Real Madrid are already firmly in control of this tie, but there’s nothing to indicate that they’ll ease off in this second leg. You’d have to go all the way back to 2017 and a Madrid derby semi-final to find the last time that Real Madrid lost a second-leg tie on the night after winning the first leg at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.

The Spanish side ran out 3-1 winners on their last visit to Stamford Bridge, a little over 12 months ago, and Chelsea are a much weaker side than they were then. Having rested six players for the game against Cádiz, Carlo Ancelotti will have the support of his regular starting line-up to do battle with Chelsea.

With that in mind, and with Lampard’s team struggling with their confidence at rock bottom, it seems hard to imagine that Chelsea will be able to take anything from this game, even if only on the night. Real Madrid will want to see this result out comfortably.

It has been an up-and-down 2022/23 campaign for Karim Benzema, but, as is so often the case, he is in good form at the business end of the season. The Frenchman has seven goals across his past five outings and, even if he didn’t score in the Cádiz win on Saturday, he was lively once again, hitting the woodwork twice.

He also had a shot on target as well as ratting the crossbar and post in Cádiz, meaning he has now had at least one shot on target in each of his past eight matches. Plus, he has had multiple shots on target in five of those games, at an average of 2.38 shots on target per game.

He’ll be the leader of the Real Madrid attack again on Tuesday, even more so than usual since Vinícius isn’t 100 percent. With Benzema at the heart of the action, he should cause Kepa plenty of problems at a stadium where he netted a hat-trick last year.

Despite Benzema’s potency in front of goal, this game could be another low-scoring affair. Real Madrid have benefitted from the return of David Alaba to fitness in recent weeks, with Eduardo Camavinga also in good form on the left to add a newfound defensive solidity to their backline.

Conor Gallagher’s goal against Brighton on Saturday was Chelsea’s only strike to find the back of the net in the last five matches, and no side has underscored compared to their expected goals more than Chelsea in the Premier League this season. Even given the need to score goals, it seems unlikely that Chelsea will be able to blow Real Madrid away.

On the other side, Real Madrid know how to grind out results. Their 1-0 win over Liverpool in the second leg of their last-16 tie provided us with a warning sign of what this match could end up being like. Ancelotti is likely to go for a more conservative approach and invite Chelsea to have the ball while looking deadly on the counter.

Dani Carvajal had one of his better performances of the season in the first leg against Chelsea, before he was completely rested for the Cádiz trip on the weekend to keep him fresh for this second leg. Even though the right-back played well in the first meeting, he did still commit one foul during the 2-0 win at the Bernabéu, his third match in a row with at least one foul committed. That’s in line with Carvajal’s season as a whole, as he has been committing 1.08 fouls per 90 minutes.

At Stamford Bridge, we should expect another Carvajal foul at some point during the 90 minutes. With Chelsea expected to have more of the ball in the second leg as they seek a comeback, there should be more defensive work for Carvajal to do and he may have to resort to fouling if and when his lack of pace is exposed.

That’s exactly what happened when Carvajal fouled Marc Cucurella in the final minutes of the first leg, a player he’ll be up against again on Tuesday in the absence of the suspended Ben Chilwell.