Tottenham v Man United

Tottenham and Manchester United face off in the Europa League final with the winner guaranteed a place in the Champions League next season, adding an extra layer of pressure to the showpiece event. Both sides have had awful league campaigns and will be hoping that this competition will add a bit of gloss to what has been a forgettable season on the whole. The loser will not be playing in any European competition next season.

Manchester United beat Athletic Club 7-1 across two legs in the semi-final while Tottenham ran out 5-1 winners over Bodo/Glimt. Tottenham will feel as though they have the edge over United, as they have won all three meetings between the sides this term.

⭐ Tottenham v Man United Best Bet

In terms of their actual quality, there isn’t much to split the teams. Manchester United have lost 18 games in the Premier League this season, while Tottenham have lost 21 - only Wolves and the three promoted sides have lost more games than the Europa League finalists this season. One of the three head-to-head meetings between the sides saw BTTS with Tottenham scoring in all three games. Manchester United have posted an xG of 1.0 or higher in two of the three meetings with the exception of the league meeting at Old Trafford, which saw Bruno Fernandes sent off in the first half. 

Neither backline can be trusted, as illustrated by the number of games both sides have lost in the league this season. Recent form has been patchy for both, as is to be expected with rotation and the managers looking to prioritise this Europa League final. Tottenham have seen BTTS in eight of their 14 Europa League matches this season, Manchester United have seen BTTS in 11 of their 14 games in Europe - this record includes seeing goals at both ends in each of their knockout games, aside from their 3-0 win over Athletic Club in which the Spanish side were reduced to ten men after 35 minutes.

👕 Tottenham v Man United Predicted XI

🔍 Tottenham v Man United Players to Watch

⚪ Pedro Porro

Pedro Porro has been fouled in each of the last two head-to-head meetings between these sides. He’s likely to be in constant battles here down his side of the pitch, with United opting to play with wing backs, meaning that Porro could have as many as three direct opponents here, depending on how far he pushes up the pitch. His main opponent here will be Patrick Dorgu who has committed a foul in five of his six Europa League appearances this season. Porro has won nine fouls across his 12 appearances in the Europa League this campaign (0.80 per 90) and is also averaging 1.11 fouls won per 90 in the Premier League this term.

🔴 Bruno Fernandes

Bruno Fernandes has clearly been Manchester United’s best player this season and at times is the only player who looks capable of playing and performing at this level consistently. He’s registered 11 goal contributions across his 13 appearances in the Europa League for Manchester United this season (seven goals, four assists) - more than any other player in the squad. Only Rayan Cherki (12) has provided more goal contributions in the Europa League than Bruno Fernandes this season. Fernandes has also registered 17 goal contributions in the Premier League this term, showing his effectiveness across various competitions.

📂 Tottenham v Man United Cheat Sheet

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💻 Tottenham v Man United Form and Tactics

There is so much riding on this game that the early stages are likely to be quite cagey. It’s definitely worth noting that Tottenham have beaten Manchester United on three occasions already this season, so they will have the psychological edge heading into this final, but they may feel the pressure considering how long it has been since Tottenham last lifted a trophy (2008, League Cup). 

The midfield could be key for Manchester United here. Tottenham are without Lucas Bergvall, James Maddison and, most importantly, Dejan Kulusevski for this final. Kulusevski has been Tottenham’s best player this season, and missing him for the final is a massive blow, especially because he’s already scored twice against the Red Devils this campaign.

Pape Sarr, Yves Bissouma and Rodrigo Bentancur will likely be the three that line up in the middle of the park for Tottenham, but Archie Gray could also be considered. This causes a headache for Ange Postecoglou as there isn’t much creativity left in the middle of the park, something United were unable to really match in the head-to-head meetings between the sides this season. 

Patrick Dorgu’s role down the left hand side could also prove pivotal. United have been lining up in a 3-4-3 shape since Ruben Amorim joined, and Dorgu has shown plenty of promise as the left wing back. His opposite full back in Pedro Porro is also quite forward-thinking, so space should open up on that side for both teams to exploit. 

Tottenham haven’t really had an identifiable pattern of play this season due to the injuries that Postecoglou has had to contend with. Tottenham showed rare defensive resolve in the second legs of their quarter-final and semi-final victories over Frankfurt and Bodo/Glimt, winning both games to nil. Don’t be surprised if we see a more controlled Tottenham in Bilbao as opposed to the usual intense strategy we see them adopt.

🏁 Tottenham v Man United Ref Watch

• Referee: Felix Zwayer

  Fouls	Yellow Cards	Red Cards
  19.16	4.62	0.19

  • Stats are on a per 90 basis and are taken from 2024/25 games across all competitions (32 total)

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.