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AC Milan v Inter
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Kick Off: Sunday 2nd February at 17:00
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Competition: Serie A
The Milanese giants face off at the San Siro once more, following contrasting midweek results in the Champions League.
The Nerazzurri thumped Monaco 3-0 in what was one of their most impressive displays of the season, dominating their opposition with fast, intricate, vertical football in the first half, before controlling the second period and reducing the visitors to nothing.
Milan, on the other hand, were hampered early on as Musah saw red in the 39th minute. An intense, end-to-end affair was to ensue but ultimately Dinamo Zagreb came out on top.
⭐ AC Milan v Inter Best Bet
Milan’s defence has been vulnerable this season, conceding an average of 10.18 shots per game in Serie A. Many of those efforts have come from their left flank, in part due to Theo Hernández’s offensive mindset. His forward bursts often leave gaps, and his occasional defensive lapses contribute to additional shooting opportunities for opponents.
Dumfries thrives in exploiting such weaknesses, using his aggressive runs to disrupt defensive structures and create space. Dumfries has been a consistent attacking presence, averaging 1.88 shots per 90 minutes in Serie A and recording at least 2 attempts in 14 of his last 17 matches across all competitions (playing 65+ minutes). Odds of 2.70 for him to notch 2 efforts here represents excellent value.
🟢 AC Milan v Inter #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
There are two important factors playing into this selection, the first being Martinez’s resurgence in form, and the second being Thuram’s evolving role in the system.
The Inter skipper struggled for fitness early on in the season but has since recovered, having now fired off 23 shots on goal across his last 10 games for The Nerazzurri. Despite the slow start, no player on the pitch can rival Martinez’s average of 1.43 shots on target per 90, and having bagged a hat-trick in midweek, his confidence will be sky-high.
In a decision likely influenced by Martinez’s return to form, Thuram uptook a far more creative role against Monaco, playing mostly with his back to goal, facilitating the buildup and creating chances for Martinez. Given this resulted in one of Inter’s best performances of the season, it’s likely Inzaghi will continue with this approach.
Additionally, he’s unlikely to be short of chances given Milan have conceded 34 shots on target across their last 5. 28/1 is great value here.
👕 AC Milan v Inter Predicted XI
🔍 AC Milan v Inter Players to Watch
🔵 Kristjan Asllani
The Albanian midfielder has been a magnet for fouls, averaging 2.10 drawn per 90 minutes this season. He’s won at least 1 in 13 of his 14 starts, 2 in 9 starts, and 3 or more in 5 outings, making it hard to imagine him breaking that pattern in such an intense and competitive match.
Adding to the appeal is his likely duel with Ismael Bennacer, who is set to replace the suspended Fofana. The Algerian international commits an average of 1.67 fouls per 90 minutes, making him a prime candidate to contribute to this bet’s success.
🔴 Rafael Leao
Leão’s ability to draw fouls makes him a strong pick in this market, averaging 1.87 fouls won per 90 minutes. Despite starting just 24 games for Milan this season, he has managed to win at least 2 fouls in 14 separate games. His recent performances highlight this trend – against Juventus, he was fouled an impressive 6 times, while in his last meeting with Inter, he won 2 fouls despite playing for just 41 minutes.
Much of the value in this bet comes from his likely matchup with Dumfries, Inter’s most frequent fouler. The Dutch wingback averages 2.39 fouls per 90 minutes and has already faced Milan twice this season, committing 2 fouls in both matches.
🔵 Alessandro Bastoni
Bastoni has committed at least 1 foul in 17 of his 19 Serie A starts. He averages 1.61 fouls per 90 minutes in the league, as well as 1.32 per 90 in the Champions League, 1.33 in the Coppa Italia, and 1.11 in the Supercoppa.
His likely battle with Tammy Abraham adds even more intrigue. With Morata finalising his move to Galatasaray, Abraham is expected to start, bringing his 1.23 fouls drawn per 90 minutes into the equation. This matchup could be a physical one, as Abraham also commits 1.54 fouls per 90, while Bastoni himself is no stranger to contact, drawing 1.55 fouls per 90. This battle could materialise into both player committing multiple infringements on eachother.
📂 AC Milan v Inter Cheat Sheet
Andy’s Bet Club is the best place for Football Betting Predictions. We’ve got this weekend’s Italian football covered with Serie A Betting Tips, check out our Napoli v Roma Betting Tips and Napoli v Roma Bet Builder Tips in store for Sunday’s matches.
We’ve got plenty more in store for this Sunday’s footballing action, look out for our Brentford v Tottenham Betting Tips and Man United v Crystal Palace Bet Builder Tips as well as a Premier League Player Prop Accumulator.
There’s also Result & BTTS Predictions, Cross-League Accumulator Tips, European Acca Tips, and Andy Robson’s Boosted Double available for Sunday’s matches.
Ahead of this key clash, we also have an Arsenal v Man City Free Bets Article, with over £180 in free bets available for new customers.
💻 AC Milan v Inter Form and Tactics
Conceicao’s appointment certainly raised eyebrows in Milan and in fact all around the world, given the wide tactical discrepancies between him and Fonseca. We’ve seen them shift from structure to adaptability, central play to wide play, and perhaps most significantly, possession-based dominance to transition-concentrated threat.
This system got Milan over the line as they trumped Inter in the Supercoppa Final, with Leao playing a key role, albeit off the bench. It’s expected that Inter will attempt to counter Milan’s 4-2-3-1 with their customary 3-5-2, building up through the centre although this could leave their wingbacks slightly exposed.
The matchup between Dumfries and Leao is one to watch out for in particular, and the game could well be decided by the degree to which Inter can contain Milan’s explosive wingers. Bastoni v Abraham is another key battle to look out for.
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🏁 AC Milan v Inter Ref Watch
- Referee: Daniele Chiffi
| Average Cards (Y / R) | 4.11 / 0.11 |
| Fouls Given | 22.22 |
| Penalties | 0.44 |
📺 How to Watch AC Milan v Inter in the Serie A
📅 When is AC Milan v Inter? / Sunday, 2 February 2025, 17:00
🏟 Where is AC Milan v Inter? / San Siro (Milan)
📺 What TV Channel is AC Milan v Inter on? / TNT Sports 3
🟨 …And who is the referee for AC Milan v Inter / Daniele Chiffi 🇮🇹
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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