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Newcastle v West Ham
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Kick Off: Monday 25th November at 20:00
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Competition: Premier League
Impressive back-to-back wins against Arsenal and Nottingham Forest have taken Newcastle up to 8th and just one point off 3rd and a Champions League place given the congested nature of the league.
West Ham meanwhile have struggled under new boss Julen Lopetegui and sit in 14th with one eye over their shoulder at the relegation zone.
⭐ Newcastle v West Ham Best Bets
Newcastle looked to have turned a corner before the international break with six points from two games following five winless matches, there’s been an upturn in their performances winning the expected goals battle in five of their last six matches, impressively against all of Man City, Chelsea, Brighton and Nottingham Forest.
West Ham meanwhile have only tasted victory in two of their last 10 games across all competitions and defensively look fragile having conceded the fifth-most expected goals. Both sides aren’t scoring for fun – just 13 each after 11 games, the joint sixth-lowest – but with Newcastle’s ability to create better chances than the opposition and West Ham conceding high-quality chances, back the home side to edge a low-scoring game.
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👕 Newcastle v West Ham Predicted XI
🔍 Newcastle v West Ham Players to Watch
⚫ Bruno Guimaraes
Bruno Guimaraes is the most fouled player per game in the Premier League this season at a staggering 4.1 times per game. West Ham look like the perfect opposition for betting on Guimaraes to be on the receiving end of more fouls, with the Hammers joint-second for fouls per game this season with 13. Away from home, this figure increases to 14.
Chief culprits just so happen to include opposition midfielders Lucas Paqueta (1.6 per game), Edson Alvarez (1.6pg), Carlos Soler (1.3pg), Tomas Soucek (1.2pg) and Guido Rodriguez (1.0pg).
⚫ Anthony Gordon
Anthony Gordon is the second-most fouled Newcastle player per game in the Premier League this season at 2.6 times per game. He has had a propensity for being fouled for a while now with last season seeing him brought down 1.9 times per game.
He’s started the last two games on the right wing and is likely to be up against Emerson who is committing 1.09 fouls per game so looks a good matchup. Gordon to be fouled two or more times has won in 7 of his 10 games this season.
🟣 Emerson
Since the beginning of last season, Emerson has committed 44 fouls in 47 games at an average of 0.94 per game. This season, that average has increased to 1.09 per game under new manager Julen Lopetegui. Emerson will likely be coming up against Newcastle’s Anthony Gordon, who is the second most fouled player per game in the Premier League this season at 2.6 per game. This bet has won in 8 of Emerson’s 11 games this season.
📂 Newcastle v West Ham Cheat Sheet
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💻 Newcastle v West Ham Form and Tactics
Two sides here who aren’t dominating the ball this season, with Newcastle averaging less than 50%, at 49.1%, and West Ham at 45.3%. This can be attributed to the sides they’ve faced however, with both having played all of Man City (63.8%), Tottenham (61.6%) and Chelsea (54.7%). Having said that, Newcastle have also faced both Arsenal and Brighton, two sides who like to dominate the ball, so expect their average to move towards last season’s 52.2%.
Under Julen Lopetegui it has been a bit of a rough start for West Ham conceding the fourth-most shots per game with 16.3, rising to 16.8 away from home. In turn, this has resulted in them conceding the fifth-most expected goals with 21.36. Only winning four of 13 games across all competitions looks to have led to frustrations with the Hammers ranking joint-second for fouls per game in 13.0, with them picking up 2.64 cards per game on average.
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🏁 Newcastle v West Ham Ref Watch
- Referee: Craig Pawson
- Averaging 4.67 cards per game across his 6 Premier League games so far this season.
- This is very much in-keeping with last season, having shown 87 cards in 19 Premier League games (4.58 per game).
- He has a high bar for both red cards and penalties, having sent-off just two players and given just five penalties in his last 20 games across all competitions, despite the number of fouls given rising from 21.89 to 24.67 per game.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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