In this article
Andy’s £2.50 Punts
🇪🇺 PSG v Barcelona
🇪🇺 Atletico Madrid v Dortmund
It’s now time to turn attention to Wednesday’s Champions League action, for the second batch of Champions League quarter-finals.
Ahead of these fixtures, I’ve put together two long-shot selections across each game.
Each will be backed with £2.50, with the lower-tier punt priced at about 15/1 – 20/1, and the higher odds selection at odds around 25/1 – 30/1.
The sign-up link allows you to back £2.50 Punt at these odds but also activates the sign-up offer which gives you £50 in free football bet builders regardless of the result. These free bets are issued as 5 x £10 free bets.
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Andy’s £2.50 Punts
PSG v Barcelona
🏆
Competition: Champions League
📅
Kick Off: Wednesday 10th April at 20:00
14/1 PSG v Barcelona Punt
Bet builder predictions that are eligible for Paddy Power Super Sub will be marked with this emoji ‘🔄️’.
🛑 Raphinha to commit 2+ fouls
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Over a foul per 90 in La Liga
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High press through the wide forwards
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Temperament under slight question
🟨 Manuel Ugarte to be shown a card (🔄️)
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Highest number of fouls in PSG squad
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Responsible for stopping counter attacks in PSG system
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Highest per game rate of fouls in PSG squad
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2 fouls per 90 in Ligue 1, should translate to more in CL
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5 yellows already this season
🥅 Robert Lewandowski to score anytime (🔄️)
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3rd highest scorer in CL history
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0.52 La Liga goals per 90
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0.63 xG per 90 in La Liga
38/1 PSG v Barcelona Punt
🟨 Andreas Christensen to be shown a card (🔄️)
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Playing a defensive midfield role which isn’t his first choice position
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Will be tasked with holding the space in front of the defence which will be under threat, especially on transition
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Averages over a foul per game
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4 yellows already this season
🎯 Kylian Mbappe to have 3+ shots on target
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Regular big game player
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Averages 4.7 shots per 90 in Ligue 1
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Averages 2.1 shots on target per 90 in Ligue 1
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Will be on penalties for PSG
🛑 Lamine Yamal to be fouled 3+ times
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Highest per game rate of being fouled in Barcelona squad
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Fouled over 2 times a game in La Liga
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Barcelona likely to counter attack on numerous occasions, and he will need to be stopped
Atletico Madrid v Dortmund
🏆
Competition: Champions League
📅
Kick Off: Wednesday 10th April at 20:00
16/1 Atletico Madrid v Dortmund Punt
🛑 Cesar Azpilicueta to commit 2+ fouls
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22 fouls from 10.8 90s this season
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2nd highest per game fouling rate at the club
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Up against either Karim Adeyemi or Jamie Bynoe-Gittens, Dortmund’s most regularly fouled players
🥅 Antoine Griezmann to score anytime (🔄️)
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Big game player
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0.42 goals per 90
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2.5 shots per 90
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Likely to be on penalties
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Likely to play up front alongside Alvaro Morata, therefore potentially set to receive more chances than his seasonal average
🟨 Saul Niguez to be shown a card (🔄️)
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Most likely to play the central tackling role in Atleti midfield
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Most fouls in Atleti squad
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35 fouls in 13.8 La Liga 90s
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7 yellows in 13.8 La Liga 90s
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Joint-highest number of yellows in Atleti squad
33/1 Atletico Madrid v Dortmund Punt
🟨 Emre Can to be shown a card (🔄️)
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Highest number of fouls in Dortmund squad
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Up against a combative Atleti midfield
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Four yellows in the Bundesliga this season
🚀 Karim Adeyemi to have 2+ shots
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Likely to be the Dortmund player with the highest shot average in the starting XI
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2.11 shots per 90 in Bundesliga
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Key player on the counter attack for Dortmund
🤝 Rodrigo De Paul to assist anytime (🔄️)
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Looks overpriced based on xA (5.50)
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Highest xA in Atleti squad
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0.29 xA per 90, should be shorter in the market based on that figure
14/1 PSG v Barcelona Punt
38/1 PSG v Barcelona Punt
16/1 Atletico Madrid v Dortmund Punt
33/1 Atletico Madrid v Dortmund Punt
Written by Andy Robson
18+ please gamble responsibly.