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Germany v Scotland
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Kick Off: Friday 14th June at 20:00
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Watch Live: ITV1
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Competition: Euro 2024
Euro 2024 kicks off with hosts Germany up against Steve Clarke’s Scotland at Bayern Munich’s Allianz Arena, which has been rebranded as the Fussball Arena Munchen for the competition.
Andy’s Bet Club has you covered for all of the Euro 2024 action, with our keen eye on the best opportunities for Euro 2024 free bets and all the Euro 2024 betting tips and expert football betting predictions you need to make this summer a winning one.
Our Euro 2024 accumulator tips will run daily from tomorrow alongside our shots on target predictions and fouls betting tips. Our collection of the latest odds boosts also makes it easier for you to stay on top of the best value on the market.
There is a weight of expectation on Julian Nagelsmann’s side after recent disappointment at the 2022 World Cup, in which they failed to get out of the group stages.
Even reaching the knockout stages would be an achievement for the Scots, they have never progressed beyond the first round in any major championship, a fact the squad needs little reminding of.
Can Germany get off and running in a tournament many believe they can go all the way in or will Scotland cause a seismic upset?
Germany v Scotland Best Bets
➡️ Germany (-1) handicap @ 1.83 on Paddy Power
➡️ John McGinn to commit 2+ fouls @ 1.83 on Paddy Power
➡️ Jamal Musiala to assist anytime @ 4.0 on Paddy Power
Given Scotland’s tendency to lose by multiple goals against elite opponents, backing Germany with a -1 handicap appears to be a logical bet. This is available at 1.83.
Expect John McGinn to be in the thick of things, the Scotland midfielder gave up 1.69 fouls per 90 in qualifying while winning 2.47. He is 1.83 to commit two or more fouls and 1.73 to win two or more. He’s a busy presence at the best of times and will likely be doubly so in this type of environment.
Meanwhile, Musiala is surprisingly long at 4.0 for an anytime assist given he has two in four matches for his country in 2024 and should be expected to play a sizeable role.
📂 Germany v Scotland Cheat Sheet
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You can find Germany v Scotland match stats on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
⚔️ Germany v Scotland Head-to-Head
There is precious little recent history between these nations. Indeed, they have met only twice in the last 20 years. These fixtures came in the qualifying campaign for Euro 2016 when Germany pinched a couple of victories by 2-1 and 3-2 scorelines.
Interestingly, Germany’s scorers in those games are both in the squad. Thomas Muller scored four of the five goals and assisted the other, which was netted by Ilkay Gundogan. The Bayern Munich man is unlikely to get too many minutes in this game but look for his midfield cohort to play a significant role.
Manuel Neuer and Toni Kroos also remain from those matches nearly a decade on; while Scotland’s only remaining player from those encounters is centre back Grant Hanley.
📊 Germany Form and Stats
Nagelsmann has overseen a dramatic upturn in Germany’s form. After claiming only three victories in 11 matches in 2023, they have already matched that tally in just four games this year.
The latest of those successes came last Friday as they overcame Greece 2-1 thanks to goals from Kai Havertz and a late winner from Pascal Gross. It was not a particularly impressive display. Although they managed 70% of possession, they were worse off than their opponents both in terms of shots (12-14) and shots on target (5-6).
However, Germany have scored exactly two goals in three of their last four matches, doing so against strong opponents in the form of France and the Netherlands in back-to-back March friendlies.
Havertz has scored two of those goals as he transfers his improved Arsenal form to the international stage, while backup striker Niclas Fullkrug also has one. Florian Wirtz, Gross and Maximilian Mittelstadt have also netted.
📊 Scotland Form and Stats
Scotland comfortably qualified for Euro 2024 having all but secured their place in Germany with a win away to Cyprus last September. Since then, though, the form of Clarke’s side has slumped, albeit in the face of some stern opponents.
The Scots have won just one of their last nine international matches, and even that was a pretty unconvincing 2-0 success against Gibraltar less than a fortnight ago. Since then, they squandered a 2-0 lead against Finland at home and had to settle for a 2-2 draw.
A tough run of matches in which Scotland played England, Spain, France and the Netherlands offers a good insight into what can be expected from this encounter. Clarke’s side lost all of those games by multiple goals, suggesting this will be a stern challenge.
There were flashes of promise in those encounters. Scott McTominay, who hopes to shake injury to start, had a second half goal to put Scotland 1-0 up in Spain harshly disallowed, while the first half performance against the Dutch was superb and the 4-0 final score did not offer a reflection of how well Andy Robertson and co played for an extended period.
Scotland’s success in qualifying was underpinned by being clinical. They mustered only 27 shots on target but scored 16 of them. No team managed a higher conversion rate in those two metrics.
McTominay was the danger man as he scored seven times while John McGinn chipped in with three. The centre forwards, Lyndon Dykes (who is injured and not in the squad), Lawrence Shankland and Che Adams managed only two combined.
Captain Robertson topped the assist count with three, with the left wing a real strength for Scotland. He managed a total of 29 crosses and his attacking importance is underlined by the fact that he was caught offside three times, accounting for half of Scotland’s infringements for that reason.
Of players who featured for over 90 minutes in qualifying, Ryan Christie topped the foul charts with 3.33 fouls per 90. Although not a regular, he started both pre-tournament friendlies in the absence of McTominay.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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