Wales have every reason to try and win handsomely here.

It is a very tight battle at the top of the group and Wales’ goal difference is suffering by dint of the fact that they have only played Liechtenstein once, so they really need to capitalise on this fixture.

With Craig Bellamy at the helm, Wales are unlikely to be a team that lets teams off the hook, especially when there are logical reasons for them not to.

Wales won the reverse fixture 3-0, which obviously covers the total number of goals required here. They are six goals behind North Macedonia in the table, whilst three points behind with a game in hand. This is a more important match than most realise, especially with North Macedonia to entertain in the second match of this international break.

If Wales can somehow overhaul this goal difference in Liechtenstein, then they would only require a draw in their match against North Macedonia on Monday to secure a top-two finish.

There is a touch of trepidation around tipping up this line; it is obviously quite a high number to attain, but there are a couple of reasons why I have gone with this at a near 50/50 price.

First of all, Wales won 12 corners in the reverse fixture, which is well clear of the line here. Liechtenstein have also conceded 10 corners to Belgium in this campaign, and despite conceding as early as the eighth minute against North Macedonia, they still conceded seven corners to them.

My thoughts here are similar to backing the -2 handicap price, that even if Wales score early they have an incentive to keep going, whereas often a team will let up when they get ahead or build a lead.

Wales won 15 corners in a friendly in Gibraltar; it helped that this was a 0-0 draw, and they won nine in Latvia in a recent qualification campaign as well.

The Leeds Central defender has become a transformed attacking weapon this season, scoring a Premier League goal and averaging 0.73 shots per 90 in the league this year.

We are expecting Wales to have a high number of corners and attacking free kicks here, see later writeup, and Rodon is likely to be a target for at least a few of those attacking balls into the box.

Rodon actually had two shots in the Liechtenstein home game, which is the basis of this bet. With a vaguely similar number of corners taken I am expecting Rodon to get something of his body on the ball and force it towards goal from one of those.

Moore is a regular committer of fouls in the Championship for Wrexham. He is averaging 1.35 fouls per 90 over his last 50 Championship matches.

That figure has been higher for Wales, 1.72 per 90 over the last couple of campaigns. This is likely a byproduct of international refereeing taking a dimmer view of Moore's physical game. It is easy to see him being judged to be overly physical with a Liechtenstein centre back and getting the referee blowing up on him.

He committed a foul in the reverse fixture, and despite Wales expecting to dominate here so having possession for long periods, they will still potentially require Moore's physical presence in the box.