In this article…
Hull v Norwich
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Kick Off: Friday 12th January at 20:00
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Competition: Championship
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Football
The Championship returns this Friday night after the FA Cup third round last weekend, getting underway with Hull v Norwich. Here at Andy’s Bet Club we have all the action covered in our EFL betting tips, EFL accumulator tips and bet builder stats – everything you need for this weekend’s football.
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Hull City have surprised many by being so firmly in the picture for the top six. Liam Rosenior is just over a year into his maiden EFL managerial role, but his effect on the team and the club as a whole is clear for everyone to see, and, perhaps shines an interesting light on his time at Derby County with, now deposed Birmingham City manager, Wayne Rooney.
Hull have a team that has the consistency of selection and game plan, especially in defence, and with an array of attacking talent that has been built quickly over a couple of improved transfer windows and the buying power of Acun Ilicali. Their latest recruit, Liverpool’s Fabio Carvalho, lit up this division when he was here with Fulham two seasons ago, and could help to fire Hull into the play-offs.
Norwich wouldn’t yet write themselves off for the play-offs either, though their task is greater than Hull’s at the moment. David Wagner celebrated a year in charge of the Canaries a few days ago, but his charges aren’t getting the type of results that inspire confidence in either the team themselves or the fans. With another reverse on Friday night at Hull, Wagner could see confidence further eroded in key places at Norwich.
There are lots of angles to consider when putting together a bet builder for this fixture. To do this we have the aid of our fantastic cheat sheet and with some extra analysis in certain aspects of the match there are some excellent angles to add to a bet builder.
Hull v Norwich Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
There are so many ways to use our Cheat Sheets, and we encourage you to find your own formula to pick a winning bet builder, however, if you’re unsure of how to use a Cheat Sheet, just click the link for some quick tips to help you make the most of it.
You can find Hull v Norwich match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
⚽️ Match stats: Tigers showing defensive teeth whilst Norwich look way off it defensively
Hull are well-coached. There can be little doubt about that over a year now that Rosenior has been employed as head coach at the MKM Stadium the data suggests that his team concedes chances at a rate comparable to a team that deserves to be on the very edge of the play-offs.
The improvement that can be made is in attack. Despite having an interesting selection of players to conduct forward play, the underlying numbers tell us that they haven’t quite been able to join the elite of the division in terms of chance creation and dominance in their opponent’s defensive third. The loss of Jaden Philogene to injury will have made an impact here.
Norwich may well allow Hull that time and space to find some attacking spark though. The Canaries have the 3rd worst defence in the league when it comes to xG created against them, only Rotherham and Plymouth are worse at allowing chances to be created through them.
From an attacking perspective Norwich’s stats match their league position. They are 9th for xG created, but mid-table for most of the rest of the data. To provide some positives to Norwich, they are 6th in terms of actual goals scored, albeit they are overperforming their xG quite markedly.
Predictions:
⚽ Hull to win @ 2.05
⚽ Over 2.5 goals @ 1.60
🎯 Shooting stats: Tufan to fill the gap for The Tigers
There isn’t much between the two sides when it comes to shots taken. Hull do have a better rate of getting their shots on target, an average of just over five instead of around four for Norwich. However, counter-intuitively Norwich do have a better goals per shot rate than their opponents.
Looking at interesting individuals in each side, Hull will be missing their highest shot taker in Jaden Philogene, and also a consistent cog in their attack, Liam Delap.
This gives other players the opportunity to shine. Billy Sharp may get his first start, but there is no real concrete data to go off at the moment for Sharp, though he was fairly high volume in his career. Instead it may pay to go with tried and tested players in Scott Twine and Ozan Tufan. Tufan, in particular, has been enjoying his shots in that withdrawn role just behind the central striker.
Josh Sargent is back for Norwich, and he looks a really good price in the shots on target market. He has averaged around two shots on target so far this season for him to repeat that is a big odds against price. He could play from the right in this match and although that wouldn’t be ideal, he is still a big threat from that position.
Predictions:
⚽ Ozan Tufan to have 1+ shot on target @ 1.53
⚽ Josh Sargent to have 1+ shot on target @ 1.73
⚽ Josh Sargent to have 2+ shots on target @ 3.75
⛳ Corners stats: Pro-Hull the way to go
Both teams’ matches average over 10 corners in the league so far this season with just over 50% of their matches going over the over 10.5 corner line.
Breaking this down into their constituent parts, Hull at home are a fairly dominant leader over their opponents in terms of corner totals. They average more than two corners per match better than their opponents (6.62 v 4.46) and 92% of their home matches have gone over 8.5 corners.
Norwich succumb to the same narrative that most of the Championship subscribe to, they don’t win as many corners on the road as the home team. In fact they average two corners per match fewer than their hosts on average (4.38 vs 6.38).
Predictions:
⚽ Hull corner match bet @ 1.61
⚽ Over 8.5 Hull corners @ 1.25
🟨 Cards stats: A couple of value spots for cards on both sides
Neither team has a poor disciplinary record in terms of yellow cards so far this season, so the yellow card market may not be as juicy as it sometimes is. Advice is to stay clear of the team yellow card markets as it is difficult to separate the two teams and there is no clear indication of how many cards will be shown in this match.
However, there are a couple of interesting spots for individual cards. The Norwich forward Ashley Barnes is a bigger price for a card than expected. He has only three bookings so far this season, so he is not at threat from a ban, but he has 18 fouls from his 13 games. Shane Duffy, Kenny McLean, and Gabriel Sara all have fewer fouls but more cards than Barnes.
For Hull, Lewie Coyle is in fourth for fouls but so far has picked up only two yellow cards and could be a value alternative for a bet.
Predictions:
⚽ Ashley Barnes to be shown a card @ 3.75
⚽ Lewie Coyle to be shown a card @ 3.20
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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