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Euro 2024 Knockout Stats Breakdown
With the group stage of Euro 2024 over, 24 teams have become 16 and the stage is set for the knockout rounds.
Each country has played three matches, which has seen some patterns emerge in key betting markets. Some players, utilised in different roles from the ones they are best known for playing with their clubs, have been more active offensively while the effectiveness of others has been reduced.
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Here is what we’ve learned so far in Germany across a section of popular markets.
🎯 Most Shots on Target
🇧🇪 Romelu Lukaku
No one has had more shots on target than Belgium’s Romelu Lukaku, who has hit the target seven times without scoring a goal. The Chelsea forward has generated a significant 1.7xG from his total efforts and has had three goals disallowed for tight offsides. He has a case to claim that he has been the unluckiest player at the competition to date.
🇵🇹 Cristiano Ronaldo
Another player frustrated in front of goal so far has been Cristiano Ronaldo. He has had 12 shots – a tournament-high figure – with five of these hitting the target.
🇫🇷 Kylian Mbappe
He is matched by France’s Kylian Mbappe, who has played only one complete game owing to a broken nose. The future Real Madrid star has netted, albeit from the penalty spot.
🛑 Most Fouls Committed
Out in front in Euro 2024’s crime count are Austria’s Stefan Posch and Slovenia’s Adam Gnezda Cerin. Remarkably, the latter has not been shown a card, despite committing at least four fouls on two individual occasions. Posch, on the other hand, will tread a disciplinary tightrope until the quarter-finals after being cautioned once. This may reduce his foul count a touch.
Six players, meanwhile, have committed seven fouls, including the Swiss pair Dan Ndoye and Remo Freuler. They are the only nation to have two players with seven or more fouls in the competition to date.
Denis Dragus (Romania), Ondrej Duda (Slovakia), and Mikel Merino (Spain) are the other players still active in the competition on seven or more fouls.
🩹 Most Fouls Drawn
Georgia have been the revelation of Euro 2024 and in tricky winger Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have a tournament leader in terms of fouls drawn. The Napoli star has shown why PSG are reportedly willing to pay big money for him this summer – but equally why the Serie A side are so desperate to retain him. He has drawn at least three fouls in every match to date.
A trio of Group A players follow on nine fouls drawn, including eliminated duo John McGinn and Roland Sallai, leaving Germany’s Maximilian Mittelstadt to represent this pool. The left-wing back has been very solid to date.
Completing the top five in this category is Harry Kane. He may have been frustrated with his overall lack of involvement, but having suffered eight fouls, the Bayern Munich striker is clearly a marked man by opponents.
Portugal’s Vitinha, Baris Alper Yilmaz of Turkey and Georges Mikautadze of Georgia have all been fouled seven times and still have an interest in the competition.
🟨 Most Cards
This is a tournament that has not been particularly prolific in terms of cards.
Through the group stage, the Czech Republic’s Antonin Barak was sent off for two bookings, which only count as two cards for betting purposes. The Czechs also had Tomas Chory dismissed while Ryan Porteous was sent off for Scotland. These have been the only red cards and they affect teams eliminated.
There were 19 players shown two yellow cards in the group phase, the most pertinent of which are Portugal’s Rafael Leao, Spain’s Rodri, Italy’s Riccardo Calafiori, and Germany’s Jonathan Tah.
🏟️ Team Markets
🇦🇹 Austria
Austria finished the group stage with five goals and 17 shots on target. Indeed, they overperformed their 3.8xG by +1.2. Only Germany’s overperformance in this metric was greater.
Similarly, they gave away more fouls than any other nation in the group stage, giving up 49. They did not dip below 15 in a match conceded.
Equally, they won 35 fouls, with 10 as their baseline figure.
🇧🇪 Belgium
Belgium had 17 shots on target in their opening three Euro 2024 matches, which was joint third-highest among all teams, yet they managed to only score two goals. They had at least 12 shots in every match and had the fourth-worst G-xG of all nations, with -2.2.
Les Diables Rouge were not particularly active in terms of fouls. They gave up 31 and won only 30, placing them 16th in both categories. While there was significant variation between the number of fouls they gave up (between eight and 14), they won between nine and 11 across their three games.
🇩🇰 Denmark
Denmark had ninth-most shots on target in the group stages, coming in with 14. While they hit double figures in shots in each game, half of their shots on target came against England, against whom they had seven efforts.
They were far more likely to commit fouls than win them. While their 33 fouls committed put them almost exactly in the middle of the field, they only won 21, which was the fewest among any team.
🏴 England
Gareth Southgate’s side were criticised for their lack of attacking flair while reaching the last 16, and that is played out by the fact they had only 10 shots on target across three matches. Their 2.2xG was the third lowest among all teams.
England were one of the most disciplined teams, giving up only 24 fouls. By contrast, they were the second-most sinned-against nation as they won 41. There was, however, a wide variance between games in both categories.
🇫🇷 France
France are another side who have been criticised at home for a lack of firepower but compared to England, their chances are coming. They created 5.7xG – equal first in the competition – yet scored only two goals, one of which was a penalty. A lack of accuracy was their main problem – they hit the target only 14 times.
Les Bleus were the most fouled team in the group stage, winning 44 fouls, while they gave up only 31. France won at least 12 fouls per match and never gave up more than that figure.
🇬🇪 Georgia
Georgia were hailed for their attacking approach yet managed only six shots on targets, plus two penalties. They never managed more than four shots on target.
In defence, meanwhile, they were disciplined, only giving up 25 fouls, the joint third-lowest figure. Only once did they concede double figures in this category. Their figure of 35 fouls won was around average.
🇩🇪 Germany
The hosts finished the group stage with the most shots on target (20) but also the biggest xG overperformance (+3.0), suggesting they have been good, but not that good.
Julian Nagelsmann’s side, meanwhile, have given up 39 fouls – the sixth-highest figure in the competition – but have won only 32. The hosts have given up at least 12 fouls per match.
🇮🇹 Italy
Italy scraped through to the last 16 thanks to a dramatic goal in the last minute of their match against Croatia, with that effort one of only nine shots on target they mustered.
The Azzurri have been solid defensively, giving away only 27 fouls while drawing 40. The variance in these figures has been large. They committed only six fouls against Croatia but 14 against Spain, while they won 17 fouls against the Croats but only seven versus Albania.
🇳🇱 Netherlands
The Netherlands moved through to the knockout rounds as one of the best-placed third-placed sides, and that was largely due to a lack of shooting accuracy. While they had 40 shots, only 10 hit the target. They never managed more than four on target in a game.
Their foul count, meanwhile, was around the mean. They committed 31 fouls and won 33. Their highest foul figure came against Austria as they committed 15 indiscretions.
🇵🇹 Portugal
With 53 shots, only Germany had more efforts than Portugal, who finished the group stage with 16 hitting the target. They finished with the third-worst G-xG of all countries as they posted a figure of -2.7 in this category.
The foul count in their matches was the joint-lowest in the tournament with 54, level with Denmark. They gave up 25 fouls and won just 29 of their own.
🇷🇴 Romania
Efficiency was key for Romania as they hit the target 14 times from just 32 shots to move through to the last 16. Hitting the target with 41.9% of their non-penalty shots, they were only bettered by three nations.
Romania’s matches were relatively quiet in terms of fouls. They committed only 30, putting them in the bottom third of teams, but won only 27. Romania consistently won between eight and ten fouls while giving up between nine and 11.
🇸🇰 Slovakia
With 13 shots on target, Slovakia were average in the group stage, in which they exceeded their xG by 0.7.
They conceded a low 30 fouls while winning 35, a figure that puts them in the upper third of nations. The Slovaks won at least 10 fouls per game and never gave up more than 11.
🇸🇮 Slovenia
With just seven shots on target, Slovenia squeezed through to the knockout stages, netting just two goals in the process as they drew three games from three. Only once did they manage more than two shots on target in a single game.
They were not even particularly disciplined defensively. They gave up 34 fouls and won only 27 of their own. Only once were they fouled more than their opponents during a game: the fixture with England.
🇪🇸 Spain
Spain were another of the favourites to struggle in front of goal, undershooting their xG by 1.5. They did, however, manage 16 shots on target, putting them joint fourth in the group stage. This figure would have been greater had they not had an off day against Albania, against whom they hit the target just three times from 16 efforts.
They were also surprisingly crime-prone, giving away 46 fouls, which was the joint second-highest figure in the group stage with Croatia. The lowest tally of fouls they made was 14. They were victims only 30 times, meanwhile.
🇨🇭Switzerland
Gave Germany a scare in the groups but ultimately finished second in Group A, hitting 14 shots on target in the process. Their total of 30 overall shots was low, but they hit the target 46.7% of the time – the second-highest figure at Euro 2024 so far. The Swiss post the third-highest xG overperformance with +1.0.
Committed 38 fouls and won 31, yet this was the lowest total of fouls in what was a scrappy group. Gave away at least 11 fouls per match.
🇹🇷 Turkey
A punchy Turkey team had 51 shots overall but just 16 of these found the target. Half of their efforts on goal came in their opener against Georgia, skewing their figure slightly.
Gave away 35 fouls, putting them ninth overall in this category, and won just 29, which is the joint sixth-least. These figures are also altered by two outliers. Gave up 16 fouls against Portugal and won 15 against the Czech Republic.
* All odds displayed correctly at the time of publishing *
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