It is difficult for the bookmakers to price the circumstances of this match, and I think that makes this both teams to score price quite generous.

In usual circumstances, I would agree with BTTS No being the favourite in this market, but the fact that Ireland have to go out and win it, and that Hungary also need to win if they are to qualify automatically, means that, for me, there should be more of an open, ding-dong feel to the match.

Ireland showed perfectly on Thursday night that they are eminently capable of hitting teams on the break, and that is certainly something that is on the cards here.

Hungary have kept clean sheets against Armenia in this campaign, but outside of that, they have conceded twice to Ireland, and five to Portugal across two matches, so they have been far from watertight. Their data over a larger sample size also shows that they score 1.38xG and concede 1.67xG over their recent Nations League campaign, plus their current World Cup campaign. Again, demonstrating that there are weaknesses in this Hungarian defence.

This is a bet based on Parrott's club form, alongside what happened on Thursday night at the Aviva Stadium.

Parrott hit three shots on the break against Portugal, scoring the all important opening goal. This is surely enough to finally cement his place at the tip of the team for Ireland, as when the impact against Portugal is combined with his work for AZ in the Netherlands, he looks to be the best bet for goals for Ireland.

Parrott has been a shot machine for AZ. He is averaging a massive 4.35 shots per 90 for his club this season, so he is full of confidence, and with Ireland needing a win here, they will be looking to get Parrott the ball in dangerous areas whenever possible.

Finn Azaz is another player who will have surely given himself a start in this match after producing his best display in an Ireland shirt, alongside many others, on Thursday night.

He will be dangerous for shots and goals as well, but it is his fouls record that interests me here.

Azaz has averaged 0.96 fouls per 90 in an Ireland shirt so far, but this has taken a step up recently. He has committed at least one foul in each of his last four starts for Ireland, including two against Armenia.

Despite this recent consistency of fouling, Azaz remains one of the biggest priced Irish players to commit a single foul. 

I am also expecting an extra intensity to this match, given everything that is on the line for both teams.

Not to stick too hard on a theme, but this seems a good price on a team that needs a win versus a team who could also need a win to progress.

Corners are often a tricky market to gauge and do rely somewhat on game state, but we know that Ireland need a win here, so we know that they will need shots on goal and some degree of proximity to the Hungarian goal.

Hungary do tend to concede corners on a regular basis. The Armenia games are something of an exception, putting those aside, 10 of their last 11 other internationals have seen Hungary's opponents beat this line.

Ireland have themselves won five and six corners in their last two internationals, and in a must-win situation like this, should be looking for similar here.