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Coventry v Ipswich
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Kick Off: Tuesday 30th April at 20:00
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Competition: Championship
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
The motivation for the win in this match all belongs to Ipswich Town. A win here doesn’t confirm promotion for them, but it does stack the odds in their favour going into the final day.
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The Tractor Boys are level on points with Leeds but their inferior goal difference currently has them in third. It would take a seven-goal swing to change that goal difference situation, realistically that is too much to turn around in two matches, so Kieran McKenna will know that winning at least four points from this fixture and the home match against Huddersfield is imperative.
Coventry are playing their third Championship match in a week. They are having a really cramped end to the season as a result of their fantastic FA Cup run. It is also partially due to the 120 minutes plus penalties, and the highly emotional way that it all came about, that the Sky Blues seem to be running on fumes at this stage.
Coventry v Ipswich Best Bets
➡️ Ipswich to win & over 1.5 goals @ 1.91 on Paddy Power
➡️ Over 4.5 goals @ 4.0 on Paddy Power
📂 Coventry v Ipswich Cheat Sheet
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You can find Coventry v Ipswich match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off. If you’re looking for a new bookmaker check out the best bet builder bookmakers.
⚔️ Coventry v Ipswich Head-to-Head
These clubs have rarely met in the last decade due to various promotions and relegations. They shared a season in League One in 2019/20, when Coventry were promoted as champions, but the most obviously significant meeting was the one from earlier this season.
Ipswich had established themselves at the top of the league by this stage in early December, but Coventry were also just beginning to move up the table from a shaky start.
It was typical of Ipswich at this time to start really quickly and they dominated the early stages of the match. George Hirst put the Tractor Boys ahead after six minutes and Wes Burns produced the Championship goal of the season with a beautiful trivela finish from outside of the area.
Coventry responded in the second half and the game was much more even if Matt Godden had tucked away his penalty after 70 minutes it may have been tricky for Ipswich but in the end, there was a Brandon Williams own goal at 90+6 which only served as a consolation.
The xG battle was edged by Ipswich, but in truth, they racked those numbers up in the first half and let off the accelerator in the second. This allowed Coventry to edge the shot count 15-13, though only one of their efforts were on target. Coventry also dominated the corner count 6-1. Three yellow cards were awarded, two to Ipswich and one to Coventry.
📊 Coventry Form and Stats
Coventry are on a bit of a slide in the Championship. All meaning has dropped out of their season in recent weeks and this may be having an effect on their performances.
They haven’t won in five, including the FA Cup semi-final against Manchester United, but that sequence also includes defeats at Southampton and Birmingham as well as a home defeat to Hull and an away draw at relegation-threatened Blackburn.
They have convincingly lost the xG battle in their last three Championship matches. The scraped draw against Blackburn saw them concede 2.69 xG in the match and only create 0.34 themselves, yet they survived with a clean sheet.
This recent level of performance will have to improve if they are to repel a team of the quality of Ipswich. Their home form also represents a rapid decline in recent weeks, they have lost three in five at home, and the xG difference over the last four home matches has read from +1.6, +1.0, -0.4, and -1.6 last time out against Hull.
📊 Ipswich Form and Stats
Ipswich returned from their two-week break and looked refreshed against Hull, with personnel returning to the squad such as George Hirst and Wes Burns, just at a vital time for the final push.
Hull are a tough nut to crack though and Ipswich had to settle for the point. In watching the match though it was clear that a lot of the Ipswich players looked very sharp, especially from an attacking perspective. Omari Hutchinson in particular produced a spell of attacking play that exuded confidence, and he was unlucky not to score more goals.
The draw does mean that on the surface Ipswich look in shaky form. That is three consecutive draws and no win in four. However, the opposition have been tricky, the situation that they are in regarding promotion is nervy, and, actually, performances have been good.
Ipswich have racked up over 2 xG in their last two matches, they also won the xG battle against Watford at home, and against Norwich away. There are fewer warning signs in their form than in Coventry’s, despite the overall results.
💰 Coventry v Ipswich Best Bets
Ipswich have to be fancied to take a big step into the Premier League in this match. The main hurdle for them to overcome may well be the fact that it is such a big match for them to win.
However, the attacking verve that was demonstrated at the MKM Stadium on Saturday night suggested that the Ipswich players are happy to take the pressure on and try to outscore the opposition, which is what they have done well for two years under Kieran McKenna.
We also expect goals in this match. Both teams have been conceding chances in their last couple of matches, and Ipswich have certainly been creating them.
The best bet is for Ipswich to emerge victorious at 1.87. It is also worth mentioning that an Ipswich victory and over 1.5 goals is 1.91, but for the security of knowing that a nervy 1-0 win could also be a possibility here it is worth simply betting the win line.
The over 2.5 goals line is short enough at 1.5, but an early goal like in the reverse fixture or in the Hull matches that either side have played could see the game really open up, so an outside bet on over 4.5 goals at 4.0 could be worth a small play as well.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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