With Albania expected to sit deep to play for a draw, Federico Chiesa is certainly of interest in the shots markets. In what could be a cagey game, Chiesa has the ability to shoot from range and overcome the Albanian defence as well as a knack for finding space within the box.

Chiesa looks close to full match fitness now and he has hit 3 or more shots in 3 of his last 5 outings for club and country and averages 2.96 shots per game.

This extends out to four shots or more in all four of his last games in the Serie A for Juventus, ending his domestic season on a trigger-happy cliffhanger.

Despite only grabbing 141 minutes of football during the Euro qualifiers, Chiesa registered 10 shots with four hitting the target and netting twice – he is a true threat in this Italian side.

Albanian winger Jasir Asani, is adept at drawing in opposing defenders and incurring their wrath. He was fouled an average of 1.61 times per 90 minutes during his sides qualifying campaign.

Asani was fouled three times in Albania’s qualifier against Poland at home and five times in the reverse fixture, and was fouled on four occasions in a recent friendly with Sweden.

In what could be a scrappy game, any number of Italian players could double up on him before he can launch an attack on the right-hand side. Alessandro Bastoni is a likely candidate considering his four fouls against Turkey last time out and he committed 1.52 fouls per 90 during Euro qualifying.

Centre back Ardian Ismajli is going to have his work cut out on Sunday and is a persistent if not prolific fouler, with one or more fouls in all of the last six games where he has lasted the 90 minutes for Albania – all coming during the Euro qualifiers.

With an average of 1.00 fouls per 90 across his last eight games for Albania, totalling 598 minutes, Ismajli looks set to commit another foul in this close contest.

The likely opposing centre forward Gianluca Scamacca was fouled twice in his last outing for Italy and also averages 1.00 fouls drawn per 90 minutes for the Azzurri.

Mario Mitaj is being offered at a generous price to pick up a yellow card in this game, considering he has picked up three yellows in his last six full 90 minute outings.

Albania will need a unified effort to resist the Italian attack and although he will potentially be up against Davide Fratessi, he may also have the likes of Federico Chiesa and Gianluca Scamacca to deal with, as well as attacks from the flank from either Matteo Darmian or Giovanni Di Lorenzo.

Scouting reports recognise that his prowess in aerial duels and tackling ability are sides of his game that need some work and could potentially be exposed in this clash. The added spice of referees being directed to book any players who complain to the referee (with the exception of captains) adds an extra dimension to any yellow card bet as we may see an instant flurry of yellows for any players questioning a decision going against them.

Mitaj is still just 20 years old and this is perhaps the biggest game of his career so far. He has some of Europe’s leading clubs looking at him and this is the perfect shop window for him to display his talents. How he reacts to that kind of pressure will be fascinating to see.

Although his goalscoring exploits have been modest for the Italians in recent games, Giacomo Raspadori did score in his last full 90 minutes against North Macedonia in the Euro qualifiers and averages 0.44 goals per 90 minutes for the national side.

Raspadori is a persistent goal threat, averaging an impressive 3.82 shots on during Italy’s journey to the finals, and 1.18 on target.

Given that Jorginho has missed his last 4 penalties for the Azzurri, Raspadori is likely to be the next in line from the spot.

Italy average 6.5 corners per game across their past ten matches and have hit the over 4.5 line in 6 of those matches, including registering a massive ten corners against Bosnia-Herzegovina last time out.

With Chiesa and Fratessi on the flanks, they have the ability to draw the ball out wide and create corner opportunities.

Although Albania have only conceded over 4.5 corners in just 1 of their last ten games, they haven’t faced an opponent of Italy’s calibre and tactics, deeming the statistics misleading in that regard.