Our South American expert is looking to make it three winning Gem Bets on the bounce since the turn of the year.

The first leg of this highly important Copa Libertadores qualifier will be in Rio, where Brazil’s big spenders will be hoping to take a win into the second leg.

Although not officially announced by either club, it has been confirmed that Bragantino’s centre back and captain Leo Ortiz will be on his way to Flamengo and will therefore not feature in this match.

This is a huge blow for the visitors, who have been attempting to keep their captain throughout the off-season. It appears they have lost him at the worst possible time, which could see team morale drop off.

Bragantino’s morale isn’t particularly high at the moment anyway. Two 0-0 draws v Aguilas saw the Red Bull team scrape through on penalties – a tie many expected them club to dominate.

A lack of goals, or shots on target for that matter, will concern their fanbase. Bragantino had just three shots on target across the 120 minutes, and with no forward firing at present, they’ll no doubt be looking for a draw to keep them in the tie.

However, Botafogo have had a new lease of life since firing Thiago Nunes. They may not have got a replacement in yet, but they haven’t flinched since. In fact, they’ve thrived. A 6-0 statement victory over Aurora before beating Fluminense 4-2 at the Maracana will give them confidence ahead of this crucial tie.

Despite a couple of injuries, there’s plenty of attacking talent between Junior Santos and Tiquinho Soares for them to win the first leg. Without Leo Ortiz, both should get plenty of chances and evens looks way too big on them to get the job half done.