Football Tips Today

The home of betting with Andy Robson and his team of experts.

Thursday's Win & Both Teams to Score Treble ⚽️ @ 26.46

Frosinone have scored 8 in their last 2

Frosinone v Lecce
Today
17:30

Frosinone have scored eight goals in their last two games, beating Sassuolo 4-2 before drawing 4-4 with Atalanta.

They have the 3rd-best attack in Serie A after eight games, averaging 2.25 goals per game at home, with Antonio Raimondo in great form with seven goals.

The problem is their defence.

They're allowing an average of 19 shots per game, with an xGA of 1.92 per game.

Lecce have struggled this season, and their defence is a big part of the problem.

They're allowing six shots on target per game and have conceded in six of their eight matches so far.

However, they did beat Udinese 3-0 in their last away game and have managed at least 16 shots in each of their last three matches.

BTTS looks promising here, especially with both teams giving away so many chances.

But Frosinone have been the more consistent side and look the favourites to get the win.

Benfica have scored in every game this season and have the best attack in Portugal, averaging 2.8 goals per game.

They're averaging 19 shots per match, with Vangelis Pavlidis leading the way with nine goals in nine league games.

Gil Vicente are one of the few teams who've managed to cause Benfica some problems at the back, scoring against them and creating more than one big chance.

They've won their last two away games, including a 2-1 win over Braga, showing they can cause problems going forward.

However, they've struggled to keep clean sheets against stronger teams.

In their last game, for example, they conceded at home to Porto, giving away 12 shots.

Benfica should have enough quality to win this one, but BTTS landing in four of their last five games suggests another clean sheet won't be easy.

Vasco are coming off a big 3-2 comeback win over Corinthians, with 25 shots and two goals in the space of just two minutes.

They're averaging 20 shots per game at home, with an xG of 2.26, but they've also had their problems at the back.

They've conceded six goals in their last three games, including a 3-1 home defeat to Boca Juniors.

Things won't get any easier against Flamengo, who have the best attack in the league and have scored in their last 16 Brazilian Serie A games.

Flamengo have an xG of 1.77 and will have Pedro available, their top scorer with 16 goals.

They're averaging two goals per away game, although they've looked a bit shaky at the back themselves, especially after conceding twice against Atlético-MG.

Despite those defensive problems, Flamengo are top of the league and have been the more consistent side, while Vasco are still trying to find the right balance.

Andy Robson

Thursday's Bet of the Day 🎯 @ 1.61

Mastantuano has won more fouls than any other Fiorentina player this season

Franco Mastantuano has found some form at Fiorentina on loan from Real Madrid.

The move to the Spanish capital was probably a year or so too early for him, but there’s no doubting his talent. He’s a really strong dribbler, and that makes him a good player to watch to win fouls.

Mastantuano has won more fouls than any other Fiorentina player this term (18 - 2.65 per 90), and also leads the squad for dribbles attempted (5.30 per 90) and dribbles past opponents (2.36 per 90).

He’s been fouled at least once in seven of his eight matches this term, drawing multiple fouls in six of these games - including being fouled 3+ times in four matches.

He started 11 games for Real Madrid in LaLiga last season, drawing 30 fouls across these matches (2.60 per 90). He also maintained promising dribble numbers that season (4.68 per 90), ranking in the 75th percentile for fouls won when compared to other wingers in the division.

Andy Robson

Thursday's Anytime Goalscorer 🇮🇹⚽️ @ 2.25

Lecce weakened at the back v Serie A top scorer

Frosinone v Lecce
Today
17:30

Antonio Raimondo is Frosinone's top scorer in Serie A, with seven goals in eight games, including five at home.

The striker is averaging 3.5 shots and 1.37 shots on target per 90 minutes.

At home, those numbers go up to 4.3 shots and two shots on target per game.

Frosinone have one of the best attacks in the league, scoring 17 goals in eight games and averaging 18 shots per match.

Lecce, meanwhile, have conceded 14 goals this season, including nine in their last five games.

Lecce will also be without Gaspar in defence, while Tiago Gabriel is a doubt for this game.

Things are looking good for Raimondo, who's been even better at home and is now facing a team that gives away an average of six shots on target per game.

Gabriel Jesus

Thursday's Player Cards Double 🟨 @ 12.00

Matchup and ref puts Viery on the radar

Viery joined Fiorentina this season and has been giving away an average of two fouls per 90 minutes, one of the highest averages in the squad.

He's already picked up two yellow cards despite not playing that many minutes, having only completed two full games this season.

This isn't anything new for him either.

Back at Grêmio, he picked up four yellow cards in 13 Brazilian league games.

The bad news for Viery is that Federico La Penna will be the referee.

He averaged 4.3 cards and 27.6 fouls per game last season.

Viery will also have to deal with Nikola Krstovic, who gets fouled almost twice per 90 minutes and was fouled three times in his last game against Frosinone.

With a referee who isn't afraid to show cards and both of Viery's yellow cards coming from fouls on opposition attackers, the Brazilian looks like a good candidate for a booking here.

Alan Franco has been booked in three of his five games against Cruzeiro in 2026, and there's already a bit of bad blood between him and some of their players.

The midfielder has also picked up six yellow cards in the Brazilian league, averaging 1.5 fouls per game.

He's committed at least one foul in 86% of his league appearances.

Cruzeiro have plenty of players who draw fouls in midfield, especially Matheus Pereira, who's been fouled 101 times in 29 games, an average of almost 3.5 per match.

Raphael Claus will referee the derby, and he's averaging 3.9 yellow cards per game in the Brazilian league.

He also refereed their last meeting in September, when seven yellow cards and a red were shown.

Franco's recent disciplinary record is another big reason to fancy him for a card here.

He's picked up two yellow cards and a red in his last four games across all competitions.

Gabriel Jesus

This Week's Football Tips

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