In this article…
Man United v Luton
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Kick Off: Saturday 11th November at 15:00
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Competition: Premier League
Manchester United are in yet another extremely gloomy spell. A last-minute winner against Fulham at Craven Cottage last week will have given some United fans hope but this has been shut down once again as they were beaten 4-3 by Copenhagen in midweek.
The Manchester club went 2-0 up in the Danish capital but struggled to ‘play like they meant it’ in the final third of the game. Despite being in control of the game, and even retaking the lead with ten men, they left with another UCL defeat on their record.
Luton on the other hand are in a quite a positive moment. They were excellent against Liverpool and were very close to coming away with a famous victory. In any case managing a draw against the 6-time Champions League winners is an achievement for any club of any size, let alone a club the size of Luton.
They’ll be looking to give another one of England’s biggest clubs a challenge this weekend and United are definitely there for the taking.
This match has plenty of potential for a bet builder. We’ve done a deep dive into the stats behind the game, breaking them down into digestible research. If you like some of the picks, why not add them to your own Man United v Luton Bet Builder?
Man United v Luton Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
The research in this piece has been pulled together using the Man United v Luton Cheat Sheet. There’s a wide range of stats to choose from, be it player passes or team corners. There are also referee statistics in the middle of the sheet too.
You’re encouraged to use the Cheat Sheet in any way that you want. However, a brief example could be to match up the highest fouls committed by Man United to the highest fouls drawn for Luton.
You can find Man United v Luton stats on my Bet Builder stats tool, along with official lineups one hour before kick-off.
Now, for my breakdown and preview with recommended bets…
🟨 Card Stats: Red Devils have a mean streak
You can say a lot about United this season, but one thing they have that previous failing teams haven’t is passion. It just seems to come out at the wrong times. United are committing more fouls and accumulating many cards this season; mainly for silly things.
In their last two home games against Newcastle and Man City, they were shown a combined 8 yellow cards. They seem to lose discipline in losing positions and given how bad they’ve been, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see them in a losing position.
Predictions:
🟨 Over 3.5 match cards @ 1.67
🟨 Over 1.5 Man United cards @ 1.60
🎯 Shooting stats: Look to the strikers
United have had a few bright sparks this season and one of them has been their new striker Rasmus Hojlund. You can tell just by watching him that he’s gonna be an asset to United for many years. He is yet to register a goal in the Premier League but he is the joint top scorer in the UCL with five in four games.
He bagged a brace against his former club Copenhagen and was close to a hat trick. He’ll be desperate to get off the mark in the PL finally and there aren’t many games more appealing than this for him.
Luton have conceded the fourth most goals this season in the Premier League, they concede 2.1 goals per game on average.
Going forward, the way Luton approach this game will be to hurt United on counterattacks and from set-pieces. Enter Carlton Morris. He’s an aerial threat, brilliant on the counter, and leads the ranks for Luton’s shots and shots on target.
He’s had 25 shots this season in the league, five of which have been on target and three have hit the back of the net. He’s responsible for a third of Luton’s goals this season. He would be our first-choice pick, but if you’re looking for something with longer odds, then you might be interested in Tom Lockyer.
The Hatters captain has scored once this season and had five shots, as we’ve mentioned Luton will be looking at set-pieces to hurt United so their captain could well be a good pick. United have struggled to defend set-pieces at times this season, so Lockyer to get a shot or a shot on target are certainly worth a look.
Predictions:
🎯 Rasmus Hojlund to have 2+ shots on target @ 1.80
⚽ Rasmus Hojlund to score anytime @ 2.20
🎯 Carlton Morris to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.83
🚀 Tom Lockyer to have 1+ shots @ 1.83
🎯 Tom Lockyer to have 1+ shots on target @ 4.50
🛑 Fouls stats: Midfield battle is key for both sides
The majority of Man Utd’s fouls come from midfielders with Amrabat, Fernandes and McTominay all ranking high for fouls. This correlates perfectly with where Luton are fouled most often.
It’s often Luton midfielders that are fouled, including former Man Utd man Tahith Chong who has been fouled 18 times this season for an average of 3.27 times per 90. He operates from the midfield and wide midfield areas. He is the perfect bait for a United midfielder or full-back.
They already know the threat he possesses and he could be rewarded with a start on his return to Old Trafford after scoring against Liverpool last week.
Whether he plays out wide or through the middle, there are United players who are bound to foul him.
Luton’s main culprit for fouls this season has been Marvelous Nakamba who has committed 21 for an average of 1.94 per 90. He’ll be up against Bruno Fernandes who has drawn 11 this season. Only Antony and Garnacho have drawn more.
Another player to look at is Kaboré, he’ll be up against either Rashford or Garnacho. Both are very direct forwards with Garnacho in particular known for drawing fouls. United set up at Copenhagen with Rashford on the right and Garnacho on the left. They started the game very well so we could expect to see that again.
Predictions:
🛑 Diogo Dalot to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.40
🟨 Sofyan Amrabat to be shown a card @ 3.40
🛑 Marvelous Nakamba to commit 2+ fouls @ 1.83
🛑 Issa Kaboré to commit 2+ fouls @ 1.83
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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