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Olympiacos v Fiorentina
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Kick Off: Wednesday 29th May at 20:00
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Competition: Europa Conference League
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Watch Live: TNT Sports 1
The third Europa Conference League final takes place on Wednesday in Athens, with Olympiacos aiming to become the first club to win the tournament in their homeland as they take on Fiorentina.
Ahead of this key showdown, we have a breakdown of all the best Olympiacos v Fiorentina bet builder tips. A Cheat Sheet displaying the key player stats is also included, accompanied by team news and bet builder stats – available for all Europa Conference League tips. Visit our cheat sheet guide for more information.
Our free bet offers and top bet builder sites are a sensible approach to making the most of our expert football tips, including our both teams to score tips.
Our odds boost page is a must visit ahead of kick-off to ensure you’re selecting value bets.
Our Europa Conference League final predictions are generously priced on Paddy Power, and for more information on the pros and cons of the bookie, you can read our in-depth bookmaker review.
The Viola suffered heartbreak a year ago as they reached this stage against West Ham only to go down against the Hammers, with Jarrod Bowen netting the winner late on. Since losing the first leg of their qualifying play-off back in August to Rapid Wien, they have not lost in the competition.
Seeking to upset them, meanwhile, are Olympiacos. No side from Greece has ever before lifted a European trophy, so to do so in the nation’s capital would be doubly special for a team that impressively dumped out Aston Villa in the semi-finals.
Olympiacos v Fiorentina Best Bets
Both of these teams come into this match in goalscoring form, which makes the over 2.5 goals selection at the price of 2.2 with Paddy Power an intriguing bet, particularly as Fiorentina’s matches have a penchant for action at both ends.
Fiorentina, meanwhile, are excellent value at 1.5 with Paddy Power to finish the game with more corners than their opponents, who have conceded six or more in four successive European games.
In terms of discipline, backing Lucas Martinez Quarta to commit one fouls at 1.3 looks a strong option for a bet builder while Daniel Podence to be shown a card at 3.75 is also enticing.
📂 Olympiacos v Fiorentina Cheat Sheet
There are so many ways to use our Cheat Sheets and we encourage you to find your own formula to pick a winning bet builder.
You can find Olympiacos v Fiorentina match stats on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
⚔️ Olympiacos v Fiorentina Head-to-Head
Unsurprisingly, this will be the first meeting of the clubs.
Indeed, Olympiacos have not met an Italian side in European competition this season while Fiorentina have not faced a Greek team.
The Greek giants have played opposition from Italy 28 times previously, recording only seven wins while losing 16. They have scored 26 goals and conceded 50. Their most recent experience of playing a Serie A club came in 2021/22, when they lost 5-1 on aggregate to Atalanta in a Europa League play-off clash, losing both legs.
Fiorentina, meanwhile, have played five games against Greek clubs, including four matches with PAOK. Given the most recent of these matches was in 2016/17, the outcome of these games is not instructive as to what to expect here.
📊 Olympiacos Form and Stats
Olympiacos might have finished the Greek Super Lig in a rather disappointing third position, but their overall form has been strong. Across their last 12 matches in all competitions, they have suffered only two losses in 90 minutes, away matches at Fenerbahce in the Conference League and domestically on the road to PAOK.
Goals have marked their European adventure this season. They began in the Europa League, in which they finished third, before dropping into this competition. Across the 14 games they have played, only five have produced fewer than three strikes.
Jose Luis Mendilibar’s side have scored at least two goals in four of their last five European outings but have conceded at least two in four of their last six.
Ayoub El Kaabi is the man everyone’s talking about. He has ten Conference League goals this season, or 1.25 every 90 minutes. This has been achieved from just 1.63 shots on target per 90, so don’t expect a barrage of efforts from the Moroccan, who has reserved his best for this competition.
Look out for Stevan Jovetic, who returned from injury at the weekend by scoring a late equaliser against Panathinaikos.
Daniel Podence, meanwhile, got a goal and an assist in that encounter and also managed to be sent off. At 3.75 to be shown a card, the Portuguese looks strong value given he is sitting on 0.4 cards per 90 this season across all competitions. He has typically played just over an hour of Olympiacos’ matches in the latter stages of the Conference League.
📊 Fiorentina Form and Stats
Fiorentina come into this match having lost two of their last ten matches overall and undefeated in their last 13 Conference League matches. Although progress in this competition has appeared to be serene, there has been little comfort in their route to the final. Only twice have the Viola won by more than a single goal.
Vincenzo Italiano’s side have been in promising form overall in recent weeks. In seven of their last nine fixtures in the Conference League and Serie A, they have posted above 2 xG. Conversely, they have not conceded this figure in any individual match over this period.
Their games, meanwhile, have been high-scoring affairs of late. Across all competitions, each of their last eight games have seen both teams find the net, with seven of these producing three or more goals.
Although, Nicolas Gonzalez and Giacomo Bonaventura have been top scorers in Serie A, they have combined for just two European goals, both scored by the Argentine. Lucas Beltran is their leading marksman in the Conference League on four goals and he is 4.50 to net in the final.
Gonzalez remains their likeliest player to get a shot on target, offering 1.15 per 90 in this competition. He has had at least four shots in the last three Conference League games but has struggled with accuracy, hitting the target only three times. Antonin Barak sits on 1.78 per 90 but has started only one of six games in the knockout phase of this competition.
Nikola Milenkovic is giving away 1.92 fouls per 90 in the Conference League, making his price of 1.25 to commit at least one foul attractive. He is 3.6 to get booked – an interesting price given he already has four yellow cards to his name in the competition.
Lucas Martinez Quarta sits on 2.21 fouls per 90 and has given away a free kick in each of his last three Conference League appearances. The centre-back’s price of 1.3 to give away one foul looks large and attackable.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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