 Brighton v Man United Cheat Sheet
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You can find even more match stats for this match on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
Check out our list of the best Premier League free bet offers, best betting sites for accumulators and the top bet builder sites. We also collect the best free bet offers and weekly free bet clubs, and maintain an up-to-date of the best UK sports betting sites all to help you bet smarter.
We aim to make our readers better punters, and guides such as our xG in football article are available on-site to help you take your research to the next level. Other useful pieces include our guide to betting on corners, and our tips for how to bet on the fouls won market.
📊 Brighton Form and Stats
Fabian Hürzeler’s introduction to the Premier League was the stuff of dreams for Albion’s new head honcho. Brighton cruised to a hugely-impressive 3-0 win over Everton at Goodison Park and their performance had all the hallmarks of the silky displays we’ve come to expect from the Seagulls in recent seasons.
Only Southampton (604) and Liverpool (520) completed more passes than Brighton across the Premier League’s opening weekend, and it’s already apparent that Hürzeler will be putting a major emphasis on controlling possession this season.
Deployed in a 4-2-3-1 formation, Brighton played with a clinical edge on Merseyside, hitting 50% of their ten shots on target, clocking 1.40 in xGA and allowing Everton to muster just 0.05 xGA in response.
Winger Kaoru Mitoma, who provided 19 goal involvements across his last two Premier League campaigns, was the star performer against Everton and found the target with three of his four efforts against the Blues.
Elsewhere, summer signing Mats Wieffer offered a glimpse of what he is likely to bring to Brighton’s midfield. The Dutchman made four tackles and committed two fouls against Everton, so look out for the 24-year-old’s aggression against United.
📊 Man United Form and Stats
A dramatic 87th-minute debut goal from substitute Joshua Zirkzee was enough to separate Man Utd and Fulham at Old Trafford last Friday evening, though there were several items of interest to highlight from United’s all-round performance in Manchester.
The extra intensity in their pressing efforts from the front looked like a fresh strategy and it led to lofty tackle counts for Casemiro (four), Mason Mount (three), Kobbie Mainoo (three) and Bruno Fernandes (two).
United registered 2.40 in xGF to Fulham’s 0.04, though the Cottagers figure would have been propped up had they made more of the numerous excellent counter-attacking opportunities that were presented to them.
Captain Bruno Fernandes wasted 1.20 in xGA himself after he spurned a series of chances. Playing as a false nine, the 29-year-old had six shots and three attempts on target against Fulham and he could offer a similar threat from the same position against Brighton.
Interestingly, United lost the corner count to Fulham at Old Trafford (7-8). Last season, they operated at a deficit in that department, winning 5.89 corners per game on average to the 7.34 they conceded at the other end. That might be another market to consider this weekend.
⚔️ Brighton v Man United Head-to-Head
Manchester United earned a 2-0 win over Brighton at the Amex Stadium in a final-day dead rubber in May, though that was a break from the norm for these teams and that triumph snapped a run of four successive Albion victories in the Premier League.
United had to navigate some choppy waters on the south coast five months ago and despite claiming maximum points, they lost the xGF battle by 1.70 to 1.30.
Indeed, the Red Devils have routinely found the going tough at the Amex Stadium and they conceded a massive 8.80 in xGA on their last four visits to that venue combined.
Margins have been on the thin side in recent encounters between the clubs in terms of scorelines however, with three of their last four meetings returning two or fewer goals, while United failed to score completely on two of their last three away assignments to play Albion in the Premier League.
Danny Welbeck scored the opener when Brighton beat United 3-1 at Old Trafford in September last year and that was his third goal against his home town club since leaving for pastures new in 2014. No former player has scored more goals against United during the Premier League era than Welbeck.
* We recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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