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Friday’s 3/1 Eerste Divisie Goals Accumulator

Friday’s 3/1 Eerste Divisie Goals Accumulator

Tuesday 12 August, 20251 min read
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Steve Wyss

Specialist in Scandinavian & European soccer. I have been in the betting game for nearly 20 years now with a summer focus on the Norwegian & Swedish leagues. With an in-depth knowledge of the region & teams I have been involved in a specialist podcast & more for close to a decade. My favourite types of bets are attacking the goal lines and identifying the tactics & style of each team & manager who can contribute positively. Outside of betting I was once a Sunday League goalkeeper myself. But my boots are now retired and instead prefer to hit up the cricket pitch and golf course in my spare time.

There are five Eerste matches on Friday night, here are my three favourite goals bets across the action.

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Friday's Eerste Divisie Accumulator Tips

Fixtures for: Friday 19th September

Den Haag v Almere City

Eerste Divisie

19:00

Over 2.5 Goals

Almere City did the double over Den Haag that year, winning 3-2 and 4-1 respectively. There is a decent chance the home side could gain revenge here, though, because they are in far better form.

Den Haag are the only remaining unbeaten side in the league with four wins and one draw. Their 13 goals scored is the second most of any team.

It has been a disappointing start to the season for relegated club Almere City, but their two wins have been convincing - 4-1 and 5-0. When this team clicks they have great potential, so in some respects it’s a surprise to see Den Haag as short as 1.67 to win the game. They may well win, but taking over 2.5 goals looks like the better bet.

The two teams are in the top three for xG average per 90 mins, at 2.48 and 2.07 respectively, so this has the potential to be a shootout. Almere have the top scorer in the division in their ranks in Byron Burgering, who has fired in six goals in his last two games.

FC Emmen v Dordrecht

Eerste Divisie

19:00

Over 2.5 Goals

FC Emmen have gradually improved as the season has progressed. They started with two poor defeats but have bounced back by obtaining seven points from their last three league fixtures. The biggest problem for FC Emmen has been conceding goals and they are yet to keep a clean sheet.

But, at least the goalscoring has improved by netting seven times recently, in wins v Den Bosch and De Graafschap. Striker Romano Postema has been in great form, scoring in five of his last seven matches.

Emmen now face a Dordrecht side who have lost just once so far this season, but who have started to ship goals recently. The visitors started the season with successive 1-0 wins, but have since conceded six times in four Eerste Divisie fixtures. The last time they played on the road, they drew 3-3 against Den Bosch.

These two teams rank 8th and 5th respectively in the Eerste Divisie average xG table, so the underlying metrics support backing over 2.5 goals. Both meetings went over the 2.5 line last season, with Dordrecht winning 3-0 and then 2-1.

Willem II v Jong Ajax

Eerste Divisie

19:00

Over 2.5 Goals

Home side Willem II are unbeaten in four consecutive league games and are odds-on favourites to beat this Jong Ajax side. However, they haven't been very convincing recently, and there is a strong case to be made to oppose them.

They have poor underlying defensive metrics, and keeping just one clean sheet all season is also a cause for concern. They face a naive Jong Ajax side who tend to play an open style, but who can outscore anyone on the day.

The visitors have already been involved in a 4-1 win, a 3-4 defeat and a 3-3 draw this season, which suggests the goalscoring potential in their games is rather high. Willem II have the worst xGA average per game of any team (2.15), whilst Jong Ajax also rank poorly in this department (1.74).

Ajax at least have a decent xG average per game themselves of 1.75, so certainly have the firepower to get at this weak defence.

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