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Dallas Cowboys @ New York Jets 5/1 Bet Builder Tips & Player Prop Bets

Dallas Cowboys @ New York Jets 5/1 Bet Builder Tips & Player Prop Bets

Thursday 2 October, 20251 min read
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Sam Farley

Sports journalist and NFL expert. Over a decade of experience in the industry, working for media outlets on both sides of the pond. Analysing games, with a real focus on player prop bets, and is well-known online for his Anytime Touchdown selections.

This Sunday we have the Cowboys facing the Jets at MetLife. These two teams have just 1 win between them this season and have some serious defensive flaws, which is something I’ve focused on for this Bet Builder.

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Dallas Cowboys @ New York Jets Bet Builder
  • Dallas Cowboys @ New York Jets
  • NFL
  • 18:00
4 Selections @ 5.51

Justin Fields Over 186.5 Passing Yards @ 1.83

It’s been four years since the Chicago Bears took Justin Fields 11th overall and the former Ohio State man is now on his third team. We know exactly what he is at this point, an athlete, a great runner and a poor to mediocre passer. I’m usually confident when it comes to trusting his ability with his legs but this week I want to make an exception and back his arm.

The Cowboys’ defense has been dreadful against the pass, as you’d expect after trading away Micah Parsons, their best pass rusher. No team has given up more yards through the air that them, averaging a staggering 297.3 per game, over 30 yards more than the next closest team.

Fields isn’t a great passer but he’s not been dreadful this season and in three games he’s thrown over 200 yards on two occasions, with injury seeing him leave the other game early. His QB rating in both of his completed games has been over 100 and given the weaknesses in this Dallas D, he should cover his passing yards line here.

Garrett Wilson 5+ Receptions @ 1.36

Fields teammate Garrett Wilson is the most talented player on the Jets’ offense and another Ohio State alumni. I’m taking a lower, alternate line on his receptions this week, needing him to catch five or more passes.

Through four games we’ve seen Wilson catch 27 balls, with five or more catches in three of four games. The only exception being when he caught four against the Bills, the game in which he played with two different quarterbacks, thanks to the injury to Fields.

What’s most important is the volume he’s getting and he’s had a minimum of eight targets in every single game this season. He’s got real talent, averaging 6.75 receptions and 77.5 yards per game. The Cowboys are expected to win the game if we’re going by the bookies odds, which should mean plenty of Fields passing, and he’s likely to throw to his favourite target.

Garrett Wilson Anytime Touchdown @ 2.30

I want to double down on the 25-year old wide receiver and back him to find the endzone. He’s really developed as a touchdown threat over the past couple of years. He had seven touchdowns in his first two years in the league combined, then matched that total last season. Now through four games he’s well on course to break that again, having already racked up three touchdowns and it’s only just turned to October.

What’s really impressive is that just one of his three touchdowns came in the red zone, making Wilson a legitimate danger to defenses anywhere on the field. It should also be said that he’s also tied for the most targets inside the 20 on his Jets team. With the Cowboys giving up a mind blowing nine touchdowns to wide receivers, in just four games, I have to back a Jets pass catcher to score and that player has to be Garrett Wilson.

Javonte Williams 50+ Rushing Yards @ 1.30

The general feeling heading into this season was that the Cowboys backfield was a mess and that it would operate as a running-back-by-committee situation with Javonte Williams, Miles Sanders, Jaydon Blue and Phil Mafah all having a chance to run the ball. Injuries to the rookies Blue and Mafah haven’t helped but regardless of that, this is all-Williams’ backfield now, with the former Bronco taking 63 of 96 carries.

It's a real comeback season for a player who looks like he’d never get back to his best after a serious of injuries but he’s performing well, even behind a poor offensive line. He’s accumulated 312 rushing yards this season, an average of 78 per game and has averaged a touchdown per game.

The Jets rank eight worst in terms of rushing yards allowed per game, giving up 130.3 yards on the ground. With Williams taking the bulk of the carries, he’s had double digit carries in every game so far, and has averaged five yards per carry, I’m very confident in him hitting his alternate rushing line of 50+ yards.

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