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Ipswich v Aston Villa
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Kick Off: Sunday 29th September at 14:00
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
Ipswich Town have enjoyed something of a romantic footballing journey over the last two years by progressing from League One to Premier League in back-to-back seasons, but they’ve began 2024/25 with zero victories in six in all competitions.
They’ll certainly be hoping to change that on Sunday but they’re rated as underdogs to do so. Kieran McKenna’s side are at least unbeaten in three, albeit all being draws, plus their only league losses have come against powerhouses Manchester City and Liverpool.
Aston Villa will make the journey to Portman Road looking to extend their three-match winning streak in Premier League action. They are a UEFA Champions League outfit these days and have been playing like a team worthy of participating in such a prestigious tournament. This has largely been the case since Unai Emery, who is soon approaching his two-year anniversary working at Villa Park, was appointed as manager.
Ipswich v Aston Villa Best Bets
It would be fair to say that Ipswich are still settling into life back as a Premier League club. Clearly they were always going to find things tougher after achieving back-to-back promotions and that is proven by their winless start.
One plus for them is not having the kind of schedule Aston Villa have, so it could be argued they’ll be the fresher of the two teams. However, Ipswich are making the kind of mistakes the top clubs will punish, and Aston Villa are very much within that bracket these days. Ipswich’s xGA is to a level that Villa should relish given the offensive talent at their disposal.
An away victory is priced at 1.91 and just cannot be ignored. They are in great form and are not finding victories hard to come by, unlike their opponents. Emery’s side have won all their league games with the exception of Arsenal, their hardest calibre of opponent so far, while Ipswich have only suffered defeats to Man City and Liverpool, who have also been the most difficult clubs they’ve faced. McKenna’s side are likely to fall short against the bigger clubs in these early parts of the season at least, so coming off second best on Sunday is quite likely.
Match cards also looks a strong avenue for a bet in this fixture, with all of five of Ipswich’s Premier League fixtures this season seeing over 3.5 cards and Aston Villa matches reaching this mark in four of their five. This matchup looks especially strong for it considering Villa’s foul drawing tendencies, drawing an average of 15 fouls per 90 from their opponents this year.
The 4.5 match card line looks very achievable in itself here but we recommend over 3.5 cards at 1.40 as a sensible Bet Builder option.
📂 Ipswich v Aston Villa Cheat Sheet
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📊 Ipswich Form and Stats
As they worked their way to automatic promotion in the Championship last season, Ipswich would hold the strongest home record in the division, suffering only one league loss at Portman Road in the process. After two home encounters in 2024/25, they’ve already had the same number of losses, and they have both interestingly featured exactly two goals.
There is one area that will perhaps be concerning manager Kieran McKenna more than anything and that is how little his players are creating in their Premier League contests. The Tractor Boys are bottom of the league xGF count, though they are performing as expected compared to their goal return, so they are proving clinical in front of goal despite ultimately creating not a great deal.
Firing in a late goal can often turn a bad result into a good one, so the importance of recording goals of such nature is key to any club. The 1980-81 UEFA Cup winners will be encouraged by the fact that in two of their last four in all competitions they’ve netted beyond the 85th minute, which includes turning a 1-0 setback at Southampton last weekend into a 1-1 draw thanks to Sam Morsy’s 95th minute leveller.
Ipswich are a team that do have an aggressive edge, one which their manager is clearly happy for them to maintain. They finished as runners-up in the Championship last season to earn promotion, but were ranked as high as sixth based upon number of yellow cards received. They’re already riding high in the top-flight in this category as they’re averaging 3.00 yellow cards per Premier League battle this season.
📊 Aston Villa Form and Stats
For the second time in 2024, Aston Villa have won three Premier League games in a row but they last had a greater winning sequence that this in April 2023. Although they’ve won three league encounters in succession, they haven’t all been plain sailing.
They’ve recorded those despite failing to keep a clean sheet, although that may not come as a surprise as they had a mid-table clean sheet return (10th) in the league last season, which slightly contradicts their actual top-four finish in the league table.
A word of warning for any Aston Villa fan thinking of leaving their games early to beat the traffic, think again! Quite a common sight over their Premier League fixtures this season is the regularity of late goals. Take their last league contest at home to Wolverhampton Wanderers for example, as they were 1-0 behind before three late strikes beyond the 70th minute take the game away from their opponents. All of their league encounters this season included a goal after this point in the match, for or against.
If there is an area manager Unai Emery would ideally like to see his team excel further in is their away record. It is anything but terrible and it was ranked fourth in the Premier League last season, but if they could match something similar to what they do at home then they’d be a title contender.
Last season, they still failed to win more away league matches than they won, plus they also had a negative goal difference across those. However, they do have a 100% away league winning record in 2024/25, so things are looking up.
⚔️ Ipswich v Aston Villa Head-to-Head
This Sunday afternoon fixture will be the first time in over five years that Ipswich and Aston Villa square-off with one another. It was most recently a regular occasion between the years of 2016 to 2019 when these two huge clubs were in the same league, specifically the Championship. That returned with one win for Town, whereas the Villans claimed three victories and two resulted in a draw.
In fact, that one solitary triumph for The Tractor Boys is their one and only success across the previous 14 head-to-head renewals. Even so, that was an away contest at Villa Park, so the most recent time they defeated their weekend opponents at their Portman Road Stadium was in a League Cup tie played in December 1992.
They will hope to get more opportunities to impress not just this season but in the years to come as this particular encounter will be the first Premier League clash between the two teams since March 2002.
Something younger football fans perhaps aren’t too aware of is that in the 1980s both of these made big headlines on the European stage in terms of winning trophies. In 1981, Ipswich proudly lifted the UEFA Cup, now known as the UEFA Europa League, while two years later Aston Villa went all the way in the European Cup, the UEFA Champions League of today. Those titles remain their only respective trophies in European competition.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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