💎 Gem Bet: Conor Bradley to have 1+ Shots v Germany @ 2.37 (bet365)

✅ bet365 - 2.37
SkyBet - 1.33
Paddy Power - 1.29
Betfair - 1.29

Priced at 2.37 with bet365 and as short as 1.29 with Paddy Power and Betfair, this feels like outrageous value. The gulf in pricing alone should grab attention, but when you look at Bradley’s role, output, and the game dynamics, it becomes even harder to ignore.

While he operates at right-back for Liverpool, for Northern Ireland he has often been pushed higher up on the right flank, regularly featuring as a right midfielder. In that role, his attacking instincts are far more evident.

Across his last 20 internationals he has averaged 1.53 shots per 90, taking at least one shot in nine of his last 13 starts, which, most importantly, includes against top-tier opposition like Spain. That consistency demonstrates a willingness to get forward and test the goalkeeper, even when chances are limited.

The obvious hesitation is Germany’s defensive record, but recent form suggests they aren’t the impenetrable unit their name implies. Thursday’s shock 2-0 defeat to Slovakia stretched their winless run to four (D1, L3), and under Nagelsmann they’ve conceded an average of 9.75 shots per game.

Across two recent qualifying matches against Bosnia (ranked just one place below Northern Ireland), they allowed their opponents seven and eight shots, respectively. That profile indicates opportunities will exist, even for a team of NI’s calibre.

With Bradley’s advanced role, his consistent shot output, Germany’s defensive vulnerabilities, and the sheer pricing disparity between bookmakers, odds of 2.37 for Bradley to take a shot look like great value. We also benefit from bet365's Sub On Play On with this pick, making it an even more attractive bet.