The home side Cambuur will need to try and get promoted via the playoffs and only a victory would guarantee 3rd place. They’ll want to win for the position but also to have some momentum heading into those respective playoffs. This is a Cambuur side who have suddenly started to score goals. Six of their last seven league games have gone over 2.5 goals and this looks like a safe bet to conclude the season. They won 4-3 last week away to Den Haag and have registered 12 total goals in their last six games. They should beat Maastricht and are clear favourites. 

Goals have been flowing so much in Maastricht games that the over 2.5 goal line is probably worth backing again. Maastricht have lost eight of their last 11 games and conceded 20 goals in that period. That demonstrates how poor they can be defensively and their only recent clean sheets have been against Jong Utrecht and Jong Ajax, who are bad teams. Facing a much better opponent away this defence is likely to be quite leaky again, so they’ll need their attack force to bail them out.

This is a fixture between two very poor teams who have finished in the bottom two positions with on field results this season. Jong PSV have only won one match since the start of 2025 and in total, have lost 13 of their last 17 fixtures. This is a side that has conceded a lot of goals (85), the most in the entire league. In recent times there has been no improvement. They have nothing to play for, they might as well go down swinging in their final match of the season, so over 2.5 goals makes sense. 

Jong Utrecht have lost 22 out of 37 league games this season and are arguably the worst side in the Eerste Divisie. Their 79 goals conceded has only been topped by Jong PSV so the obvious port of call in their games is to oppose them in some form, or take the over goals. They claimed a shock win against Dordrecht last week, but this has the makings of an end of season game between two poor teams where the goals flow.

Vitesse have been deducted a mammoth 39 points this season, so they deserve some credit for battling their way up to two points overall. They've won 10 times this campaign and regained some respectability, especially in the second half of the season. The fact that they are now priced as 2.0 favourites to beat a playoff team shows the progress they’ve made. Vitesse have only won one of their last seven games though and the problem has been defensively, with zero clean sheets in that period. Four of their last five games have gone over 2.5 goals and this looks like another good bet to close out the season. 

Den Bosch have already qualified for the end of season playoffs, so actual league position won’t matter to them. They might want to try and keep momentum but they could also rest/rotate players. Four of Den Bosch's last five away matches have seen 3+ goals scored.

Jong AZ have performed the best of the Eredivisie ‘B teams’ this season and they sit a comfortable mid-table on 49 points. They have conceded 62 goals though and have a defence which can hardly be relied upon. Jong AZ have only kept one clean sheet in their last seven games and four of their last six have gone over 2.5 goals. Taking the over goals angle could be the best bet here as both teams look to finish the season in style. 

In-form Excelsior have now secured promotion after easily winning 5-0 last week. They had a wobble at the start of 2025 but eight consecutive league wins has come at just the right time. Excelsior have been very convincing recently with six of those victories by at least a two goal margin. They are one of the strongest teams in the division and despite being in party mode this week are still likely to contribute goals. With less intensity and pressure on the game they could let their guard down defensively, so goals flow. Excelsior are the second highest scoring team in the league, they could cover this line on their own.