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Manchester City v Arsenal
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Kick Off: Sunday 31st March at 16:30
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
This Easter weekend boasts a mouth-watering game in the Premier League title race as Manchester City host Arsenal. Here on Andy’s Bet Club we provide a selection of Premier League bet builder predictions, such as this one, alongside Premier League acca tips. And it’s not just Premier League football either, with a wide range of betting tips & predictions on-site from across the globe and in a range of sports, so you can bet smarter no matter what you’re into.
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With both teams eager to steal three points and trophy ambitions on the line at the Etihad Stadium, we expect there to be fireworks.
A victory for City would put them back in pole position to successfully defend their crown, however, a win for Arsenal would open up a hefty four-point gap between themselves and the champions as the Gunners chase down a first title in 20 years.
The clash pits the master versus the apprentice as Pep Guardiola and Mikel Arteta engage in their latest tactical tug-of-war, and with Liverpool watching on with interest and just ten rounds of fixtures left to contest, Sunday should be a day of real significance.
Ahead of Sunday’s blockbuster showdown, we’ve put together a detailed list of Manchester City v Arsenal stats that should allow you to tackle the bet builder markets with more oomph.
Man City v Arsenal Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
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🏆 Match stats: Can Arsenal break City hoodoo?
Manchester City usually click into trophy-winning gear after the March international break and this time last year, Pep Guardiola’s juggernaut broke into an unstoppable sprint, winning nine Premier League fixtures on the bounce en route to a historic treble.
The Cityzens humbled Arsenal 4-1 at the Emirates Stadium during that relentless late-season surge and though the Gunners have made strides of their own this term, they will fear a repeat result in Manchester almost a year later.
Guardiola’s defending champions are unbeaten in 22 games in all competitions since early December, while they are yet to taste defeat in the Premier League on home soil this season. In addition, Arsenal have lost on each of their last eight visits to play City in Manchester and that dismal record means we’re opposing them again here.
Arsenal’s tussle with City on Sunday is the ultimate test of their title-winning aspirations, but just like last year, we expect them to come up short.
The Gunners did notch a consolation goal in their 4-1 reverse at City last April and with the Cityzens concerned about the fitness of Kyle Walker, John Stones and Ederson ahead of Sunday’s game, Arsenal could have opportunities to impact the scoresheet again.
It’s also worth noting that both teams have scored in eight of City’s last 11 league assignments on home soil, and backing BTTS to land for the fourth time in five Premier League encounters between the Mancunians and Arsenal looks like a logical inclusion.
Predictions:
⚽ Man City to win @ 1.91
⚽ Both teams to score @ 1.57
🎯 Shooting stats: De Bruyne, Foden and Rice worth tracking
Kevin De Bruyne has been the scourge of Arsenal in recent seasons and the brilliant Belgian lodged two goals and an assist inside an hour of last year’s corresponding title tussle between the teams.
The 32-year-old has had his issues with fitness this term, however, De Bruyne is expected to be available on Sunday and the schemer – who tends to save some of his best work for City’s encounters with Arsenal – has been providing a goal contribution every 82 minutes in the Premier League in 2023/24.
De Bruyne is available at a generous price to either score or assist against Arsenal again this weekend, while he also looks like a superb candidate in the 1+ shot stakes alongside team-mate Phil Foden.
Foden has arguably been City’s best player this season and he proved with his brace in the Manchester derby that he can be a man for the big occasion. The 23-year-old lodged at least one shot on target in seven of his last nine appearances for the Cityzens and Foden can test Arsenal’s David Raya’s reflexes on Sunday.
For Arsenal, we look a little deeper towards the increasingly influential presence of Declan Rice. While the England star’s ball recovery skills and ability to recycle possession smartly are his standout traits, the 25-year-old also carries a threat in the final third.
Rice has registered at least one shot in 14 of his last 16 appearances in all competitions for Arsenal and his long-distance shooting and aggression from set pieces could trouble City. Back Rice to have at least one attempt at the Etihad Stadium.
Predictions:
⚽ Kevin De Bruyne to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.91
⚽ Kevin De Bruyne to score or assist @ 2.20
⚽ Phil Foden to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.62
⚽ Declan Rice to have to have 1+ shots @ 1.50
🚩 Corners stats: Look to City instead of the totals market
Unsurprisingly, there is a strong correlation between high possession stats and high corner tallies, and as the Premier League’s two most ball-hungry outfits, Man City and Arsenal rank in positions one and two in the division for average corners won per game (City 7.82, Arsenal 7.64).
But what’s likely to happen when they meet? Well, the four previous encounters between the sides over the last couple of seasons have produced a sort of ‘cancelling out’ effect, with those meetings bringing an average of just 7.0 corners per 90 minutes.
That trend suggests that it might be better to avoid the total corners market on Sunday with value thin on the ground, however, backing City to win the most corners ahead of their visitors could be an angle to weigh up.
City have lost the corner battle only once in 14 Premier League home fixtures this season and the aggregate count from their last ten matches on home soil in the division was 102-25 in their favour.
Pep Guardiola will expect his team to set the tempo on Sunday in what feels like a must-win game for City, so back the hosts to dominate the corner count again.
Predictions:
⚽ Man City corner match bet @ 1.53
🛑 Cards and Fouls stats: Tackles could fly in during Sunday’s title tussle
The last three meetings between Manchester City and Arsenal produced five, five and four yellow cards respectively across two Premier League encounters and a Community Shield showdown.
Both teams will be eager to make every tackle count at the Etihad Stadium and with tension likely to spill over – and card-happy referee Anthony Taylor keeping tabs – we recommend backing over 4.0 cards to be brandished again.
In the fouls market, Nathan Ake could be a smart inclusion to sin at least once, especially if he is chosen to start at left back. That position would place him in a head-to-head battle with Arsenal’s most-fouled player, Bukayo Saka, and Ake could be the latest marker to take a swipe at the England starlet.
For Arsenal, Martin Odegaard and Jakub Kiwior are both generously priced in the 1+ fouls committed bracket. Captain Odegaard will be keen to lead by example on Sunday, so expect extra combative zeal from the Norwegian who has committed fouls in 12 of his last 16 Premier League appearances.
Versatile Polish international Jakub Kiwior has been playing a lot at left back, though he hasn’t always looked comfortable there and he committed six fouls in his last five league outings combined from that position.
If selected, Kiwor will face his stiffest challenge of the season against City’s world-class forward line on Sunday and the 24-year-old could be pressured into committing at least one foul again.
Predictions:
⚽ Over 4.5 total cards @ 1.50
⚽ Nathan Ake to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.33
⚽ Martin Odegaard to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.50
⚽ Jakub Kiwior to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.57
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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