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Everton v Crystal Palace Bet Builder Tips, 15/1 Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Everton v Crystal Palace Bet Builder Tips, 15/1 Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Friday 3 October, 20254 min read
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Ramis Ibrahim

Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.

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Everton welcome Crystal Palace to the Hill Dickinson stadium with David Moyes’ side avoiding defeat at their new ground in all three of their Premier League matches so far this season.

Crystal Palace registered their first win of the Conference League campaign against Dynamo Kyiv during the week thanks to goals from Daniel Munoz and Eddie Nketiah, with the Eagles building on their 2-1 win over Liverpool in their most recent Premier League outing.

For extra insight, check out these Everton v Crystal Palace Betting Stats.

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Everton v Crystal Palace Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Everton v Crystal Palace
  • Premier League
  • 14:00
4 Selections @ 3.56

Jean Phillipe Mateta to have 1+ Shots on Target

Mateta has had a shot on target in each of his last five Premier League appearances. The 28-year-old has had 14 attempts overall this campaign (2.36 per 90), seeing nine of those shots hit the target (1.52 per 90).

This record has produced two goals in the Premier League so far for Mateta, who has also scored in the Conference League this season for the Eagles. Mateta didn’t find the back of the net against Liverpool last time out, but was very unlucky not to get a goal, he hit the woodwork with one of his four attempts and saw two of those shots find the target.

Mateta scored against Everton when the sides faced off at Selhurst Park last season, with the French striker having two shots on target on that occasion. I expect him to be full of confidence here, stemming not just from his recent form, but also his inclusion in the France squad for the international break - the very first time that Mateta has been called up to represent his national side.

James Tarkowski to Commit 1+ Fouls

Tarkowski has committed a foul in four of his six Premier League appearances so far this season and was shown a yellow card against West Ham last time out, committing two fouls from eight duels in that game.

His clash against Mateta stands out to me here, the Palace striker is such a nuisance with his size and ability to hold up the ball, which allows Palace to go direct into their frontman and build counter-attacks from that position. Mateta has won five fouls across his six Premier League appearances this season (0.84 per 90), further illustrating his strengths when it comes to facing up opposition centre backs.

Tarkowski was forced into contested 18 duels in this fixture last season against Mateta. He impressively managed to win 12 of those duels, which was the most of any player on the pitch on that occasion, but it still led to the Everton centre back committing two fouls. He contested a further 10 duels against Mateta in the clash between the sides at Selhurst Park.

Crystal Palace Over 0.5 Goals

Palace scored in both of their meetings with Everton last season but still ended up on the wrong side of the result, with the Toffees registering 2-1 wins in both games. Not many sides were able to do the double over Oliver Glasner’s side last season, who enter this game on their longest ever unbeaten run in the Premier League.

Palace have scored in four of their last five matches across all competitions, with the exception coming against Sunderland a few weeks ago. That was always likely to be a low-scoring game with the way Sunderland set up, but this hasthe potential to be a more exciting encounter. Everton are taking more risks than they did last season as they now have more options in the final third. This led to West Ham getting multiple opportunities on the counterattack in their most recent game ,and I think Palace can do the same.

Palace’s attack looked a bit lacklustre a few weeks ago with the departure of Eberechi Eze, but Glasner now has more options to call upon with Ismaila Sarr coming back from injury and Mateta being a constant threat. Yeremy Pino has been bright in his early cameos for Palace as well, he assisted both of Palace’s goals in their 2-0 win over Dynamo Kyiv in the Conference League during the week.

Over 8.5 Corners

Both of these sides offer a real threat from set piece situations. No Premier League side scored more goals from corners last season than Crystal Palace, with Marc Guehi, Maxence Lacroix and Chris Richards all acting as real aerial threats from corners and other set piece situations.

Palace’s six Premier League games this season have seen an average of exactly 10 corners per game between the two sides. This total rises to 13.33 when looking at their away games this season.

Everton’s home games have seen an average of 8.33 corners per game, which is slightly below the line we require here, but I’m confident we’ll see a rise in this metric here with Palace’s strength when it comes to corners, which has been a consistent part of Glasner’s approach since arriving in South London.

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Everton v Crystal Palace Best Longshot Bets
  • Everton v Crystal Palace
  • Premier League
  • 14:00
3 Selections @ 16.47

Iliman Ndiaye to Score

Ndiaye has already scored two goals for Everton this season across his six appearances for the Toffees in the Premier League. He’s one of their most exciting players in the final third, but the spotlight has been shifted away from him with Jack Grealish joining the club and putting in some quality early performances.

Ndiaye finished last season as Everton’s joint-top scorer in the Premier League alongside Beto with nine goals. He’s on penalties for Everton, which offers another path to goal for the winger who really should be aiming for around 12-15 goals this season, given his quality and the improvement of Everton’s attacking options, which should lead to Ndiaye having more chances than he did last season.

Palace have one of the best defensive setups in the Premier League, but Everton managed to score 2+ goals in both of their meetings with Palace last season, so they may be Palace’s bogey team.

Daniel Munoz to be Shown a Card

Munoz continues to be one of the most effective players in the Premier League. He’s one of the best wing backs around at the moment with his ability to balance the defensive and offensive sides of the game perfectly. His tenacity also makes him a natural fit for the Premier League, and it’s that trait we’ll be focusing on here.

Munoz has already received two yellow cards in the Premier League this season, with these cautions coming against Chelsea and Sunderland. His clash with Jack Grealish stands out here. Everton’s new star player has won a ridiculous 22 fouls across his six Premier League appearances this season (4.25 per 90), unsurprisingly making him the most fouled player in the division this season.

With such a prolific record when it comes to winning fouls, it makes sense to target Grealish’s direct opponent for a card in this game. Munoz received 10 yellow cards across his 37 Premier League appearances last season, further highlighting the Colombian’s occasional recklessness when engaging with the opposition.

Vitalii Mykolenko to Commit 1+ Fouls

Mykolenko has committed four fouls across his three Premier League appearances so far this season (1.35 per 90) and could find himself outnumbered at times up against the Palace duo of Yeremy Pino and Daniel Munoz.

Palace’s attacks tend to come down that side of the pitch, and I also think that’s where the majority of fouls will be concentrated in this game, with Grealish also operating down that flank. Yeremy Pino should be full of confidence here to take on Mykolenko, having registered two assists in Palace’s win over Dynamo Kyiv during the week. He’s won five fouls across his three Premier League starts this season (2.03 per 90).

Alternatively, Mykolenko could find himself up against Ismailia Sarr, who has scored three goals across his four Premier League appearances this season. The 27-year-old has won four fouls across those games (1.04 per 90), so the left back should be regularly tested by either opponent, as well as Muno,z who may be having a battle with Grealish further up the pitch.

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📂 Everton v Crystal Palace Cheat Sheet

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📈 Everton v Crystal Palace Form & Tactics

Everton have only conceded one goal across their three games at the Hill Dickinson Stadium so far. Two of those games ended in draws against Aston Villa and West Ham, with the only victory being a fortunate one over Brighton in their first Premier League game at the new ground.

Everton are working on adapting their style to the new and exciting attacking players that they added to the squad in January. Moyes has never been known for his sides having flair, but he’s ended up with a squad that is full of it, whilst still maintaining the physical steel he's known for.

Crystal Palace have made an excellent start to the season, but this isn’t the most surprising seeing as Glasner’s side are on a run of 19 games unbeaten across all competitions, stretching all the way back to a 5-0 defeat at the hands of Newcastle on the 16th April. Their defensive setup has been the main reason for this impressive run, they’ve only conceded three goals in the Premier League this season, which is the joint-best defensive record in the division alongside Arsenal.

A small trend that Palace will be hoping to overcome here is their recent hoodoo against Everton. The Eagles have not beaten the Toffees in any competition since 2022, and you have to go back another year for their last win over Everton in the Premier League.


📔 Everton v Crystal Palace Formation & Team News

Everton have been lining up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under David Moyes this season. This shape doesn’t change much, and neither has Everton’s general approach. They still look to be direct, as illustrated by the fact that they’re playing 24.2 long balls per game, the 2nd-highest in the Premier League, only behind Manchester United (27.0).

What is changing for Everton is how often they have the ball in the final third. The strong ball-carrying ability of the likes of Grealish and Ndiaye allows them to have more control in the final third, rather than being penned in the entire game. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall has also helped in this regard, but he is suspended for this game, having been the first player to cross the threshold for yellow cards this season.

Palace’s 3-4-3 is very identifiable now, but in Glasner’s own words, the roles and instructions given to his players are more important than the shape. If you want to see an example of this, I’d pay attention to the patterns that Adam Wharton builds with Munoz on the right-hand side. His movement is so intelligent that Palace can survive with having just two men in the midfield, unlike Manchester United, for example.

Palace don’t have any real notable injury or suspensions for this game, but their issue may be fatigue. This Palace squad isn’t the biggest, and I could see problems emerging if key players are sidelined or burnt out, given the extra games that Palace have to play in the Conference League this season. This will be a good test to see where the Eagles’ fitness levels are following a European game.


📊 Everton v Crystal Palace Key Stats

  • Palace have conceded the joint-fewest goals in the Premier League this season, alongside Arsenal (three).

  • Everton have avoided defeat in their three home games at their new stadium so far (1W, 2D).

  • Palace are on a run of 19 games unbeaten across all competitions.

  • Everton beat Palace in both head-to-head meetings last season and haven’t lost to the Eagles in the Premier League since 2021.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Keep up with our Football Betting Tips, as well as Premier League Predictions for this weekend, on Andy's Bet Club.

For Sunday's football, we also have a Premier League Accumulator, as well as Wolves v Brighton Bet Builder Tips, Newcastle v Nottingham Forest Betting Tips, and Brentford v Man City Bet Builder Tips.

Goals bettors can cheer on our Over 2.5 Goals Acca Tips and Both Teams to Score Tips. Those who are fans of player props can also back our Player Shots on Target Betting Predictions and Player Fouls Betting Tips.

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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