• Midtjylland have won 11 of their last 13 matches in European competition, including qualifiers.

• Igor Jesus has scored 7 goals in the Europa League this season, 5 more than he’s managed in the Premier League despite 15 more appearances domestically.

• Elliot Anderson had 12 foul involvements when these sides met in the league phase of the Europa League.

• No side scored more goals than Midtjylland during the league phase of the Europa League (18).

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📈 Nottingham Forest v Midtjylland Form & Tactics

Nottingham Forest are caught in the same situation that Tottenham found themselves in last season, in that they are battling at the bottom of the Premier League table - yet are one of the favourites to win the Europa League. This example highlights just how strong the Premier League is compared to the other European leagues, especially in the Europa League and Conference League.

I think Vitor Pereira was a bit of an odd choice by the Nottingham Forest hierarchy to take over from Sean Dyche. He started well at Wolves, but did oversee the collapse of the Wanderers in the early part of this season, which will eventually lead to their relegation from the Premier League. I think Forest can use this competition to get their general confidence up. They’ve failed to win any of their last four matches across all competitions, but did manage to earn a 2-2 draw at the Etihad last time out.

Midtjylland have been a surprise package in the Europa League this season. They were around 2/1 to finish in the top eight but went even better to finish third, with only Aston Villa and Lyon being more impressive in the early stages of the competition. They finished the league phase as the joint top scorers with 18 goals across their eight matches (2.25 per game). They should also have plenty of confidence ahead of this clash, having already beaten Nottingham Forest in the Europa League

📔 Nottingham Forest v Midtjylland Formation & Team News

Nottingham Forest have set up in a variety of shapes and systems under Vitor Pereira so far, but I think they’ll be quite bold in their approach here, knowing that the away leg of this tie will be a lot more challenging. I expect Forest to set up in a 4-2-3-1 shape, with Pereira wanting his side to impose themselves on the opposition when playing at the City Ground.

Forest’s two most important players in the Europa League this season have been Igor Jesus and Morgan Gibbs-White. Both have seen a substantial rise in their underlying numbers in the Europa League this season, which is common for Premier League players in these lower European competitions. The quality of the Premier League really shines through, as best displayed by Igor Jesus’ goalscoring record in the Europa League (7) compared to the Premier League (2).

Midtjylland will set up in a 3-4-3 shape, with the most recognisable player to Premier League fans being Philip Billing, who used to play for Bournemouth. Midtjylland are similar to Bodo/Glimt in that they don’t have many standout players but do function really well together as a team unit, which is why they’ve had such success in the Europa League this season.

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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.