💎 Gem Bet: Marc Guehi 1+ Foul Committed @ 1.91 (Paddy Power)

Guehi has committed 21 fouls across his 30 Premier League appearances this season (0.70 per 90). He’s committed a foul in each of his last five Premier League appearances suggesting that this average has been forced to rise in recent weeks, in line with Palace struggling slightly over the last few games, losing 5-2 to Manchester City and 5-0 to Newcastle - the Eagles committed 15+ fouls in each of these games. 

This suggests a real frustration currently facing Oliver Glasner’s side, they’re averaging 11.1 fouls committed per game in the Premier League this season so such a dramatic rise in the last few fixtures aids our selection here. Palace committed 12 fouls against Bournemouth in the initial meeting between the sides with Guehi responsible for one of these infringements.

Guehi contested 13 duels in that game, suggesting that he will be regularly tested by the Bournemouth frontline here, particularly with their tendency to press high up the pitch and commit fouls. He’ll be up against Evanilson (1.97 fouls won per 90) and also will contest duels against Antonie Semenyo (1.08 fouls won per 90) as the right sided centre back in Palace’s back three. 

This selection is priced as low as 1.5 with some bookmakers, suggesting that we are getting decent value in backing this selection with Paddy Power when considering Guehi’s recent foul record and his potential opponents in this clash at Selhurst Park.