"Germany are yet to lose in the Nations League this term, they’ve remained unbeaten across their last eight matches ever since their defeat to Spain in the European Championship. Germany have faced off against Italy, Netherlands and Hungary in this period which shows that Julian Nagelsmann is assembling a side that can go toe to toe with the other top sides around the world.

Portugal have only lost one game in the Nations League this season but face a slightly wider issue of being unable to perform in the moments that matter with Portugal repeatedly falling short on the international stage ever since their 2016 European Championship victory in France. 

Germany have the advantage of being the home side which should have an impact on an already nervous Portuguese side in these tense moments. Portugal’s 1-0 loss to Denmark in the first leg of their quarter final stands out as a performance which would have been exposed by an efficient Germany side - Portugal conceded an xG of 4.76 across the two legs against Denmark in the quarter final."

"Germany have seen BTTS in each of their last three matches in the Nations League, including both legs of their quarter final against Italy which produced two entertaining games that finished 3-3 and 2-1 to Germany. 

Portugal can’t rely on their defensive stability as it hasn’t really been existent in the Nations League when they have been pressured. They conceded three goals and an xG of 4.76 across their quarter final matches against Denmark which indicates that this Portuguese backline can be exposed. However, Roberto Martinez’s side have enough firepower to combat this defensive instability.

Portugal have scored 18 goals in the Nations League this campaign (2.3 per game) while Germany have notched 23 goals in the competition (2.9 per game) which is more than any other side in the tournament."