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Bristol City v Leicester Bet Builder Tips, Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Bristol City v Leicester Bet Builder Tips, Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Friday 29 March, 20243 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

In this article...

Bristol City v Leicester

📅
Kick Off: Friday 29th March at 12:30
🏆
Competition: Championship
📺
Watch Live: Sky Sports Football

Friday sees now second-placed Leicester and mid table Bristol City go head-to-head in an afternoon kick-off at Ashton Gate. It's not just this game we're focusing on either, with our football coverage this Easter weekend also including EFL betting predictions and EFL accumulator tips. As ever on Andy's Bet Club we also have a huge range of football tips and expert betting predictions from outside the EFL to help you bag a winner.

Before you place your bets though, make sure to browse our carefully curated selection of free bets and all of the best bet builder bookmaker offers to make your money work for you.

Leicester come into this Championship fixture not top of the table for the first time in 2024.

The title is still in the Foxes’ hands though as they have a game in hand on table-topping Leeds and sit only a point behind them. The issue that Leicester have though is that their form since the turn of the year has been poor by their high standards.

Of course, the title isn't really the overall goal. Promotion is the main achievement Enzo Maresca is aiming for, but with Ipswich and Southampton continuing to hunt them down at around two points per game, there is little breathing space for Leicester.

Bristol City continue to be a work-in-progress under Liam Manning. There is no doubt that they can be tricky opponents though, especially at Ashton Gate, as Southampton found out when they lost their long unbeaten run there a few weeks ago.

Both clubs have had a number of absentees over the international break, but Manning will have had more of his squad to work with than Maresca, and it feels like every small detail might be important in the run-in at the top of the Championship.

The uncertainty of the international break is one of the few variables that is difficult to quantify. We have a lot of data about the teams at this stage, and, hopefully, this insight can lead to some positive results in your bet builders.

Bristol City v Leicester Cheat Sheet

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This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.

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There are so many ways to use our Cheat Sheets, and we encourage you to find your own methods for helping you pick a winning bet builder, however, if you're unsure of how to use a Cheat Sheet, just click the link for some quick tips to help you make the most of it.

You can find Bristol City v Leicester match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.

🏆 Match stats: Leicester’s strong all-round data and Bristol City’s poor attack

The Foxes have been vying with Leeds at the top of the performance data charts all season long. For the majority of the season Leicester have been at the top of the xG for (xGF) and xG against (xGA) charts. Looking at the data since the turn of the year, Leicester are still strong in terms of chance creation, but they are behind Leeds and Ipswich in that metric. 24.2 xGF in 12 matches is still excellent, just a touch over 2 xGF per match, but they are only 7th for xGA in the same period. This might suggest that Bristol City have a chance of getting at Leicester, and that may well be the case. However, the Robins’ data since the turn of the year suggests that creating good chances is something that they have struggled to do over that period. Indeed, their xGF total is just less than 1 xGF per game, meaning they would be overperforming if they averaged a goal a game. It is likely that they will need to score at least one to get anything out of this game, likely two. Defensively, they have been fairly solid, but not to a top half standard, more in keeping with their mid table position. The data would suggest, as expected, that Leicester are the better team overall, and indeed, it looks as though Bristol City could struggle to take advantage of a potential weakness in Leicester, so the visitors should be favoured for the win.

Predictions:

⚽ Leicester to win @ 1.67

⚽ Leicester (-1) handicap @ 3.0

🎯 Shooting stats: Dewsbury-Hall the best option on the pitch

The run-in is here and Leicester will look to Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall to lead them forward until the end of the season. The midfielder has played the most minutes of any outfield player other than Harry Winks, and if anyone has a good chance of playing 90 minutes to give this market its best chance then it is him. He has the second-highest number of shots on target in the Leicester squad, and averages 0.78 per 90. From a Bristol City perspective, the pickings are fairly slim. Jason Knight has done well for the Robins in a more advanced role than he played at Derby, but his shot on target ratio is poorer than Anis Mehmeti’s. The former Wycombe winger likes to cut in from the left to shoot. He has also been floating more centrally under Liam Manning and that extra time in front of goal seems to have impacted his shot data. He is now the club’s most frequent shot on target merchant, but his price is yet to reflect that. At longer odds, both Wilfred Ndidi and Rob Dickie also appeal, but neither are particularly good bet builder selections. They may be worth small singles at 2.05 and 2.15 respectively.

Predictions:

⚽ Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.73

⚽ Anis Mehmeti to have 1+ shots on target @ 2.0

🚩 Corners stats: Upset on the cards for Bristol City

Though Leicester are fancied for the match, the Foxes’ corner data isn’t strong, especially away from home. Maresca’s side average only 3.68 corners away from the King Power, and concede 5, on a per game basis. It isn’t a very high concession rate either, which means that the corner line expectancy is quite low and a bet on the overs is not recommended overall. However, Bristol City could be underpriced in the corner match bet market and in their own totals. They average 5.63 corners per match at Ashton Gate, and with Leicester also conceding 5 or more there is potentially room on a bet builder for a pro-Robins corners stance.

Predictions:

⚽ Over 3.5 Bristol City corners @ 1.33

⚽ Over 4.5 Bristol City corners @ 1.75

⚽ Bristol City corner match bet @ 2.38

🛑 Fouls stats: Midfielders on both sides to protect the centre of the pitch

Harry Winks broke a long streak of fouling just before the international break. The hope is that he has had time to reflect on that and realise that he needs to get back to fouling here. Winks had gone 10 consecutive matches with at least one foul committed, indeed, nine of those ten matches saw him concede exactly two fouls. With Jason Knight likely to play centrally for Bristol City, and he is being fouled over twice a game on average, there is a strong chance that Winks will be one of those charged with stopping the Bristol City energy man. On the other side of that exact same coin, Joe Williams will have to try and stop Dewsbury-Hall. The Leicester man is one of the division’s most frequent central dribblers and allowing him to carry the ball to the edge of your area is something that must be stopped. Williams is Bristol City’s most frequent fouler, and to find him at a backable price is great to see. He has gone 3, 2, 0, 2, 2 in terms of number of fouls committed in his last five matches.

Predictions:

⚽ Harry Winks to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.25

⚽ Harry Winks to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.30

⚽ Joe Williams to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.20

⚽ Joe Williams to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.0

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