KFUM Oslo v Mjøndalen
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Sunday 4th September – 2:00PM KO
This feels like a revolving record every week but the first place to look whenever betting in a KFUM Oslo match is to take some sort of goals bet. An incredible 19 out of 22 of their fixtures have ended with over 2.5 goals this season including the last 8 consecutively. They have found some very good form recently, winning four games in a row and climbed up to second position which is an automatic spot for promotion. Brann are long gone and clear at the top of the standings, but second spot is certainly up for grabs and KFUM are a huge contender. They are a legitimately strong attacking team averaging 1.96 xG per 90 mins, which is quite an impressive statistic. At the other end of the field, they statistically have the second best xGA out of any team, but that number is as high as 1.46 which tells you a lot about this incredibly high scoring and attack driven division.
Mjøndalen ended their miserable five game losing streak by hammering Sandnes 4-1 last week. They recently sacked the long standing and legendary manager Vegard Hansen after 17 years in charge. It was probably the right decision and caretaker manager Kevin Nicol will be pleased that they got a victory last week. Early indications are that they will be more offensive minded under Nicol and try to play some entertaining football. Mjøndalen are in a situation where draws don’t really do them much good. In such a congested part of the table they need to be looking at winning this game to get back into the playoff spots. Their overall xG metrics this season at both ends of the field are not great. But I honestly think there needs to be a complete blank canvas after such a serious managerial sacking took place.
The beauty of KFUM Oslo is that for such a high scoring team, they do not rely on any one individual for goals. Their whole team contributes towards hitting the back of the net and their actual top scorer with only six goals is defensive midfielder Robin Rasch. As aforementioned, it always makes sense to side with the goals market whenever KFUM Oslo are involved so I am surprised that odds of 1.57 are available for this bet. It is likely only because Mjøndalen are involved but this looks like a new era for that club now and I expect them to be quite positive here. This is a tremendous value price for at least three goals to be scored overall.
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Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals, 1.57 on Betfair (⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐)
Sandnes v Start
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Sunday 4th September – 2:00PM KO
After such a promising run of form a few weeks ago Sandnes have seemingly gone off form failing to win any of their last four matches. They have had some strange results recently and it is difficult to predict this team. Their last four home matches have been 6-0, 6-0, 0-0 and 0-0. The big problem they have is breaking down defensive minded teams who sit deep and simply park a bus looking for a draw. That shouldn’t be an issue here because Start are quite an offensive minded team who will be targeting victory. Sandnes lost 1-4 away to Mjøndalen last week which would have been a big disappointment considering the opposition. They need to bounce back quickly because this is still a very good season for the club, currently in 5th place on 37 points. Jostein Ekeland and Martin Ramsland have been two reliable goal scorers for Sandnes this season, but they have several other individuals who can all perform.
Start have become one of the hardest teams in the OBOS Ligaen to predict. You never know which version of them is going to show up and their performances are wildly inconsistent. They hammered Grorud 5-0 last week and also beat Bryne 6-0 at the start of August. However, thrown in have been some shocking results such as losing 0-5 to Stabaek in their most recent away game. Start are up to 6th place in the table and are currently in possession of the final playoff spot. This is a team which has one of the best xG goal averages per game (1.99) and for the most part can usually be relied upon to hit the back of the net. It is a blow that top scorer Jonatan Braut Brunes recently left the club and was bought by Strømsgodset. Brunes only scored one goal since 23rd May though and departed at the end of July. They have had time to get used to life without him.
If you take away the strange 0-0 draws, then most Sandnes games are very high scoring. I really do think those were an anomaly vs teams who sat back and defended very deep and were difficult to penetrate. The way both teams usually play is surely crying out for over 2.5 goals to be backed at generous odds of 1.57. There is enough offensive firepower, and more importantly a willingness from both to attack which should enable this line to be covered.
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Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals, 1.57 on Betfair (⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐)
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