This has landed in two of three Champions League games for each of Lille and Juventus.

For Lille, in the game it did not land against Real Madrid, their opponents created over two expected goals, so on another day would have scored at least once for the bet to land.

It’s a similar story for Juventus, whose 1-0 loss against VfB Stuttgart could easily have been more for the German side, with again over two expected goals generated.

How’s this for a stat? Lille last failed to score in a home game back in February 2023, which was 41 home games ago… we’d have to be very unfortunate for this tie to break that impressive sequence.

Juventus have shown in their 3-2 win away in Leipzig that they have no plans to shut up shop away from home in Europe, and with the attacking talent in their ranks, they should be able to find a way to score, particularly considering Lille have conceded over 1.5 xG in each Champions League game so far.

He has scored three goals already in Europe this season, two of which were penalties which he will be the taker of again here should the opportunity arise.

Juventus have conceded over 20 shots in each of their last two Champions League outings, while David is averaging over 2.5 per 90 in the competition so far.

Koopmeiners enjoyed success in Europe last year, winning the Europa League with Atalanta, before moving to Juventus in the summer.

In the 2023/24 Europa League campaign, Koopmeiners averaged 2.06 fouls per 90, and in Europe this season he is averaging 3 fouls per 90.

It’s hard not to be impressed when you see that Lille have already seen off Real and Atletico Madrid in this season’s Champions League.

They’re the underdogs here, and that is probably because the stats for those wins suggest that they were fortunate to come away with three points, conceding over 2 xG in both.

There is decent reason to be hesistant on a Lille result, but the same can be said of Juventus, who are arguably not as strong as the two aforementioned sides that they’ve already beaten.

They only managed one shot on target against Stuttgart in Europe last time out, while the German side took 22 shots at an xG of 2.52. 3.0 is a big price on the hosts.

The Canadian forward has scored ten goals in 13 appearances in all competitions so far this season, with three assists, and is in good form with four goals in his last three games.

He is also Lille’s penalty-taker, having already scored two in the Champions League this season. He averages around three shots per 90 in all competitions, so he should have a few opportunities to score here.

Vlahovic is Juve’s chief goal threat, having scored twice in the competition in three games.

The Serbian is averaging over 1.5 shots on target per 90 in Serie A and in Europe this season.

He will be looking to exploit a Lille backline which has conceded a goal per game in three Champions League outings.

This has landed in two of each sides’ three Champions League games.

As outlined in the Level 1 bet builder, it’s likely that both teams will score in this game, considering Lille’s incredible record for scoring on home soil, and Juventus possess such attacking talent that will certainly trouble an unsteady Lille backline.