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Germany v Denmark Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

Germany v Denmark Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

Friday 28 June, 20242 min read
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Robin Bairner

Robin is a specialist in Scottish and French football and has been with us since 2022. He loves championing the young talent that Ligue 1 produces on a seemingly perpetual basis as well as the chaos of the unique world of SPFL football. He is currently based in central Scotland and can be found weekly taking in games and rating pies at windswept venues across the country.

In this article...

Germany v Denmark Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

Germany underlined their status as one of the tournament favourites with an impressive run through to winning Group A, going undefeated and scoring eight goals, conceding only twice. Denmark drew every game in Group C, scoring just twice and conceding twice, and advancing in second place.

In preparation for this huge knockout fixture, we’ve put together a bet builder at 3/1 and a longshot at 8/1 for this Round of 16 clash between Germany and Denmark. Like we've done for every game at the Euros so far, we also have a Germany v Denmark betting preview to give you the lowdown on all the crucial stats ahead of this one.

Andy's Bet Club will be full to the brim with Euro 2024 predictions throughout the knockout stages of the tournament. From now until the trophy is lifted in mid-July, expect to see daily Euro 2024 acca tips, weekly both teams to score predictions, and plenty more free football tips. Be sure to check back every day to keep across all the content so you can bet smarter this summer.

Bet builder lovers can rejoice too, as we have a carefully-researched slate of shot on target predictions and foul betting tips for you to browse next time you plan a Euro 2024 bet builder, they are also available to be backed as singles. The value we bring doesn't stop here either, as our selection of Euros betting offers allow you to make the most of our picks for the top bet builder sites.

3/1 Germany v Denmark Bet Builder Tip

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🛑 Kai Havertz to commit 2+ fouls

📈 Odds: 1.53

Kai Havertz is an energetic presser of the ball and typically gives up numerous free kicks per game. He illustrated this with Arsenal this season as he committed 1.67 fouls per 90 in the Premier League. No Germany player has committed more fouls at Euro 2024 than Havertz’s five and he is yet to be booked. Under no threat of suspension for the quarter-finals, he can play in his usual high-octane style. The Arsenal man did not foul against Switzerland, yet there was an element of Germany managing themselves in that match to prepare for future challenges. The team had already qualified, so it was not a do-or-die encounter worth being rash in. He gave away two free kicks against Scotland and three against Hungary, despite being withdrawn around the hour mark in both games. He is likely to be used in a similar manner in this game. Havertz is averaging 2.17 fouls per 90 at Euro 2024, second among Germany regulars behind only Robert Andrich.

🛑 Joakim Maehle to commit 1+ fouls 🔄️

📈 Odds: 1.67

Maehle is sitting on three fouls after playing less than 200 minutes at Euro 2024, giving away 1.43 fouls per 90. The Wolfsburg wing back has given away fouls in two of the three matches in which he has featured, including a couple against England, when he was up against Phil Foden. He will face a similarly technical player in the form of Jamal Musiala in Saturday’s encounter. Musiala has provoked five fouls at Euro 2024 to date at a rate of 2.08 per 90. Musiala has won at least one free kick against each of the three teams he has faced at Euro 2024, and is on a run of 11 successive starts for club and country in competitive football in which he has drawn at least one foul.

🛑 Alexander Bah to commit 1+ fouls 🔄️

📈 Odds: 1.57

Yet to commit a foul at Euro 2024, Bah is liable to come under far more defensive scrutiny in this match. He averaged 1.18 fouls per 90 with Benfica in the Portuguese top-flight this season. Preparing to come into direct competition with Maximilian Mittelstadt during periods of this match. The Germany wing back who has been fouled on nine occasions so far in Euro 2024, winning at least two in every game he has played. If Bah sits back – he is likely to be the more defensive of the two Danish wing backs – he will come into direct confrontation with Florian Wirtz, who may only have won one foul at Euro 2024 but won 1.02 fouls per 90 with Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga. Should Wirtz be taken off, the equally tricky Leroy Sane is his likely replacement.

8/1 Germany v Denmark Longshot

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🎯 Jamal Musiala to have 1+ shots on target 🔄️

📈 Odds: 1.73

Jamal Musiala has been outstanding at Euro 2024 to date. He turned in an outstanding display against Scotland, scoring in a 5-1 victory, and was again on target as Die Mannschaft defeated Hungary 2-0. The Bayern Munich man did not trouble the scorers against Switzerland but his only shot was on target. Musiala has five direct goal contributions in his last nine caps. Julian Nagelsmann has managed his minutes in the tournament so far, but if the situation becomes demanding for Germany, he still has the capacity and energy to go deep in a game.

🎯 Ilkay Gundogan to have 1+ shots on target 🔄️

📈 Odds: 1.67

Gundogan is being used in a more advanced role for Germany than he was at club level for Barcelona this season, and that means he is much more like the offensive threat he was during his latter years with Manchester City. He has managed seven shots so far at Euro 2024. Although only two (28.6%) of those have hit the target, a more representative value of his shooting is the 32.7% shooting accuracy he has managed at club level, across the last four league seasons. As he has become famous for, Gundogan is continuously getting into good areas to score. His average shot distance is 14.4 yards, which is the smallest in Germany’s squad aside from Havertz. This suggests that he is getting into good areas as he usually does, so the shots on target should follow. Gundogan has managed a minimum of two shots per game at Euro 2024, offering a consistent threat.

🚀 Christian Eriksen to have 3+ shots

📈 Odds: 3.00

Everything Denmark do flows through Christian Eriksen, so if they are to cause an upset in this game, they need their captain to be at his best. Eriksen has posted 10 shots through the opening three matches of the competition at 3.45 per 90. Only Cristiano Ronaldo (12) has had more efforts. He has managed at least two shots in each of his three appearances to date, albeit he has hit the target only twice. Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg leads Denmark in terms of shots on target with four and is priced at 4.2 to manage another. Eriksen mustered three shots against England, who are likely to be a similar standard of opposition to Germany. Eriksen will also take responsibility for free kicks around the box, which could provide precious shooting opportunities for the Danes. Although he has been replaced in the last ten minutes of the last two games, he is liable to play the duration if Denmark are in a tight spot.
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