Liam Delap to commit 2+ fouls is priced at 1.62 with Paddy Power, yet other bookmakers list it as low as 1.18, implying an 84.7% probability – making Paddy’s odds significantly overpriced.

Delap’s track record and playstyle strongly support this selection:

He averages 2.1 fouls per game, increasing to 2.58 per 90.

He is Ipswich’s leading player in this metric (by over 0.5 fouls both per game and per 90).

He has committed at least two fouls in each of his last four starts.

Shows consistent fouling tendencies as he has recorded at least one foul in his last 13 appearances (which includes an 11-minute cameo against Coventry in the FA Cup).

He committed a foul in just 30 minutes as a substitute in their FA Cup tie with Forest.

Delap will likely face Nottingham Forest’s physical and foul-drawing midfielders, further increasing the likelihood of him committing multiple fouls:

Ryan Yates (RDM) – 2.07 fouls drawn per 90.
Elliot Anderson (LDM) – 2.03 fouls drawn per 90.

Given Delap’s aggressive tendencies, matchup difficulty, and Paddy’s generous pricing, 1.62 offers outstanding value in this market.