As well as tracking down the league leaders in points won, Leeds are asserting their domination in the performance metrics.

The Whites are second to Leicester in xG creation at 60.6, with their goals total of 64 being the fourth-best in the league. They have also produced the third-highest number of shots on target. Leeds have conceded the fewest goals in the league and amassed the joint-best number of clean sheets with 15.

Taking form since the turn of the year in the league, Leeds are flying. They have obviously won every match, but also they are top of the expected points table with the highest xG created and the lowest xG against, very impressive.

However, Huddersfield are also entitled to be very pleased with their data from the turn of the year. They sit in the top half of the table for expected points themselves, with an expected goals against rate that is 6th-best in the league for the last nine matches.

Their overall data for the season has the Terriers in the bottom half for every attacking and defensive metric, so that illustrates the improvement that has been made more recently.

Huddersfield’s home form, especially in defence, is very good, not allowing anyone other than Southampton over 1.2 xG in the last ten matches. Most matches are kept very much in the balance with none of the last eight home matches featuring an xG difference of greater than 0.5.

Leeds, therefore, will have to work for their chances, and this is unlikely to be a match in which they will score a lot of goals, despite a likely superiority.

A concession to Leeds’ priorities this season was demonstrated by Daniel Farke when he left Crysencio Summerville on the bench for the match against Chelsea on Wednesday night. Though the Dutchman did come on with 10 minutes to go, he was clearly being rested for the league campaign, and probably rightly so.

He is, therefore, very likely to start here, and to be given the vast majority of the match to do his thing. Summerville averages the highest shots on target numbers of anyone likely to start in this match and he is backable for at least one in this match.

Josh Koroma is Huddersfield’s most likely contributor of shots in this match. However, he cannot be recommended at 1.73 given Leeds’ defensive record. Whilst Koroma has been averaging over a shot on target per 90, he has only been given around an hour in the last few matches and this makes his price too short to recommend.

Leeds should have the most corners here. This will be the case if the match is level for a long time or if Leeds go behind, but not all of the trends point towards Leeds.

Huddersfield are one of the few teams in the league who have conceded more corners than they have earned at home, however, Leeds’ away record on corners is actually quite poor, only earning 4.41 on average compared to 6.24 against, which, when the match bet on corners is 1.30 in Leeds’ favour, is off-putting.

Instead, with both Huddersfield’s home total and Leeds’ away total slightly above average, and the potential for both sides to go after the win, backing overs in the corners market looks like the best angle.

Jack Rudoni’s last five matches read 1, 3, 1, 2, 3 in terms of fouls conceded in the Championship. He is one of Huddersfield’s best players and has only been substituted once in the entire season, so is as reliable as it gets in terms of getting to play the full match.

Rudoni is the best value for a foul on the Huddersfield side, especially when considering the competitiveness of the derby in the midfield. David Kasumu is likely to be the midfield partner of Rudoni and is shorter with the market, but is also a potential addition to a bet builder if required.

Georginio Rutter is a foul magnet, both in attracting fouls and committing them, but is very short in the market. A slightly better option is Wilfried Gnonto. He is close to Rutter’s average of almost two fouls a game, but is a more attractive price.

Gnonto has committed at least one foul in five of his last six starts, fouling twice on two of those occasions, as well as fouling twice in two substitute appearances recently.