Previously highlighted as a Gem Bet last Sunday, Omar Marmoush remains excellent value to commit at least one foul in the Manchester Derby this Sunday. Still highly priced at 1.80 with Paddy Power and Betfair, this is significantly higher than the 1.3 available elsewhere, with implied probabilities of 55.6% v 77%, reinforcing the value. 

Marmoush averages 1.26 fouls per 90 this season. 

He has committed at least one foul in his last eight appearances, which excludes a six-minute cameo against Real Madrid, yet includes two fouls as a substitute.

This will be Marmoush’s first Manchester Derby, and in the absence of Haaland, he is set to lead the line.

Despite the likelihood of playing a higher role this weekend, Marmoush still committed two fouls against Leicester in midweek as a striker, proving he remains actively engaged in physical duels. With market disparity and the run he's been on, Marmoush committing at least one foul remains a standout selection at 1.80.

We feel the market is still catching up to the fouling tendencies of the January signing.