💎 Gem Bet: Hugo Ekitike - Over 2.5 Shots v Crystal Palace @ 1.91 (bet365)

As the new season kicks off, there often lies early value in being able to project how new signings will perform well before the market catches up. And that’s exactly the case here in Sunday’s Community Shield, where Hugo Ekitike to have 3+ shots is a standout selection at 1.91 with bet365.

Given his output last season and the setup he’s stepping into at Liverpool, this price looks significantly inflated, especially with PaddyPower offering as low as 1.06, implying a 94.3% chance of it landing.

To break it down, last season’s numbers (for both club and country):

• The Frenchman averaged 3.6 shots per 90

• He hit 3+ shots in 15 of his last 19 starts

For Frankfurt alone:

• He tallied 22 goals & 12 assists in all competitions

• Averaged 3.8 shots per 90

• Hit 3+ in 11 of his last 14 starts (managed two in the other three)

• Landed on this mark in 30 of his 43 starts (69.8% strike rate)

However, the numbers become even more appealing after Marmoush’s departure, where Ekitike then became Frankfurt’s focal point up front:

• He averaged 4.16 shots per 90 

• 3+ shots in 17 of his final 22 starts (77.3%)

Now under Arne Slot, Liverpool is expected to continue their high-shot philosophy, averaging 16.48 shots per game across all competitions last season. With Ekitike likely deployed as the central striker, and supported by the creative power around him, he should have no shortage of opportunities, particularly in a curtain-raiser where he will be eager to impress on his competitive debut.

At 1.91 odds, this line appears significantly mispriced, offering a smart way to kickstart the new season by backing the Frenchman to make his mark in Red.