Newcastle v Brighton

Eddie Howe’s side have already reached the final of 1 domestic cup competition and will be eager to replicate that run in the FA Cup. Newcastle enter this game following a tough run of fixtures against Liverpool, Nottingham Forest and Manchester City with star striker Alexander Isak a doubt for this clash with the Seagulls.

They face a Brighton team that have recovered well following a shock 7-0 loss to Nottingham Forest a few weeks ago. Fabian Hurzeler’s side have won each of their last 4 games across all competitions which includes a double over Chelsea and a well fought win against high-flying Bournemouth.

⭐ Newcastle v Brighton Best Bet

Anthony Gordon’s role will be crucial here in the absence of Alexander Isak, who is still a fitness doubt for this game having missed Newcastle’s 2-0 defeat to Liverpool last time out, prompting some questions for Eddie Howe as to whether Newcastle rely too much on the Swedish striker.

Gordon has played upfront for Newcastle before in the absence of Isak but this may not be the case here with Callum Wilson available for selection. Gordon had 4 shots in the Premier League meeting between these sides at St James’ Park, playing off the left, Newcastle had 21 shots in total, suggesting that they were effectively able to create opportunities against Brighton despite losing the game.

Gordon is averaging 2.29 shots per 90 in the Premier League this season but given his success in the league meeting between these teams, we should see that average rise here - particularly in the absence of Isak who usually has the majority of efforts at goal for Newcastle. Super Sub could also come into play here with Newcastle having options like Harvey Barnes to come off the bench should Gordon fall a shot or 2 short.

🟢 Newcastle v Brighton #WhatOddsPaddy Tip

Newcastle used to rely heavily on set piece goals but Eddie Howe’s side have drifted away from that approach slightly and this shows in their corner numbers. Newcastle are averaging 5.85 corners per game in the Premier League at St James’ Park but are actually losing the corner battle more often than not at home, conceding 6.0 corners per game. 

Brighton are averaging 4.71 corners per game on their travels in the Premier League this season and their positive performances away from the Amex Stadium should give them a platform to outperform that average here. They’re also conceding 5.71 corners per game in away games this campaign.

The league meeting between these sides produced 13 corners with Newcastle covering this line and Brighton falling a few short, but at 19.0 we're on at a good price.

👕 Newcastle v Brighton Predicted XI

🔍 Newcastle v Brighton Players to Watch

🔵 Danny Welbeck

Welbeck scored and had 2 shots on target in the Premier League meeting between these sides. Even at the age of 34, Welbeck is crucial to this Brighton team as evidenced by his 11 goal contributions this season (7 goals, 4 assists). He achieved this total whilst averaging 0.92 shots on target per 90 across his 20 Premier League appearances this season. He enters this game with momentum having scored the winner in Brighton’s recent win over Bournemouth.

⚫ Bruno Guimaraes

Eddie Howe has tactically tweaked a few elements of his team as the season has gone on, which has resulted in his side improving. 1 of these changes is to the role of Guimaraes and Sandro Tonali in midfield, previously Guimaraes was often playing as the holding midfielder but Howe has switched that to see Guimaraes given more licence to get up the pitch. This is shown in his shot numbers, he’s averaging 1.15 shots per 90 in the Premier League this season with 46% of his efforts coming from outside the box. Guimaraes had 2 shots from outside the box in the Premier League meeting between the sides.

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📂 Newcastle v Brighton Cheat Sheet

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💻 Newcastle v Brighton Form and Tactics

• Newcastle line up in a 4-3-3 shape but enter this game with some key players missing that should see them a level below their blistering best. Alexander Isak is a doubt and Joelinton is a confirmed absence for this cup tie which takes away from Newcastle’s physical and clinical qualities.

• Keep an eye on the Newcastle full backs, Tino Livramento and Lewis Hall have been excellent in their 1 v 1 duels this season but also in offering their side another option in the final third of the pitch. You’ll often see bursting runs beyond the opposition backline from the pair of them which gives Newcastle another option in wide areas.

• Brighton are quite tactically fluid and often set up in consideration of their opponents and what strengths they have as well as what weaknesses they can exploit. Their away games usually see a lot of goals, Brighton have seen 49 goals across their 14 away games in the Premier League this season (3.5 per game) and have managed to avoid defeat in 10 of these fixtures so the Seagulls are quite strong on the road. 

• Brighton have seen off Norwich and Chelsea so far in the FA Cup and will be 1 of a host of teams who will feel like the FA Cup could be a real avenue to silverware with many big hitters already exiting the competition. Newcastle beat Birmingham and Bromley to reach this stage and enter a busy period of their season with the EFL Cup final to come in a few weeks.

🏁 Newcastle v Brighton Ref Watch

• Referee: Anthony Taylor

📺 How to Watch Newcastle v Brighton in the FA Cup

📅 When is Newcastle v Brighton? / Sunday, 2nd March 2025, 13:45
🏟 Where is Newcastle v Brighton? / St. James' Park (Newcastle)
📺 What TV Channel is Newcastle v Brighton on? / ITV1
🟨 …And who is the referee for Newcastle v Brighton? / Anthony Taylor 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.