Kenny Tete is quite a forward-thinking full back and wins a lot of fouls as a result. He’s been hauled down 21 times across his 11 Premier League appearances this season (2.00 per 90) - more than any other player in the Fulham squad.

Tete is also very quick to engage with his opponent, as displayed by his tackle numbers (3.62 per 90) and duel won numbers (7.25 per game - 62.3% won). This angle is particularly appealing as Tete will be up against two opponents here, one of them being Yeremy Pino, who is priced as short as 1.10 to commit a foul here.

Pino has been aggressive in the early few months of his Palace career, committing 15 fouls across his 12 Premier League appearances (1.78 per 90). Tete is also likely to have multiple individual duels with Tyrick Mitchell (0.50 fouls committed per 90) - this should be enough for Tete to be hauled down at least once here.

Tete only featured in one of the three head-to-head meetings between these sides last season, contesting 15 duels on that occasion and being fouled once.

Marc Guehi has won 15 fouls across his 13 Premier League appearances this season (1.15 per 90). This record ranks him in the 91st percentile for fouls won when compared to other centre backs in the league.

Guehi is able to win fouls consistently due to the role he takes up in the back three. He plays on the left-hand side, with this allowing him to step into more advanced areas, with Guehi being comfortable carrying the ball forward. This naturally increases the chances of Guehi being hauled down as he faces up against midfielders, as well as attackers, when lining up in this role.

Guehi has been fouled in two of his last five Premier League appearances and was notably fouled three times across both of Palace’s visits to Craven Cottage last season in the league and the FA Cup, with Guehi winning at least one foul in each clash.

His main opponent here is likely to be Raul Jimenez (2.55 fouls committed per 90), who committed two fouls in this fixture last term. Guehi will also contest duels against Fulham’s midfielders, with Sasa Lukic (3.49 fouls committed per 90) the most likely to bring him down when he steps into more advanced areas.

Crystal Palace have conceded the fewest goals of any side in the Premier League on the road this season (four) with the Eagles managing to win four of those games. Dean Henderson has been an important player in maintaining this solid defensive record, which has been a consistent success of Oliver Glasner’s time at Selhurst Park.

Henderson has kept the 2nd-most clean sheets in the Premier League this season (seven), sitting just one behind David Raya, who plays for the best defensive outfit in Europe. He’s been forced into making 33 saves across his 14 Premier League appearances this term (2.36 per 90), maintaining an excellent save percentage of 75%.

To add some context to those numbers, Henderson has saved 33 of the 44 shots he’s faced in the Premier League and boasts the best goals prevented record of any keeper in the division (3.60). Only three goalkeepers can boast a better save percentage than Henderson in the Premier League, highlighting how much he has contributed to Palace’s strong defensive record on the road under Glasner.

Fulham have been left frustrated at times this season, which has led to promising card and foul numbers. Fulham rank 3rd for fouls committed per game in the Premier League (12.5) and have picked up 26 yellow cards across their 14 matches (1.85 per game).

We’re looking for a slight increase in their card numbers here, but the recent history involving these sides suggests that we could get quite a feisty encounter. Fulham lost both matches at Craven Cottage against Crystal Palace last season, committing 21 fouls across these matches.

Crystal Palace are averaging 10.5 fouls won per game in the Premier League, and have drawn 2+ cards from their opponents in 11 of their 14 Premier League fixtures - including five of their seven away matches.

Mateta is Palace’s top scorer in the Premier League this season with seven goals across his 14 appearances. The next top scorers in the Palace squad are Daniel Munoz and Ismaila Sarr, so Palace rely heavily on Mateta for their goal output.

Mateta had three shots on target across the three head-to-head meetings between these sides last season in the league and cup, and was pretty unfortunate not to score in at least one of those appearances with a combined personal xG tally of 1.2.

Fulham have really struggled in their matches at Craven Cottage, with Palace winning both meetings last season, and remaining unbeaten since 2014 at the West London ground. This positive historic record can add to Palace’s chances of scoring a few goals here, with Mateta clearly being their biggest goal threat.

Crystal Palace have always offered a threat from corners and other set pieces under Oliver Glasner, but the more I watch the Eagles the more I think that this is out of necessity rather than design. Crystal Palace rank 3rd for big chances missed in the Premier League (27) and 5th for expected goals (23) - with Palace underachieving their xG by five goals.

Only Wolves have a bigger underperformance in their expected goals tally (-6) in the Premier League, which tells us that Palace create plenty of chances but lack key players in the final third to make the most of those opportunities. This is where the threat they offer from corners and set pieces can come into play - Palace have scored six of their 18 goals from set pieces this term (33%).

Palace have collated 7.65 xG from set pieces this season, the 2nd-highest tally in the division behind Arsenal (8.21). This offers a good angle to back the Palace centre backs for shots, with Richards priced the most generously for an attempt here. Richards has had five shots in the Premier League this season (0.36 per 90), with all five of those attempts coming from corners. Richards averaged 0.56 shots per 90 across his 24 Premier League appearances last season, with this record returning one goal.

Sasa Lukic is the most aggressive player in the Premier League by some distance. Very few players can match the 3.49 fouls he commits per 90 in the Premier League, with this average holding strong across 11 appearances and 747 minutes of Premier League football.

This has seen Lukic pick up five yellow cards for Fulham this season - the most of any player in Marco Silva’s squad. Lukic also topped this ranking last season, collecting 12 yellow cards, which was the most in the Fulham squad by four cautions.

Fulham line up against a Palace side that are averaging 10.5 fouls won per 90 in the Premier League and have drawn 2+ cards from their opponents in 11 of their 14 Premier League matches this term, including five of their seven away fixtures.