Barcelona v Mallorca

Barcelona’s pursuit of an unprecedented quadruple, having already secured the Supercopa de España, continues with a pivotal home clash against Mallorca. With the Copa del Rey final on the horizon, Flick’s men will be focused on maintaining momentum and tightening their grip on the league title race.

Mallorca, meanwhile, arrive with European ambitions of their own — eyeing first continental qualification since the 2003/04 campaign. But they face a formidable task in Catalonia.

⭐ Barcelona v Mallorca Best Bets

➡️ Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 with bet365

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This is a selection backed heavily by numbers. Barcelona’s attacking dominance at the Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys is relentless. Across all competitions, they’ve scored 75 goals at home this season, averaging an impressive 3.13 per game. Unsurprisingly, the over 2.5 goals line has landed in 19 of their 24 home fixtures (79%).

Mallorca are unlikely to halt that trend. While not in the same attacking class as Barça, their defensive vulnerabilities often open the door to high-scoring matches. They’ve shipped 25 goals in 17 away games this season. Although the over 2.5 line has landed in just seven of those games, that stat alone doesn’t tell the full story, especially when factoring in the calibre of the opposition they now face.

Barcelona’s recent home form supports this angle further. They’ve netted 3+ in seven of their last eight home matches (W6, D2), suggesting that they could easily clear this line themselves. Yet, with only three clean sheets kept in that stretch, suggests Mallorca could contribute to the scoreline as well. The reverse fixture? A 5-1 win for the Catalans.

Given Barcelona’s firepower and Mallorca’s defensive fragility, another high-scoring encounter looks very likely.

👕 Barcelona v Mallorca Predicted XI

🔍 Barcelona v Mallorca Players to Watch

🔵 Fermin Lopez

Despite often being used in a rotational midfield role, López consistently finds himself in shooting positions. Averaging 2.7 shots per 90, he’s hit this line in seven of his last ten starts. Even with limited minutes, he has the engine and eye for goal to make at least two attempts.

➡️ Back Fermin Lopez to have 2+ Shots @ 1.20 with bet365

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🔴 Jose Copete

Copete has been carded seven times this season at a rate of 0.44 per 90 — almost one every two games. He’s likely to feature on the left side of Mallorca’s back five, directly tasked with supporting his LB in containing Lamine Yamal, who draws 1.98 fouls per 90. That alone makes this a prime card angle.

➡️ Back Jose Copete to be Shown a Card @ 2.75 with bet365

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📂 Barcelona v Mallorca Cheat Sheet

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💻 Barcelona v Mallorca Form and Tactics

Barcelona continued their charge toward the La Liga title with a thrilling 4-3 comeback win over Celta Vigo on the weekend, extending their unbeaten league run to 13 matches (W11, D2). With a Copa del Rey final and Champions League semi-final on the horizon, Hansi Flick’s men have hit form at the right time. They remain dominant at Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys, netting 3+ goals in seven of their last eight home games (W6, D2), though only three clean sheets in that span hint at some defensive openness.

Tactically, Barça are an attacking juggernaut—top of the league in goals per game (2.8), possession (68.3%), xG, shots on target (6.4), and virtually every other forward metric, including accurate passes, big chances created, corners, and touches in the opposition box. Their dominance with the ball also reflects defensively—they rank 5th for both xGA and goals conceded but sit bottom for tackles and interceptions, as their high-possession style would likely dictate. Their discipline is also superb, with the second-fewest fouls and yellow cards. Expect control, high tempo, and relentless attack wave after wave.

Mallorca arrive on the mainland with hopes of snatching a European spot, following a 0-0 draw with Leganés that saw them record consecutive clean sheets for only the third time this season. They're enjoying one of their strongest campaigns since finishing 5th in 2009/10, but history is against them—Mallorca are winless in their last 17 meetings with Barcelona (L15, D2), losing each of their last six visits to the Catalans.

A complete contrast to their hosts, Mallorca rank fifth-worst for both goals scored (1.0) and shots on target. They surrender possession, rely on long balls (2nd most in La Liga), and target wide deliveries into the box (1st for crosses). Their defensive shape is proactive, ranking 4th in interceptions, which will be key to breaking Barcelona’s rhythm. Yet, discipline is a concern as no team has received more red cards (6). If they’re to get anything here, it’ll be through defensive disruption and taking rare chances clinically.

🏁 Barcelona v Mallorca Ref Watch

• Referee: Miguel Ortiz

• Stats are on a per 90 basis and are taken from 2024/25 La Liga games (16 total).

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.