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Man United v Tottenham
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Kick Off: Saturday 28th September at 16:30
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
Both Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur find themselves on seven points from five games in the Premier League this season, currently only separated by goal difference. Despite results not being flawless for Erik ten Hag, the improvement of his side is apparent as Man Utd look a lot more compact defensively compared to last season.
Man United fell to a disappointing draw at home to FC Twente in the Europa League and Ten Hag’s side will certainly see this as an opportunity to right that wrong in the eyes of the fans.
Tottenham were impressive on Thursday night, comfortably taking care of Qarabag despite going down to ten men very early on.
Man United v Tottenham Best Bets
Man Utd have massively underperformed their expected goals this term, with captain Bruno Fernandes the primary suspect.
The Portuguese maestro has accumulated 1.9 xG from 17 shots, but is yet to score. Importantly, he is playing in a more attacking role this campaign, which has led to an increase in total shots. Given that he will be on penalties and set-pieces, Bruno should be looking to make up lost ground, and register a goal involvement here. Bruno to Score or Assist at 2.10 looks an inflated price.
Spurs continue to look shaky defensively – in their most recent away trip to Coventry, they conceded 15 shots and seven corners in the EFL Cup. Their high-pressing playstyle can often leave defenders exposed, meaning Spurs conceded the sixth-most corners in the league under Postecoglou last season. With that in mind, Man Utd Over 5.5 Corners at 1.80 looks a solid play.
📂 Man United v Tottenham Cheat Sheet
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📊 Man United Form and Stats
Man Utd drew to FC Twente midweek in the Europa League – after taking an early lead through Christian Eriksen, they were pegged back in the 68th minute. Ten Hag rested some regular starters, namely Matthijs de Ligt, Kobbie Mainoo and Alejandro Garnacho – all of whom are expected to reclaim a spot in the eleven against Spurs.
Prior to that, Man Utd were also held to a goalless stalemate by Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park, as they accrued 1.7 xG from 15 shots to no avail. Lisandro Martinez was fortunate to remain on the field, following an ugly two-footed stamp which was luckily evaded by Daichi Kamada.
Regardless, it is worth noting that Man Utd were dominant in that game, seeing 67% possession. As it stands, Man Utd have created 9.5 xG resulting in just five goals, which suggests a regression is due.
📊 Tottenham Form and Stats
Tottenham managed a 3-0 victory against Qarabag on Thursday night in the Europa League, but the scoreline is certainly misleading. Radu Dragusin was sent off after just seven minutes forcing Spurs to play with ten men for the majority of the game. Qarabag were wasteful going forward, unable to score from 2.2 xG (which includes a missed penalty).
Prior to that, Tottenham cruised past Brentford in front of a home support, courtesy of goals from Dominic Solanke, Brennan Johnson and James Maddison. Heung-min Son provided the assist for two goals. Tottenham looked devastatingly fluid in attack, registering 23 shots and seven big chances, amounting to 3.52 xG. After taking the lead in the first minute, Brentford were restricted to just six shots, and 0.8 xG.
But it hasn’t been smooth sailing for Ange Postecoglou so far, as that win came after back-to-back losses against Arsenal and Newcastle.
⚔️ Man United v Tottenham Head-to-Head
It was a four-goal thriller split two goals apiece the last time Man Utd hosted Spurs at Old Trafford. Rasmus Hojlund opened the scoring after just three minutes, before Richarlison equalised just 15 minutes later. Neither are expected to start in this game, as Joshua Zirkzee has claimed the starting position up top for the Red Devils, while Richarlison is ruled out with injury.
Man Utd re-established their lead before half-time through Marcus Rashford, before Rodrigo Bentancur equalised immediately after the break. Tottenham have failed to beat Man Utd at Old Trafford in each of their last three attempts, conceding at least two goals in all of those games.
Spurs fared much better on home turf, as they cruised to a 2-0 victory early in the season. Pape Matar Sarr opened the scoring, before Lisandro Martinez turned the ball into his own net. That game was end-to-end, seeing 39 shots in total, amounting to 3.81 xG.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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