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Cagliari v Fiorentina
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Kick Off: Thursday 23rd May at 19:45
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Competition: Serie A
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Watch Live: TNT Sports 2
Cagliari will bring the curtain down on their Serie A season when they face Fiorentina at the Unipol Domus on Thursday night.
Ahead of this key showdown, we’ll have a breakdown of all the best Cagliari v Fiorentina tips, stats and betting tips. Along with a Cheat Sheet breaking down player stats will also be included.
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Claudio Ranieri, who is set to call time on his illustrious career at the end of the season, steered his side to safety after claiming a 2-0 win at relegation rivals Sassuolo on Sunday.
While Cagliari are just three points in front of Empoli, their superior head-to-head record means they have secured their top-flight status for next season.
Meanwhile, Fiorentina, who will surely be prioritising next week’s Europa Conference League final, are currently occupying eighth position in Serie A following a 2-2 draw with Napoli last time out.
Cagliari v Fiorentina Best Bets
With both sides in a position where they can approach this fixture in a relaxed mood, an entertaining affair could be in-store in Sardinia. Thus, siding with over 2.5 goals at 1.73 on Paddy Power makes plenty of sense. This selection would have paid out in five of Cagliari’s last seven Serie A matches, while the same bet would have also won in each of Fiorentina’s last four league games.
Given that Fiorentina will have one eye on next week’s Europa Conference League final, backing Cagliari in the double chance market with Paddy at evens also holds plenty of appeal. This promises to be an emotional affair for everyone connected with Cagliari and they will be desperate to give club legend Claudio Ranieri the send-off he deserves. What’s more, the in-form hosts should be riding the crest of a wave after securing survival on Sunday, whereas the visitors will likely field a less-than-full-strength side for this one given that they have bigger fish to fry.
📂 Cagliari v Fiorentina Cheat Sheet
There are so many ways to use our Cheat Sheets and we encourage you to find your formula to pick a winning bet builder, however, if you’re unsure of how to use a Cheat Sheet, just click the link for some quick tips to help you make the most of it.
You can find Cagliari v Fiorentina match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
⚔️ Cagliari v Fiorentina Head-to-Head
Fiorentina cruised to a 3-0 win over Cagliari when the two sides met at the Stadio Artemio Franchi earlier this season.
The Viola were extremely clinical in the reverse fixture, as they outperformed their expected goals (xG) tally of 1.16. In fact, Fiorentina scored with their only two shots on target that day, with Cagliari contributing to the scoring courtesy of an own goal.
That being said, Vincenzo Italiano’s side were worthy winners, as they won the shot count 14-6 and they also enjoyed 60% possession en route to victory.
Even before this season, Fiorentina have had the upper hand in this fixture, having avoided defeat in each of the last six meetings.
Cagliari’s last victory against the Viola was way back in November 2019, with the Sardinians triumphing 5-2 on that occasion.
📊 Cagliari Form and Stats
Cagliari looked doomed to the drop back in February but a remarkable turnaround in fortunes has fuelled a stunning surge to safety.
Claudio Ranieri’s side have lost just three of their last 13 Serie A matches, and they completed the great escape by condemning Sassuolo to relegation on Sunday.
While Cagliari haven’t managed to tighten up at the back, an increase in their attacking output has been the catalyst for their strong finish to the season.
The Sardinians have struck at least once in 11 of their last 13 matches, not to mention they notched twice against Inter at the San Siro and twice at home to both Juventus and Atalanta across that stretch of games.
Defensively they are still vulnerable though, as evidenced by the fact they have kept just five clean sheets in 37 Serie A outings this season, giving up an average of 1.41 xGA in the process.
📊 Fiorentina Form and Stats
Fiorentina have been ticking along nicely of late, losing just one of their last six matches in Serie A, as well as securing progress to this year’s Europa Conference League final during that period.
The Viola are in the top five for xGF in the Italian top-flight this term, with their 1.57 xGF per game tally bettered only by AC Milan, Atalanta, Inter, and Napoli.
Vincenzo Italiano’s team have made the net bulge in ten of their last 12 Serie A matches, with the opposition also getting on the scoresheet in each of those ten tussles, suggesting both sides should find the net on Thursday night.
At the other end of the park, Fiorentina have allowed a league-best 1.16 xGA per game when playing away from home in Serie A this season.
Yet, it is worth noting that Fiorentina have failed to file a clean sheet in 11 of their last 14 league games outside of Florence.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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