Austin Ekeler had his best receiving game of the season the last time he faced Philadelphia, posting 8 catches for 89 yards. The Eagles will be focused on limiting Terry McLaurin and Dyami Brown down the field, opening up more short yardage opportunities.

Additionally, the Eagles lost a starting linebacker, and will be focused on the legs of Jayden Daniels. Every rush for Daniels is a loss for the Eagles, considering he led the league in EPA generated on scrambles, they would much rather he checked down to Ekeler out of the backfield.

He’s over this number in both playoff games thus far, with 26 and 40 receiving yards in the playoffs. They have been leading in both games, decreasing his receiving snaps, but this could be his highest usage game of the postseason. Ekeler has flat out looked better than Brian Robinson to end the season, and he’s seen more than 50% of postseason snaps with even more room to improve.

The Eagles defense will make you check it down, and Daniels’ ADOT has decreased from 8 to 5.9 when he faced them this year, which is good news for Ekelers receiving yards.

While a lot of people wanted to write Zach Ertz off before the season, he has been a huge part of the Washington offense. Jayden Daniels has obviously turned this team around in an insane fashion, and it’s clear the young QB enjoys the dependable short yardage target Ertz provides.

While he has had some tougher matchups against man coverage heavy teams, he even benefits from a better matchup against the Eagles. He’s over this number in 3 of his last 4 games including last week, and 1 of 2 against the Eagles this year.

Washington just lost Sam Cosmi on the offensive line and I don’t expect the Eagles to blitz at all, they should play soft and keep everything in front of them. Washington plays no huddle at a league high rate and loves to get up to the line of scrimmage and complete those quick short yardage passes, which Ertz should benefit from.

In an effort to take downfield guys like Dyami Brown and Terry McLaurin out of the game, there should be opportunities underneath for guys like Ertz. The Eagles allowed 5 receptions to Tucker Kraft and 7 to Tyler Higbee in the playoffs.

Saquon Barkley has one of the most insane lines you'll see of any NFL running back, currently priced around 130 rushing yards. He’s obviously had a historic season, but it's definitely the highest running back prop number we’ve seen all year long.

The injuries to Jalen Hurts further likely mean that we see an extremely high workload for the Eagles running backs. While he should have success on the ground, I think there are some better ways to bet on him, including in the red zone.

While he’s been good against pretty much every team he’s played, he’s crushed the Commanders as an Eagle.

• 29 carries for 150 yards & 2 TDs
• 26 carries for 146 yards & 2 TDs

He scored 2 touchdowns in both games, and I love having the upside of scoring either on the ground or through the air. We saw Gibbs and Irving get whatever they wanted in the first two rounds, and Saquon Barkley will clearly lead this backfield. With Hurts dealing with injury that decreases the likelihood of using their second best red zone weapon.

Washington are elite on offense, but they have allowed plenty of scoring, I think Saquon will be the one to capitalise.