Inter v AC Milan

The second leg of the Coppa Italia semi-final sees Italy’s two biggest rivals go head to head with the tie finely poised after the sides played out a 1-1 draw in the first leg encounter. Inter are eyeing up a historic treble with Simeone Inzaghi’s side at the semi-final stage in both the cup and the Champions League, as well as leading the way in Serie A but with Napoli hot on their tail.

It’s been a more underwhelming campaign for the red side of Milan, the cup represents the only chance they have at salvaging their season, with Sergio Conceicao’s side sitting ninth in Serie A, six points off a place in Europe next season. They did well to limit Inter to just the one goal in the first leg but were on the back foot for the majority of the game and will do well to quell Inter’s confidence, which will have increased following their progression to the semi-finals of the Champions League.

⭐ Inter v AC Milan Best Bet

AC Milan’s season is on the line here and you would expect them to play like that is the case. They had four shots on target in the initial meeting between the sides and are likely to have to replicate that number if not exceed it if they are to have any chance of progressing to the final of the Coppa Italia. 

AC Milan’s attack has actually been quite solid this season, they’re averaging 5.3 shots on target per game in Serie A this campaign - more than any other side in the division. This suggests that AC Milan can hurt their rivals here even if they are unable to keep them from breaching their backline. AC Milan will have to lean on this attacking output to trouble their rivals here and are likely to throw everything at it seeing as their season has crumbled in other competitions. 

These sides have met on three other occasions this season in which AC Milan managed 4+ shots on target. Interestingly, Inter are yet to get the better of their rivals this season which suggests that this derby tends to exist outside of usual patterns and form. AC Milan can come in under their average for the season when it comes to shots on target here given that this is the last chance they have to make this season successful.

👕 Inter v AC Milan Predicted XI

🔍 Inter v AC Milan Players to Watch

🔴 Mike Maignan

Mike Maignan is one of the best keepers in Europe, and he produced a performance to match that title in the first leg, making seven saves to keep AC Milan in the tie. He’s averaging 2.69 saves per game in Serie A this season, but Inter have already shown that they can force a rise in this metric.

Inter have drawn 4+ saves from Maignan in three of the four head-to-head meetings between the sides this season, the exception coming in the game right at the beginning of the season, in which Inter drew three saves from Maignan. Inter are averaging 5.2 shots on target per game in Serie A this season, but exceeded this average to hit eight shots on target in the first leg meeting.

They should be able to rack up a similar number of attempts here, with Maignan solid enough in the AC Milan net to keep out at least four efforts on goal.

🔴 Tammy Abraham

Tammy Abraham has had a tough time since joining AC Milan in as he had to deal with injuries and a change of manager, but he showed his quality in scoring the opener in the first leg meeting. He had two shots on target in that game and can be a real threat for AC Milan in providing a box presence to rival that of Acerbi and Bastoni, who are usually so dominant in the box. Abraham has had 13 shots on target across his 11 starts in Serie A this season (1.05 per 90), which is enough to suggest that he can cause Inter problems again here.

➡️ Tammy Abraham to have 1+ Shots on Target on bet365 @ 1.57 ↔️

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📂 Inter v AC Milan Cheat Sheet

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💻 Inter v AC Milan Form and Tactics

Inter’s approach is refreshing at a time when the top clubs in Europe are prioritising young talent. Simeone Inzaghi became the first manager to field 4+ players aged 35 or older in the quarter finals of the Champions League, an experience that is invaluable, especially at the latter stages of these knockout competitions. This experience aids what is already one of the most organised sides in Europe. 

Inter line up in a 3-5-2 shape with the two forwards and wingbacks crucial in hurting the opposition. The midfield three have excellent technical ability, which allows them to control games and feed the players that end up hurting the opposition, notably Martinez and Thuram, who have formed a dangerous duo this season. 

AC Milan are a bit all over the place at the moment. The squad has plenty of talent, but merging that into an effective system has proved difficult for both Paulo Fonseca and Sergio Conceicao. They sit ninth in Serie A, and this semi-final represents their only chance of making their season a success, so you would expect them to go for it against their rivals. AC Milan have avoided defeat in all four of their head-to-head meetings with Inter this season.

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🏁 Inter v AC Milan Ref Watch

• Referee: TBC

  Fouls pg	Yellows pg	Reds pg
  TBC	TBC	TBC

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