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Liverpool v Crystal Palace
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Kick Off: Sunday 14th April at 14:00
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
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Liverpool host Crystal Palace in a must-win Premier League encounter on Sunday in the unusual position of being on the back foot.
The Reds were surprisingly humbled 3-0 at Anfield by Atalanta in midweek, with Jurgen Klopp writing the game off purely as a bad performance as he requested an immediate reaction from his team.
It was a rare wretched display after disappointment days earlier against Manchester United. Klopp’s side bossed much of the affair but were punished for a defensive lapse at the start of the second half and had to settle for a 2-2 draw that saw them knocked off the top of the standings.
The Reds now find themselves playing catchup on Arsenal approaching the weekend, and with Manchester City only a point behind, they can ill-afford any slip-ups before the end of the season.
Crystal Palace saw first-hand how devastating City can be as they suffered a 4-2 defeat against the three-time defending champions and there is no relent for Oliver Glasner as he continues to get used to life in the Premier League with this trip to Merseyside.
The Austrian hasn’t made the most convincing of starts at Selhurst Park, going winless in five games since a victory over Burnley in his first game, but there is a clear will to change the style of football that the club is playing and that will take time.
Here are the best tips for your Liverpool v Crystal Palace bet builder.
Liverpool v Crystal Palace Cheat Sheet
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🏆 Match stats: Reds response loading
Expect a response from Liverpool after the Atalanta defeat, which was just the second time all season that the Anfield club had failed to score a goal. At 1.17 to win the game outright, they are red-hot favourites to get the win, with a handicap bet on the Reds offering the best value here.
Palace actually have a decent record in recent times against Klopp’s side. After two draws last season, they were also competitive in a 2-1 loss in December. Jean-Philippe Mateta had them ahead only for Mohamed Salah and Harvey Elliott to turn the game in the last 15 minutes.
Under Glasner, Palace are conceding goals, though. They have leaked seven in their two games against ‘Big Six’ clubs since the change of management, which spells trouble against a wounded Liverpool.
Backing Liverpool -1 offers some insurance against Klopp’s side holding something back ahead of their trip to Italy on Thursday, which they surely will not have given up on.
Expect a whirlwind approach from the home side, who will be expected to dominate this game, which should lead to a big corner count. Only Manchester City have won more flag kicks than the Reds in the Premier League this season, with Liverpool averaging 7.39 per game.
With Crystal Palace conceding in at least eight in the three away matches Glasner has overseen, backing over 7.5 at 1.75 looks excellent value.
Predictions:
⚽ Liverpool (-1 handicap) @ 1.57
⚽ Over 7.5 Liverpool corners @ 1.75
🎯 Shooting stats: Darwin to make it a magnificent seven
Look out for Darwin Nunez in this game. It may be coming on for seven months since the Uruguay striker netted against a team in the top half of the Premier League, but he is deadly against the weaker teams. What’s more, he went off before the hour mark in midweek, suggesting that Jurgen Klopp was resting him for this match.
He has netted in his last six matches against teams in the lower half of the standings, although the last time he drew a blank was against Crystal Palace on December 9th. Odds of evens for him to score anytime are very attractive.
Liverpool managed only two shots on target the last time these sides met. Only twice this season have they been under that figure. Nunez, Luis Diaz and Mohamed Salah all hit multiple efforts but only the Egyptian hit the target.
This is out of character for the Reds, who typically have a high shot count. All three average over 3.4 shots per 90, with Nunez flirting with 5.
In this encounter, look for Dominik Szoboszlai to make a telling impact. He was rested from the start in midweek and has shots on target in seven of his last 10 Liverpool appearances, whether starting or off the bench. He is outstanding value at 1.67 to have a shot on target.
Eberechi Eze offers the best value for Crystal Palace. He leads them on 1.27 shots on target per 90 yet is priced at evens to achieve that here. He has failed to find the target in his last two but had been on a run of eight successive games working the keeper before then, mustering multiple efforts in five of those.
Fancy a left-field shot bet? Joachim Andersen is evens to have a shot. He is averaging over 0.6 shots per 90 and mustered a shot last time these teams met.
🔄️⚽ Darwin Nunez to score anytime @ 2.0
🔄️⚽ Dominik Szoboszlai to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.67
🔄️⚽ Eberechi Eze to have 1+ shots on target @ 2.0
🛑 Fouls stats: A strong midfield battle awaits
Crystal Palace picked up an astonishing seven bookings on top of Jordan Ayew’s red card the last time these clubs met but did this by committing just 17 fouls – which was the same number as their opponents that day, who only saw two cautions.
Joel Ward committed three of those. The full back gives away almost exactly 1 foul per game on average but locking down Liverpool’s left side is a step up that he struggled with last time. The odds on him repeating his hat-trick of fouls at 6.5 appeals, but there is more scope for him to commit at least two at 2.75.
Combative midfielder Will Hughes is typically Palace’s main criminal, giving away 1.89 free kicks per game, and a price of 1.8 reflects his tendency to give away fouls.
Curiously, Palace have picked up fewer cards in the Premier League than their hosts this season, with the London club on 56 compared to the Reds’ 59. Odds on Liverpool seeing more in this game at 3.75 are worth considering given that there is also more pressure on them than their opponents.
Liverpool’s likely offenders are determined by the rotation that Klopp decides on for this game, with Luis Diaz and Diogo Jota liable to vie for a starting spot alongside Nunez and Mohamed Salah. Both are prone to giving away free kicks, with the Colombian, at 1.17, likelier to get more minutes. He gave away two free kicks against Palace earlier this season, which he is 1.91 to replicate.
Meanwhile, given the volume of free kicks the visitors’ centre-forwards collectively give away, Ibrahima Konate to be fouled once at 1.44 is worth a look, while for the daring, Virgil van Dijk to be fouled once at 3.1 could give your bet builder a big odds lift.
Predictions:
⚽ Joel Ward to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.75
⚽ Liverpool to receive the most cards @ 3.75
⚽ Luis Diaz to commit 2+ fouls @ 1.80
🔄️⚽ Ibrahima Konate to be fouled 1+ times @ 1.44
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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