Chelsea, sitting 2nd in the league, have been in exceptional form all season. They boast the 2nd-highest goal tally and have suffered only 2 losses, both to elite sides Manchester City and Liverpool. Fulham, on the other hand, are struggling for consistency, with just 1 win in their last 6 matches. Given Chelsea’s superior form, attacking prowess, and home advantage, they are strong favourites to take all 3 points in this matchup.

Fulham average an impressive 4.76 shots on target per game, while Chelsea’s defence concedes an average of 4.53. This suggests plenty of opportunities for Fulham’s attackers to test the goalkeeper. They’ve also shown they can perform against top-tier defences, managing to score against Liverpool, Arsenal, and Manchester City. With these stats in mind, Fulham recording at least 4 shots on target seems a highly likely outcome.

Enzo Fernández attracts an average of 1.12 fouls per game due to his pivotal role in Chelsea’s midfield. He’s likely to face intense pressure from Fulham’s Sasa Lukic, who averages 2.08 fouls per game and is no stranger to committing challenges in high-stakes situations.

Chelsea average 6.18 shots on target per game, a high output that will likely test Fulham’s goalkeeper, Bernd Leno. Fulham concede 4.76 shots on target per match, and Leno himself averages 2.6 saves per game. Away at Chelsea, where defensive workload is expected to increase, Leno making 3 or more saves looks like a safe and logical selection.

Recent matches involving Chelsea and Fulham have been high-scoring affairs. Chelsea have scored in 10 of their last 12 games, while Fulham have netted in 11 of their last 12. Fulham’s ability to find the back of the net against top-tier defences, including 5 goals combined against Arsenal, Liverpool, and Manchester City, underlines their attacking quality. Meanwhile, Chelsea lead the league in scoring, with their matches averaging 3.31 goals per game.

This selection offers excellent value at 3.75. Raúl Jiménez is Fulham’s joint-top scorer this season with 5 goals, proving his knack for delivering in important games. Notably, he has scored against strong opposition like Aston Villa, Newcastle, and Arsenal. With Chelsea conceding 1.12 goals per game, Fulham are well positioned to score, and Jiménez is their most likely contributor.

Moises Caicedo has been a robust, and, at times, aggressive, presence in Chelsea’s midfield. He averages 1.94 fouls per game and has already received 3 yellow cards this season, reflecting his physical style of play. Against Fulham’s midfielders, including Lukic and Adama Traoré, who draw 1.08 and 1.06 fouls per game respectively, Caicedo is likely to commit multiple challenges.

Chelsea consistently deliver high shot totals, averaging 6.18 shots on target per game. Fulham’s defence, which concedes 4.76 shots on target per match, is unlikely to contain Chelsea’s attacking firepower, especially at the Bridge. Given Chelsea’s dominance and ability to test opposition goalkeepers, 6 or more shots on target is a realistic expectation in this fixture.